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Background:  While causal modeling is generally well known to alcohol researchers, several causal structures (including suppression, mediated moderation, and moderated mediation) are often poorly understood and seldom employed when investigators seek to model the complex mechanisms of behavior change, despite their widespread applicability to the field.
Methods:  This paper compares and contrasts five basic structures of causal modeling in the context of contemporary alcohol research and demonstrates how mechanisms of behavior change can be conceptualized and tested as parallel and serial sequences of these basic causal structures, forming causal chains.
Conclusion:  Recent methodological developments, while representing an important advancement for the field, fail to adequately address the complexities of alcohol dependence phenomena. A differentiation between frequently combined forms of these causal structures is proposed that would better address the needs of the field.  相似文献   
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The World Health Organization (WHO) and the majority of the influenza experts assume that an influenza pandemic might reemerge again at any time. Therefore WHO has called upon all member states to set up a national pandemic preparedness plan. For Germany such a plan is long overdue. In order to gain as much time as possible early identification of the pandemic virus is of highest priority. Furthermore progression of a pandemic is influenced by the time needed to develop a subtype specific vaccine as well as by the vaccines availability. However, in case of a pandemic a shortage of vaccines and prophylactic pharmaceuticals cannot be avoided. Therefore, decisions have to be made in order to establish priorities concerning the vaccination and the prophylactic and/or therapeutic antimicrobial treatment of selected sub-populations. There is also a need to lay down measures ensuring the distribution of vaccines and antiviral drugs, adequate health care and ambulance service, and the organization of dignified funerals of the deceased. It is also necessary to enter into an early agreement with vaccine manufacturers on a guaranteed supply of respective batches of vaccine doses. In addition procedures should be established to allow an increase in vaccine production in case of a pandemic. There is also a need for early agreements with the manufacturers of antiviral agents and for a decision concerning the establishment of a national stockpile to guarantee an adequate supply. Some measures must already be taken in the inter-pandemic period. Those are: enhancement of surveillance and research, development of new vaccines and new methods of vaccine production, licensing of new vaccines in case of a pandemic and establishment of a national influenza committee. Problems like the effectiveness of antiepidemic measures, such as immigration control and the closing of schools, must be solved in advance of a pandemic.  相似文献   
4.
AD  Giannoukas  N  Labropoulos  FCT  Smith  GS  Venables  JD  Beard  武婕 《中华脑血管病论坛》2005,3(5):555-560
目的由于卒中风险随着狭窄严重程度的增加而升高,因此认为颈内动脉(ICA)接近闭塞患者的卒中风险很高。在现有的随机试验中,还没有专门针对这种情况进行探讨,因此其处理尚存在争汶。方法:对相关文献进行系统评价。结果:对ICA接近闭塞患者的处理还存在争议:一些学者支持进行干预,而另一些学者则认为存在风险或没有益处而反对进行干预。在ICA接近闭塞的有症状患者中进行一项比较外科治疗与最佳内科治疗的多中心前瞻性随机试验似乎非常困难,因为这类研究需要大量的患者。尽管如此,基于目前的证据,似乎很难拒绝手术治疗。结论:由于目前对ICA接近闭塞患者的最佳处理方案仍存在着争议,因此需要前瞻性观察性研究以证实其在有症状和无症状人群中的患病率以及相关的卒中风险。基于目前的证据,大多数医疗中心选择手术治疗,但它相对干内科治疗的特粱尚右待证章.  相似文献   
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“维生素AD、铁营养强化奶的研制”研究报告   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
目的:研制维生素AD、铁营养强化奶,用于群体有效防治维生素AD、铁缺乏.方法:应用微胶囊技术科学配方成维生素AD、铁营养粉,添加到鲜牛奶中.结果:工业化生产维生素AD、铁营养强化奶.结论:该产品取得了很好的社会效益和经济效益.  相似文献   
7.
Zusammenfassung Hintergrund: Bei Patienten mit stumpfem Thoraxtrauma muss mit einer Contusio cordis gerechnet werden. Das Spektrum der Symptomatik variiert von einer leichten regionalen myokardialen Funktionsstörung bis hin zur Ruptur und zum plötzlichen Herztod. Fallbeschreibung: Ein 27-jähriger Patient wurde nach einem Fußtritt gegen die Brust bei Kammerflimmern reanimiert. Das EKG sowie das Enzymmuster entsprachen denen eines akuten Myokardinfarkts, echokardiographisch zeigte sich eine Hypokinesie apikal und anteroseptal bei mittelgradig reduzierter Pumpfuktion. Die 10 Tage nach dem Trauma durchgeführte Koronarangiographie und Lävokardiographie ergaben einen unauffälligen Befund. Schlussfolgerung: Als Ursache des primären Kammerflimmerns und der initialen elektro- und echokardiographischen Befunde muss aufgrund der Anamnese eine Contusio cordis diskutiert und in der Therapie berücksichtigt werden. Abstract Background: Patients with a blunt chest trauma often sustain myocardial contusion. The spectrum of symptoms varies from regional myocardial dysfunction to myocardial rupture of sudden cardiac death. Case Report: After a kick against his chest, a 27-year-old patient was resuscitated because of ventricular fibrillation. ECG and enzymatic pattern corresponded to an acute myocardial infarction, the echocardiogram revealed an apical and anteroseptal hypokinesia. 10 days after the acute event, coronary arteriography and ventriculography did not show any abnormalities. Conclusion: On the basis of the anamnesis, a myocardial contusion must be discussed as reason for the ventricular fibrillation and the pathologic findings in ECG and echocardiogram. This has to be considered in the therapy.  相似文献   
8.
In Thyolo district, Malawi, an operational research study is being conducted on the efficacy and feasibility of co-trimoxazole prophylaxis in preventing deaths in HIV-positive patients with tuberculosis (TB). A series of cross-sectional studies were carried out to determine i) whether faecal Escherichia coli (E.coli) resistance to co-trimoxazole in TB patients changed with time and ii) whether the resistance pattern was different in HIV positive TB patients who were taking co-trimoxazole prophylaxis. Co-trimoxazole resistance among E.coli isolates in TB patients at the time of registration was 60% in 1999 and 77% in 2001 (p<0.01). Resistance was 89% among HIV-infected TB patients (receiving co-trimoxazole), while in HIV negative patients (receiving anti-TB therapy alone) it was 62% (p<0.001). The study shows a significant increase of E.coli resistance to co-trimoxazole in TB patients which is particularly prominent in HIV infected patients on co-trimoxazole prophylaxis. Since a high degree of plasmid-mediated transfer of resistance exists between E.coli and the Salmonella species, these findings could herald limitations on the short and long term benefits to be anticipated from the use of co-trimoxazole prophylaxis in preventing non-typhoidal salmonella bacteraemia and enteritis in HIV infected TB patients in Malawi.  相似文献   
9.
Advances in technology and complex care have enabled women with various health problems to become and remain pregnant. Consequently, health-care practitioners are seeing an increasing number of pregnant women who have aortic aneurysms. This case study describes the culturally sensitive intrapartum care of a Middle Eastern woman with ascending and descending aortic aneurysms.  相似文献   
10.
The prevalence of obesity in Germany has risen steadily in the last years; about 50% of the German population are overweight. There are various methods for determining obesity, such as BMI, the pattern of fat distribution, and the waist to hip ratio. Overweight is associated with chronic illnesses such as arterial hypertension, pulmoarterial hypertension, cardiomyopathy with left and right heart insufficiency, diabetes mellits type 2, all of which lead to an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. In addition, psychiatric comorbidity is known to occur. The care of obese patients provides an increasing medical and technical challenge in emergency medicine. We discuss the particular difficulties of examining obese patients in the emergency room (problems examining certain areas and in diagnosis due to excessive fatty tissue), at monitoring, in determining venous or intraosseous entrances, in airway management, respiration and artificial respiration, and during rescue and transport, and solutions offered. The outcome is, as a matter of course, worse in obese patients than in those with normal weight.  相似文献   
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