Reliability of Bayesian probability analysis for predicting coronary artery disease in a veterans hospital

To assess the accuracy of Bayesian probability analysis for the prediction of coronary artery disease, post-test probabilities were generated by the application of three Bayesian algorithms to the clinical and noninvasive test results of 199 patients undergoing angiography in a veterans' hospital. All assumed conditional independence but each used different pre-test and conditional probabilities. Two statistical approaches were employed: (1) Sorting of patients in ascending deciles of probability and comparing expected and observed probabilities in each decile. (2) Calculation of normally distributed reliability statistics which do not depend on probability subsets and the comparison of resulting probability distributions using these statistics. Both statistical approaches revealed that the Bayesian algorithms overestimated disease probability when it was high and underestimated it when low. Though all three algorithms were frequently incorrect, they differed significantly in their accuracies, suggesting that errors in Bayesian analysis are caused by factors other than the assumption of independence. The errors may be due to differences in sensitivity and specificity of tests applied in different institutions.     

Female pseudohermaphroditism in a neonate born to a mother with polycystic ovarian disease

A newborn with female pseudohermaphroditism (profound masculinization of the external genitalia and preservation of the internal female genitalia) is presented. During pregnancy progressive hirsutism was noted in the mother, and polycystic ovaries were found at cesarean section. The serum testosterone level in the cord blood was elevated markedly (1,232 ng./dl). After birth the serum testosterone levels of the mother and newborn decreased dramatically. Over-all it appears that the polycystic ovaries were the source of the excessive androgen secretion that caused maternal and fetal masculinization during the pregnancy.     

The reliability of probability analysis in the prediction of coronary artery disease in two hospitals

To assess the accuracy of the Bayesian computer program CADENZA for the prediction of coronary artery disease, the authors examined the probabilities generated by the application of this program to the clinical and noninvasive test results of 303 patients in a private referral center and 199 patients in a veterans' hospital. These probabilities were compared with those produced by applying a six-variable discriminant function derived by logistic regression at the private referral center. Two statistical approaches were employed in evaluating the relative performances of the Bayesian program and the discriminant function. The first of these involved the sorting of patients in both test groups into ascending deciles of probability and comparing expected probability with observed angiographic disease prevalence in each decile. The second involved the calculation and comparison of a standardized reliability measure. The latter was significantly lower for the discriminant function both at the private hospital (0.200 for the discriminant function versus -17.5 +/- 1.96 for the Bayesian program) and at the veterans' hospital (-0.8 +/- 1.96 for the discriminant function versus -11.3 for Bayesian program). This suggests that the discriminant function is significantly superior to the Bayesian algorithm CADENZA for predicting coronary artery disease probabilities in subjects who have relatively high pretest disease probabilities.     

Differences in outcomes between cholecalciferol and ergocalciferol supplementation in veterans with inflammatory bowel disease

Aim: Vitamin D deficiency is a global health issue associated with increased health‐care costs, and could play a role in the pathogenesis and management of inflammatory bowel disease. Prior studies show a high prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in veterans with inflammatory bowel disease. We aimed to examine the outcome differences in patients with inflammatory bowel disease, comparing treatment with ergocalciferol to cholecalciferol. Methods: A retrospective review of electronic medical records of patients with inflammatory bowel disease at a Veterans Affairs Medical Facility in the Southeastern United States was carried out. Those with at least one serum 25(OH) vitamin D level were included. Initial and follow‐up vitamin D values were recorded. The type of vitamin D supplementation, whether cholecalciferol or ergocalciferol, was documented. Costs in the year after measurement of vitamin D were divided into separate inpatient and outpatient categories. Results: Veterans (n = 108) with ulcerative colitis or Crohn's disease and an available 25(OH) vitamin D level were studied. There were differences in follow‐up vitamin D levels; those who received weekly ergocalciferol had higher subsequent levels than those who received cholecalciferol, especially at a second follow up, although differences did not achieve statistical significance. However, those who received vitamin D3 were less likely to use laboratory, pharmacy, radiology and fee‐based services, and had lower laboratory and pharmacy costs. Conclusions: Our data suggest that cholecalciferol replacement might improve outcomes to a greater extent than ergocalciferol, and might be better in limiting health‐care costs and expenses in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2012; 12: 475–480.     

Prevalence of urinary incontinence in Moroccan women. Report of 1,000 cases]

An inquiry concerning the prevalence of urinary incontinence for the moroccan women has been archived about 1000 women aged more than 18 years to study prevalence, epidemiology and risk factors of urinary incontinence. 271 women among the 1000 women said that they had suffered from the mictional disorder at least one time during the last month, let 27.1%; 48.7% of the incontinent women are from 30 to 60 years; 22.5% are less than 30 years old, and 8.85% are more than 75 years old. Among these 271 women, 49.44% suffered from leakage after making an effort; 42.80% an imperiosity, and 7.76% spontaneous leakage. Seventy per cent among these women had level of study at least medium; 85.97% among these women suffered the discomfort; but 8.48% of them had been consulted for this disorder, 78.96% are able to consult a medical and to have a clinical or paraclinical exams. The elements who are responsible of this disorder are: menopause, parity, the use of forceps, the weight of first child birth over 3.5 kg, the perineal tearing. Among the medical antecedents we find: chronic bronchitis, urinary infections, chronic constipation, diabetes, and in the other way among surgical antecedents are: hysterectomy and prolapsus cure.     

Uterine rupture due to placenta accreta at 28 weeks of pregnancy]

The authors report the case of uterine rupture occurring after 28 weeks of amenorrhea and related to placenta accreta and treated by means of hysterectomy. They stress the diagnostic problems and discuss possible conservative treatment.     

Hydatic acute pancreatitis: a case report

Acute pancreatitis caused by hydatic cyst of the liver was rarely reported. The authors report a new case of hydatic pancreatitis characterized by visualization of hydatid membranes in the biliary tract without any biliary stone or alcoholic consumption.     

Addition of clonidine to 0.5% lidocaine for intravenous locoregional anesthesia

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the effect of the addition of clonidine to lidocaine on postoperative pain after intravenous regional anaesthesia. STUDY DESIGN: Double blind prospective study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Forty-five patients were randomly allocated to two groups: group 1 (n = 25) receiving 3 mg.kg-1 of lidocaine 0.5% added to saline and group 2 (n = 20) receiving 3 mg.kg-1 of lidocaine 0.5% added to clonidine (150 micrograms). Postoperative analgesia was assessed using a visual analogue pain score (VAPS) and the time to first analgesic request. The incidence of side effects after tourniquet release was noted. Analysis of variance, Kruskall Wallis and chi 2 tests were used for statistical analysis. A p-value of < 0.05 was considered significant. RESULTS: Age, ASA class, duration and type of surgery, tourniquet time and sensory block duration were comparable for the two groups. The time to first antalgic request after deflation of tourniquet was similar in the two groups (38 +/- 15 min versus 44 +/- 19 min), while VAPS score was lower (p < 0.05) in the clonidine group (5.2 versus 6.8). The incidence of side effects was comparable in the two groups. CONCLUSION: The addition of clonidine (150 micrograms) to lidocaine for intravenous regional anaesthesia improved postoperative analgesia but in a limited and short-lasting manner.     

Evaluation of the strength and radiopacity of Portland cement with varying additions of bismuth oxide

Aim To study the effect of addition of various proportions of bismuth oxide on compressive strength and radiopacity of Portland cement. Methodology The compressive strength of white Portland cement and cement replaced with 10, 15, 20, 25 and 30% bismuth oxide was evaluated by testing cylinders 6 mm in diameter and 12 mm high. Twelve cylinders were tested for each material under study. The radiopacity of the cements tested was evaluated using an aluminium step‐wedge and densitometer. The optical density was compared with the relevant thickness of aluminium (Al). Statistical analysis was performed using Analysis of Variance (anova ) with P = 0.05 and Tukey test to perform multiple comparison tests. Results Various additions of bismuth oxide had no significant effect on the strength of the material when compared with the unmodified Portland cement (P > 0.05). The radiopacity of the cements tested ranged from 2.02 mm Al for Portland cement to 9.79 mm Al for the highest bismuth replacement. Conclusions Addition of bismuth oxide did not affect the compressive strength of Portland cement. All the bismuth oxide cement mixtures had radio‐opacities higher than 3 mm thickness of aluminium.