A preliminary statistical model for identifying repeaters of parasuicide

This paper presents a statistical model constructed using logisticregression to identify those at high-risk of repeating parasuicide. Thesubjects in the study are Cork city residents who exhibited parasuicidalbehaviour between 1 January and 30 June 1995. Repetition of the behaviourwithin six months of the index episode distinguishes repeaters fromnon-repeaters. The model was designed so that it could be used bynon-clinicians and hence does not require information relating topsychiatric diagnosis or use of psychiatric services. The proportion ofsubjects correctly classified remained stable across a range of cut-pointprobabilities (mean = 86%, range: 83.9–87.5%). Using acut-point of 0.2, 96% of repeaters and 81% of non-repeaters were correctly classified. Using 0.45 led to the correct identification of81% of repeaters and 90% of non-repeaters. If these highlevels of sensitivity and specificity are maintained in validation tests onfuture cohorts in Cork city then the model could form the basis of anintervention programme designed to prevent the repetition of parasuicide.     

Differential effects of kindling and kindled seizures on place learning in the morris water maze

There is some controversy about the role of long-term potentiation (LTP) in spatial learning. The authors have found that triggering generalized kindled seizures with stimulation of the perforant path disrupts spatial learning in the Morris water maze but that kindling per se does not affect spatial learning. It is suggested that abnormal electrical activity induced by high-frequency stimulation of the perforant path may have been responsible for the disruption of spatial learning previously attributed to LTP saturation.     

Failure of influenza vaccine to prevent two successive outbreaks of influenza A H1N1 in a school community.

Forty nine of the 149 boys (33%) at a preparatory school fell ill at the beginning of the autumn term 1986 with symptoms of influenza. One hundred and eighty two of the 470 pupils (39%) in the senior part of the same school had similar symptoms of influenza at the beginning of the spring term 1987. A new variant of influenza A H1N1 virus was isolated from both outbreaks and shown to be antigenically similar to A/Taiwan/1/86. The attack rate among pupils who had previously received trivalent influenza vaccine containing A/Chile/1/83 H1N1 antigen was not significantly different from the rate among those who had never been vaccinated. It is concluded that annual vaccination of all boarding school pupils may be inappropriate.     

Detection and identification of gastrointestinal microsporidia using non-invasive techniques.

AIMS--To detect enteric microsporidia in faecal specimens from patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), and to identify the spores to species level without using invasive procedures. METHODS--Formalised faecal preparations were examined using a modification of the strong trichrome staining method to demonstrate microsporidian spores. Six positive specimens were prepared for electron microscopy by emulsification and separation using a 9% Ficoll gradient. RESULTS--The modified staining technique readily identified microsporidian spores. Spores of different species showed variation in size. Identification using electron microscopy was successful for five of the six positive specimens examined. It was unsuccessful for one specimen in which spores were less abundant on initial staining. CONCLUSIONS--The modified strong trichrome staining method is a useful way of detecting spores of intestinal microsporidia in faecal specimens. Variation in spore size may permit provisional identification by light microscopy. Electron microscopic examination of faecal preparations is useful for identifying spores to species level.     

Analysis of pressure waves as a mean of diagnosing vascular obstructions

A feasibility study was made to examine whether pressure measurements can be used to diagnose vascular obstructions in blood vessels. Distortion of a pressure wave due to an obstruction in an elastic tube was investigated theoretically and experimentally. Linear theory and the method of characteristics were employed in developing mathematical expressions for the distortion of the pressure wave. The quality of the models developed was examined by performing experiments on a latex tube with rigid obstructions. A nonlinear model using the method of characteristics was in good agreement with the experiment data for obstructions with any severity, while a linear model was applicable to small obstructions. The nonlinear model is proposed as a mathematical model for the detection of vascular obstructions by analysing pressure waves.