Mathematical Models for Predicting the Epidemiologic and Economic Impact of Vaccination against Human Papillomavirus Infection and Disease

Infection with human papillomavirus (HPV) is the primary causeof cervical cancer, other anogenital cancers, genital warts,and recurrent respiratory papillomatosis. Clinical studies havedemonstrated that a prophylactic HPV vaccine can prevent infection,genital warts, and the precancerous lesions that lead to cervicalcancer. Given the absence of data on the long-term effectivenessof HPV vaccination, a number of mathematical models have beendeveloped to provide insight to policy makers by projectingthe long-term epidemiologic and economic consequences of vaccinationand evaluate alternative vaccination policies. This paper reviewsthe state of these models. Three types of HPV mathematical modelshave been reported in the literature: cohort, population dynamic,and hybrid. All have demonstrated that vaccination can significantlyreduce the incidence of cervical cancer in the long term. However,only the cohort and hybrid models have evaluated the cost-effectivenessof vaccination strategies for preventing cervical cancer. Thesemodels have generally shown that vaccinating females can becost-effective. None has accounted for the potential benefitsof vaccinating the population to reduce the burden of recurrentrespiratory papillomatosis and cancers of the vagina, vulva,anus, penis, and head/neck. Given that only the population dynamicmodel can account for both the direct and indirect (i.e., herdimmunity effects) benefits of vaccination in the population,future research should focus on further development of dynamicmodels by expanding the range of epidemiologic outcomes trackedand including the ability to assess the cost-effectiveness ofalternative vaccination policies. cost-benefit analysis • economics • papillomavirus, human • vaccines     

Proximal femoral focal deficiency: radiologic analysis of 49 cases

Proximal femoral focal deficiency, an uncommon congenital anomaly, necessitates early radiologic classification for surgical planning and treatment. Objective radiographic criteria, including femoral length index, acetabular depth index, acetabular angle index, and shape of the proximal femur were determined in 49 patients before cartilaginous ossification of the femoral capital epiphysis; final classification was based on follow-up radiographs or findings at arthrography or surgery. These parameters were analyzed to determine the accuracy and contributions of each in classification. Correct classification into one of three groups was possible in 86% of cases with use of three of the parameters: femoral length index, acetabular depth index, and shape of the proximal femur. The acetabular angle was found to contribute insignificantly to classification. Magnetic resonance imaging, used in only one case, depicted the nonossified cartilaginous femoral capital epiphysis, thus obviating the need for invasive diagnostic procedures and facilitating early classification.     

Life expectancy in British Marfan syndrome populations

A total of 206 patients with Marfan syndrome were ascertained throughout genetic clinics in Wales and Scotland during the period 1970–1990. There were 45 deaths representing 22% of the cohort. Mean age at death was 45.3 ± 16.5 years. 50% median cumulative survival in the total cohort (n = 206) was 53 years for males and 72 years for females. Multivariate analysis confirmed severity as the best independent indicator of survival. These findings and survival curves will assist in the counselling of British families and individuals with Marfan syndrome.     

Human MSH2 binds to trinucleotide repeat DNA structures associated with neurodegenerative diseases

The expansion of trinucleotide repeat sequences is associated with several neurodegenerative diseases. The mechanism of this expansion is unknown but may involve slipped-strand structures where adjacent rather than perfect complementary sequences of a trinucleotide repeat become paired. Here, we have studied the interaction of the human mismatch repair protein MSH2 with slipped-strand structures formed from a triplet repeat sequence in order to address the possible role of MSH2 in trinucleotide expansion. Genomic clones of the myotonic dystrophy locus containing disease-relevant lengths of (CTG)n x (CAG)n triplet repeats were examined. We have constructed two types of slipped-strand structures by annealing complementary strands of DNA containing: (i) equal numbers of trinucleotide repeats (homoduplex slipped structures or S-DNA) or (ii) different numbers of repeats (heteroduplex slipped intermediates or SI-DNA). SI-DNAs having an excess of either CTG or CAG repeats were structurally distinct and could be separated electrophoretically and studied individually. Using a band-shift assay, the MSH2 was shown to bind to both S-DNA and SI-DNA in a structure- specific manner. The affinity of MSH2 increased with the length of the repeat sequence. Furthermore, MSH2 bound preferentially to looped-out CAG repeat sequences, implicating a strand asymmetry in MSH2 recognition. Our results are consistent with the idea that MSH2 may participate in trinucleotide repeat expansion via its role in repair and/or recombination.      

妥卡尼对豚鼠心室肌细胞钙电流和钾电流的抑制作用

利用酶分散的成年豚鼠心室肌细胞和全细胞电压钳技术,研究了妥卡尼(tocainide)对心室肌细胞钙电流(I_ca)、延迟整流钾电流(I_k)和ATP敏感性钾电流(Ik,ATP)的作用。结果表明,妥卡尼对I_ca和I_k均显示浓度相关的抑制作用,妥卡尼50umol·L^-1对I_ca和I_k的抑制率分别为16%和3%。这可能是妥卡尼有效抑制室上性心动过速和缩短心肌动作电位平台期的重要机制。