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Julia Thornton Snider Jesse Sussell Mahlet Gizaw Tebeka Alicia Gonzalez Joshua T. Cohen Peter Neumann 《Value in health》2019,22(3):332-339
Background
Payers frequently rely on budget impact model (BIM) results to help determine drug coverage policy and its effect on their bottom line. It is unclear whether BIMs typically overestimate or underestimate real-world budget impact.Objective
We examined how different modeling assumptions influenced the results of 6 BIMs from the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER).Study Design
Retrospective analysis of pharmaceutical sales data.Methods
From ICER reports issued before 2016, we collected estimates of 3 BIM outputs: aggregate therapy cost (ie, cost to treat the patient population with a particular therapy), therapy uptake, and price. We compared these against real-world estimates that we generated using drug sales data. We considered 2 classes of BIM estimates: those forecasting future uptake of new agents, which assumed “unmanaged uptake,” and those describing the contemporaneous market state (ie, estimates of current, managed uptake and budget impact for compounds already on the market).Results
Differences between ICER's estimates and our own were largest for forecasted studies. Here, ICER's uptake estimates exceeded real-world estimates by factors ranging from 7.4 (sacubitril/valsartan) to 54 (hepatitis C treatments). The “unmanaged uptake” assumption (removed from ICER's approach in 2017) yields large deviations between BIM estimates and real-world consumption. Nevertheless, in some cases, ICER's BIMs that relied on current market estimates also deviated substantially from real-world sales data.Conclusions
This study highlights challenges with forecasting budget impact. In particular, assumptions about uptake and data source selection can greatly influence the accuracy of results. 相似文献5.
Miguel A. Sanz Pau Montesinos Haesook T. Kim Guillermo J. Ruiz-Argüelles María S. Undurraga María R. Uriarte Lem Martínez Rafael H. Jacomo Homero Gutiérrez-Aguirre Raul A. M. Melo Rosane Bittencourt Ricardo Pasquini Katia Pagnano Evandro M. Fagundes Edo Vellenga Alexandra Holowiecka Ana J. González-Huerta Pascual Fernández Javier De la Serna Salut Brunet Elena De Lisa José González-Campos José M. Ribera Isabel Krsnik Arnold Ganser Nancy Berliner Raul C. Ribeiro Francesco Lo-Coco Bob L?wenberg Eduardo M. Rego 《Annals of hematology》2015,94(8):1347-1356
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Carlos Ferrer Albiach Antonio Conde Moreno Marta Rodríguez Cordón Virginia Morillo Macías Ana Bouché Babiloni Inmaculada Beato Tortajada Ángel Sánchez Iglesias Alicia Francés Muñoz 《Clinical & translational oncology》2010,12(1):22-26
Hypoxia is related to poor prognosis because it is associated to chemo-and radioresistance. During recent years the evolution
of imaging methods like PET/CT and MRI has meant the appearance of new perspectives with direct implications in radiation
therapy. We discuss previous experiences in staging, planning and in the follow-up process with these techniques for measuring
tumour hypoxia. 相似文献
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Alicia E. Ronco M. Cecilia Sobrero Gustavo D. Bulus Rossini Pablo R. Alzuet Bernard J. Dutka 《Environmental toxicology》1995,10(1):35-39
Toxicity testing of sediment samples from the Rio Santiago and its main tributaries was performed using a battery of tests that included the ECHA dipstick biocide monitor, the MetPad test, the lettuce seed germination and the root elongation test, the nematode test, spot plate test, and the SOS Chromotest. Assessment was carried out on organic extracts, pore water, and direct sediment. Results of bioassays showed toxicity sources from tributaries and canals flowing into the river and areas being degraded by insults from industrial spills. © by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 相似文献
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Abstract Pericardial tamponade remains a diagnostic challenge
to the clinician especially when the patient is well compensated
hemodynamically. We report an unusual case
who sought medical help 1 month after having been
stabbed in his chest. An investigation revealed a perforation
of the myocardium and a pericardial tamponade.
The patient survived thanks to a large organized clot
that plugged the perforation. The patient was exposed
to increased risk due to delayed onset, recognition, and
therapy of the tamponade. Most reports on this subject
deal with acute pericardial tamponade. Only few cases
of delayed pericardial tamponade have been reported.
A review of the relevant literature and the therapeutic
approaches are discussed. 相似文献