Predicting outbreaks: a spatial risk assessment of West Nile virus in British Columbia

Background  

West Nile virus (WNv) has recently emerged as a health threat to the North American population. After the initial disease outbreak in New York City in 1999, WNv has spread widely and quickly across North America to every contiguous American state and Canadian province, with the exceptions of British Columbia (BC), Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland. In this study we develop models of mosquito population dynamics for Culex tarsalis and C. pipiens, and create a spatial risk assessment of WNv prior to its arrival in BC by creating a raster-based mosquito abundance model using basic geographic and temperature data. Among the parameters included in the model are spatial factors determined from the locations of BC Centre for Disease Control mosquito traps (e.g., distance of the trap from the closest wetland or lake), while other parameters were obtained from the literature. Factors not considered in the current assessment but which could influence the results are also discussed.     

Factors influencing the absorption of iron from soya-bean protein products

The absorption of iron from soya-bean (Glycine hispida)-based and milk-based infant formulas was assessed in 138 multiparous Indian women, using the erythrocyte utilization of radioactive Fe method. Fe absorption was significantly greater from the basal milk formula (1.5 g protein) than it was from the basal soya-bean formula (2.3 g protein), with geometric mean values of 0.083 and 0.044 respectively. Ascorbic acid markedly increased Fe absorption from the milk-based formula in a dose-dependent fashion. The increase was fivefold when the ascorbic acid:Fe ratio on a weight-for-weight basis was 6:1 and over tenfold when it was 20:1. In contrast, ascorbic acid had a less-marked effect on the absorption of Fe from the soya-bean-based formula, with only a two- to threefold increase at an ascorbic acid:Fe ratio of 20:1. The geometric mean Fe absorption from the soya-bean formula (1.27 mg Fe, 2.3 g isolated soya-bean protein (ISP] was somewhat less than that from the same amounts of ISP and ascorbic acid made up in milk (0.075 and 0.113 respectively). However, a direct comparison between the soya-bean formula in milk and in water showed no significant difference (0.043 and 0.060 respectively). Fe absorption from a drink containing 10 g ISP and 30 mg ascorbic acid was significantly better than that from a similar drink containing the soya-bean flour from which ISP is extracted (0.044 and 0.027 respectively). Heating ISP to 200 degrees for 2 h before its use had no effect on Fe availability.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Risk factors and coronary heart disease in Durban blacks--the missing links.

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is still relatively uncommon in the black population of South Africa. We embarked on a study to determine the prevalence of risk factors leading to CHD in the black population of Durban. The study sample was selected from patients attending a dental clinic at a hospital. A total of 458 patients (age range 16-69 years) was studied. The prevalence of CHD was 2.4%. The percentage prevalences of selected risk factors were: hypertension (blood pressure > or = 140 mmHg systolic and/or > or = 90 mmHg diastolic) 28% (31.9% for males, 25.4% for females); protective levels of high-density lipoprotein/total cholesterol > or = 20%, 81.3%; diabetes mellitus 4.9% for males, 2.9% for females; smoking > or = 10 cigarettes per day 28.1% for males, 3.4% for females; obesity 3.7% for males 22.6% for females. We found the Minnesota Coding System for electrocardiographic changes of CHD and the Rose questionnaire to be unreliable for eliciting CHD in blacks. Hypercholesterolaemia is less common, and this may explain the low incidence of CHD in blacks. Epidemics of CHD as seen in Indian, coloured and white South Africans can still be prevented in the black population, but preventive measures must be instituted rapidly.     

Glucose and free fatty acid utilization during prolonged exercise in prepubertal boys in relation to catecholamine responses

Summary Ten prepubertal boys performed 60-min cycle exercise at about 60% of their maximal oxygen uptake as previously measured. To measure packed cell volume, plasma glucose, free fatty acids (FFA), glycerol and catecholamines, blood samples were drawn at rest using a heparinized cathether and at the 15th, 30th and 60th min of the exercise and after 30 min of recovery. At rest, the blood glucose concentrations were at the lowest values for normal. Exercise induced a small decrease of blood glucose which was combined with an abrupt increase of the noradrenaline concentration during the first 15 min. The FFA and glycerol concentrations increased throughout the exercise linearly with that of adrenaline. Compared to adults, the FFA uptake expressed per minute and per litre of oxygen uptake was greater in children. These results suggested that it is difficult for children to maintain a constant blood glucose concentration and that prolonged exercise provided a real stimulus to hypoglycaemia. An immediate and large increase in noradrenaline concentration during exercise and a greater utilization of FFA was probably used by children to prevent hypoglycaemia.     

Discovery and Validation of a Urinary Exosome mRNA Signature for the Diagnosis of Human Kidney Transplant Rejection

BackgroundDeveloping a noninvasive clinical test to accurately diagnose kidney allograft rejection is critical to improve allograft outcomes. Urinary exosomes, tiny vesicles released into the urine that carry parent cells’ proteins and nucleic acids, reflect the biologic function of the parent cells within the kidney, including immune cells. Their stability in urine makes them a potentially powerful tool for liquid biopsy and a noninvasive diagnostic biomarker for kidney-transplant rejection.MethodsUsing 192 of 220 urine samples with matched biopsy samples from 175 patients who underwent a clinically indicated kidney-transplant biopsy, we isolated urinary exosomal mRNAs and developed rejection signatures on the basis of differential gene expression. We used crossvalidation to assess the performance of the signatures on multiple data subsets.ResultsAn exosomal mRNA signature discriminated between biopsy samples from patients with all-cause rejection and those with no rejection, yielding an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.87 to 0.98), which is significantly better than the current standard of care (increase in eGFR AUC of 0.57; 95% CI, 0.49 to 0.65). The exosome-based signature’s negative predictive value was 93.3% and its positive predictive value was 86.2%. Using the same approach, we identified an additional gene signature that discriminated patients with T cell–mediated rejection from those with antibody-mediated rejection (with an AUC of 0.87; 95% CI, 0.76 to 0.97). This signature’s negative predictive value was 90.6% and its positive predictive value was 77.8%.ConclusionsOur findings show that mRNA signatures derived from urinary exosomes represent a powerful and noninvasive tool to screen for kidney allograft rejection. This finding has the potential to assist clinicians in therapeutic decision making.     

Impact of acute rejection therapy on infections and malignancies in renal transplant recipients

BACKGROUND: Infections and malignancies are important causes of mortality and morbidity in renal allograft recipients. Their risk increases with increasing immunosuppression. METHODS: In an attempt to quantitate the increase in the risk of these complications in association with antirejection therapy, we reviewed the records of all renal allograft recipients of our center transplanted during the cyclosporin era. We sub-divided the patients into three groups based on acute rejection episodes during the first 6 months posttransplant, and the treatment for acute rejection: those who did not develop AR--group 1 (n=168); those who had one or more episodes of acute rejection and were treated with high dose corticosteroids --group 2 (n=169); those who in addition to corticosteroids required cytolytics (OKT3) and/or other drugs--group 3 (n=141). RESULTS: 52% patients in group 1, 71% patients in group 2 and 86% patients in group 3 had one or more episodes of infection during the first 6 months posttransplantation. Relative risk for group 2 and 3 were 1.56 (P=0.0002) and 2.98 (P<0.00001), respectively. Infection/patient rates at 6 months were 0.67, 1.23, and 2.79 in groups 1, 2, and 3 respectively. Groups 1 and 2 had a similar number of cases with squamous and basal cell carcinoma, however, there were few cases with these malignancies in group 3. No case of lymphoma was seen in group 1; there were four cases in group 2 and nine in group 3. There was no significant difference in patient survival in group 1 and 2, however, patients in group 3 had a reduced patient survival (1 vs. 3 P<0.001, 2 vs. 3 P=0.067). Graft survival was best in group 1 and worst in group 3 (1 vs. 2 P<0.05; 1 vs. 3 P<0.00001; 2 vs. 3 P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In renal transplant recipients the risk of infections and lymphoma increases with increasing immunosuppression and hence mortality and morbidity associated with it. When adding a potent immunosuppressive agent to rescue a kidney one needs to consider the serious and at times fatal side effects given the modest beneficial effect on long-term outcome.     

The Correlation Between the New Rigiscan Plus Software and the Final Diagnosis in the Evaluation of Erectile Dysfunction

Purpose

The computer generated recordings for 2 nights in 40 patients studied with the RigiScan^† device were reevaluated using the new RigiScan Plus software to test its value in improving the discrimination between psychogenic and organic erectile dysfunction.

Materials and Methods

Each man was evaluated for erectile dysfunction with a detailed medical and sexual history, physical examination, biothesiometry, plethysmography, 2 nights of ambulatory RigiScan monitoring and a psychological evaluation that usually included a private interview with the sexual partner. At the conclusion of evaluation each patient was broadly classified as having organic or psychogenic erectile dysfunction. The RigiScan reports were initially independently analyzed without the investigator's knowledge of the final diagnosis by determining the single best erectile event, with a minimal cutoff value of 60 percent erection for 5 minutes as necessary to be considered normal and the sum of measurements from the 2 nights. The original reading and final diagnosis were correlated. At this point the data were processed with the new RigiScan Plus software using 2 new measurements: 1) rigidity activity units and 2) tumescence activity units at the base and tip of the penis, and the results were correlated with the final diagnosis.

Results

Evaluation of the single best event again showed that tip rigidity was the best single predictor if the diagnostic criteria were modified to 70 percent tip rigidity for 5 minutes with an estimate of correct classification of 92.5 percent. Nearly the same accuracy was obtained by base single event rigidity, tip rigidity and base tumescence activity units (each 90 percent). The summary analysis of all erectile events during the 2 nights of evaluation that had a low correlation with the final diagnosis using the original software showed that the best overall predictor of final diagnosis was tip tumescence activity units (92.5 percent), followed by base rigidity and tumescence activity units (each 90 percent).

Conclusions

The RigiScan Plus software introduced 4 new parameters that facilitate interpretation of the RigiScan data. The new software did not improve the correlation with the final diagnosis compared to the subjective single best event analysis but added new objective parameters, measured and displayed by the software, that facilitate use of the data by the physician.     

Proteinase-3 mRNA expressed by glomerular epithelial cells correlates with crescent formation in Wegener's granulomatosis

BACKGROUND: Wegener's granulomatosis (WG) is characterized by systemic vasculitis with crescentic glomerulonephritis (CGN) and circulating autoantibodies directed against neutrophil cytoplasmic antigens (ANCA). Proteinase 3 (PR-3), a neutral serine proteinase in neutrophils implicated in the growth control of myeloid cells, has been identified as the target antigen for ANCA in WG. Since the kidneys are frequently involved in WG, we studied the in situ expression of PR-3 by renal parenchymal cells. METHODS: We assessed the expression of PR-3 in kidney biopsies of 15 patients with WG by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and in situ hybridization (ISH). Normal kidney tissue served as the control. RESULTS: We detected PR-3 mRNA and PR-3 protein in distal tubular epithelial cells (TECs) and glomerular epithelial cells (GECs) in normal kidney tissue and in CGN. Furthermore, a strong glomerular PR-3mRNA expression restricted to the site of cellular crescents was detected in patients with WG. The analysis of 144 glomeruli with cellular or sclerotic crescents revealed a positive correlation of glomerular PR-3mRNA expression with the percentage of cellular crescents per glomerulus. The capability of human TECs and GECs to synthesize PR-3 was confirmed by Northern blot and ISH on cultured cells. CONCLUSION: These data provide evidence that nonhematopoetic renal parenchymal cells express PR-3 and that glomerular expression of PR-3 is associated with crescent formation in WG. Our findings suggest that renal parenchymal cells may directly be involved in the pathogenesis of CGN in WG.