Burden of cardiovascular disease across 29 countries and GPs’ decision to treat hypertension in oldest-old

Objectives: We previously found large variations in general practitioner (GP) hypertension treatment probability in oldest-old (>80 years) between countries. We wanted to explore whether differences in country-specific cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden and life expectancy could explain the differences.

Design: This is a survey study using case-vignettes of oldest-old patients with different comorbidities and blood pressure levels. An ecological multilevel model analysis was performed.

Setting: GP respondents from European General Practice Research Network (EGPRN) countries, Brazil and New Zeeland.

Subjects: This study included 2543 GPs from 29 countries.

Main outcome measures: GP treatment probability to start or not start antihypertensive treatment based on responses to case-vignettes; either low (<50% started treatment) or high (≥50% started treatment). CVD burden is defined as ratio of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost due to ischemic heart disease and/or stroke and total DALYs lost per country; life expectancy at age 60 and prevalence of oldest-old per country.

Results: Of 1947 GPs (76%) responding to all vignettes, 787 (40%) scored high treatment probability and 1160 (60%) scored low. GPs in high CVD burden countries had higher odds of treatment probability (OR 3.70; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.00–4.57); in countries with low life expectancy at 60, CVD was associated with high treatment probability (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.12–4.25); but not in countries with high life expectancy (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.56–1.98).

Conclusions: GPs’ choice to treat/not treat hypertension in oldest-old was explained by differences in country-specific health characteristics. GPs in countries with high CVD burden and low life expectancy at age 60 were most likely to treat hypertension in oldest-old.

• Key Points

• ???General practitioners (GPs) are in a clinical dilemma when deciding whether (or not) to treat hypertension in the oldest-old (>80 years of age).

• ???In this study including 1947 GPs from 29 countries, we found that a high country-specific cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden (i.e. myocardial infarction and/or stroke) was associated with a higher GP treatment probability in patients aged >80 years.

• ???However, the association was modified by country-specific life expectancy at age 60. While there was a positive association for GPs in countries with a low life expectancy at age 60, there was no association in countries with a high life expectancy at age 60.

• ???These findings help explaining some of the large variation seen in the decision as to whether or not to treat hypertension in the oldest-old.

     

Common chronic diseases and general impairments as determinants of walking disability in the oldest-old population

OBJECTIVES: Walking disability affects older people's autonomy and well-being. We investigated the relative effect of common chronic diseases and general impairments on walking disability in the general oldest-old population. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Leiden 85-plus Study, the Netherlands. PARTICIPANTS: Five hundred ninety-nine persons aged 85, response rate 87%. MEASUREMENTS: Walking disability was assessed using a 6-meter walking test. Persons with a walking time below the 25th percentile and those who were physically unable to perform the walking test were categorized as having a walking disability. Information on common chronic diseases was obtained from records of subjects' general practitioners and pharmacies. General impairments were assessed with functional tests and standardized questions during face-to-face interviews. We expressed the effect of common chronic diseases and general impairments as the population attributable risk (PAR), indicating how much disability can be prevented when the identified risk factor is eliminated from the population. RESULTS: One hundred ninety-two persons (33%) had a walking disability. This disability was highly associated with poor mobility in daily life, recurrent falls, and poor well-being (all P <.001). Of the common chronic diseases, stroke, angina pectoris, diabetes mellitus, and hip fracture but not arthritis contributed most (PARs from 6% to 15%) to walking disability in the population at large. General impairments had higher prevalence rates and higher PARs than common chronic diseases. Cognitive impairment, depressive symptoms, and dizziness upon rising contributed most (PARs between 22 to 27%) to walking disability. In multivariate regression analyses of all common chronic diseases and general impairments, associations remained significant. CONCLUSION: Within the general oldest-old population, general impairments contribute more substantially to walking disability than do common chronic diseases. The diagnosed diseases did not explain the impairments that led to walking disability. Especially in the oldest old, clinicians should focus not merely on common chronic diseases but particularly on general impairments as targets for diagnostic analysis and treatment to decrease walking disability.     

C-reactive protein is a strong but nonspecific risk factor of fatal stroke in elderly persons

An elevated level of C-reactive protein is a strong predictor of cardiovascular events in elderly persons. Whether C-reactive protein has direct adverse vascular effects or is a marker of aspecific systemic inflammation remains to be determined. The aim of this study was to investigate the relation between C-reactive protein and the occurrence of fatal strokes in elderly persons. In the Leiden 85-Plus Study, a population-based prospective follow-up study, we studied the levels of C-reactive protein in 80 participants who died from stroke within the first 5 years of follow-up. Levels of C-reactive protein were determined in serum samples at baseline. Levels of C-reactive protein were also determined in 82 control subjects who survived for the first 5 years of follow-up and in 83 participants who died from noncardiovascular causes. Mortality risks were estimated with logistic regression and adjusted for differences in age, sex, smoking, medication, total cholesterol, history of diabetes or hypertension, and previous cardiovascular events. Levels of C-reactive protein at baseline were 2-fold higher in subjects who died from stroke than in control subjects (median 5.7 versus 2.7 mg/L, P<0.005). The levels of C-reactive protein in subjects who died from stroke or from noncardiovascular causes were similar (median 5.7 versus 4.9 mg/L, P=0.7). The risk of death from stroke as well as from noncardiovascular causes increased linearly up to 10-fold in subjects with the highest levels of C-reactive protein at baseline (P<0.001). The levels of C-reactive protein were lower when more time had elapsed between blood sampling and time of death during follow-up (P=0.01). C-reactive protein is a strong but nonspecific risk factor of fatal stroke in old persons. The data do not support the idea that C-reactive protein has direct vascular effects that underlie fatal cerebrovascular disease.     

Subclinical Thyroid Dysfunction and the Risk of Heart Failure Events: An Individual Participant Data Analysis From 6 Prospective Cohorts

BACKGROUND: American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines for the diagnosis and management of heart failure recommend investigating exacerbating conditions such as thyroid dysfunction, but without specifying the impact of different thyroid-stimulation hormone (TSH) levels. Limited prospective data exist on the association between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and heart failure events. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a pooled analysis of individual participant data using all available prospective cohorts with thyroid function tests and subsequent follow-up of heart failure events. Individual data on 25 390 participants with 216 248 person-years of follow-up were supplied from 6 prospective cohorts in the United States and Europe. Euthyroidism was defined as TSH of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, subclinical hypothyroidism as TSH of 4.5 to 19.9 mIU/L, and subclinical hyperthyroidism as TSH <0.45 mIU/L, the last two with normal free thyroxine levels. Among 25 390 participants, 2068 (8.1%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 648 (2.6%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, risks of heart failure events were increased with both higher and lower TSH levels (P for quadratic pattern <0.01); the hazard ratio was 1.01 (95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.26) for TSH of 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L, 1.65 (95% confidence interval, 0.84-3.23) for TSH of 7.0 to 9.9 mIU/L, 1.86 (95% confidence interval, 1.27-2.72) for TSH of 10.0 to 19.9 mIU/L (P for trend <0.01) and 1.31 (95% confidence interval, 0.88-1.95) for TSH of 0.10 to 0.44 mIU/L and 1.94 (95% confidence interval, 1.01-3.72) for TSH <0.10 mIU/L (P for trend=0.047). Risks remained similar after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSION: Risks of heart failure events were increased with both higher and lower TSH levels, particularly for TSH ≥10 and <0.10 mIU/L.