Challenges with Forecasting Budget Impact: A Case Study of Six ICER Reports

Background

Payers frequently rely on budget impact model (BIM) results to help determine drug coverage policy and its effect on their bottom line. It is unclear whether BIMs typically overestimate or underestimate real-world budget impact.

Development of a Simulation-Based Mastery Learning Curriculum for Breaking Bad News

Introduction

Physician communication impacts patient outcomes. However, communication skills, especially around difficult conversations, remain suboptimal, and there is no clear way to determine the validity of entrustment decisions. The aims of this study were to 1) describe the development of a simulation-based mastery learning (SBML) curriculum for breaking bad news (BBN) conversation skills and 2) set a defensible minimum passing standard (MPS) to ensure uniform skill acquisition among learners.

Evaluation of the clinical significance of sonographic perinephric fluid in patients with renal colic

ObjectiveTo evaluate the significance of sonographic perinephric fluid collection on the emergent management of patients with acute urinary stone obstruction.MethodsWe conducted a prospective study with retrospective analysis. Since January 2016 through July 2017, patients admitted to our tertiary hospital's emergency department (ED) with suspected symptomatic urinary stones underwent ultrasound evaluation. Images were prospectively interpreted by experienced radiologist who analyzed each case for the following imaging features: hydronephrosis, perinephric fluid and urethral stone identification. The presence and measurements of perinephric fluid were re-evaluated by second radiologist who was blinded for the first reader's measurements. Retrospective analysis was conducted to evaluate for an association between perinephric fluid collection and the following outcome variables: need for analgesics, the number of doses of analgesics and the amount of morphine (mg) in the ED, elevation of creatinine levels, hospitalization and need for urological interventions.ResultsThe need for analgesics, the number of doses of analgesics and the amount of morphine were significantly associated with the presence of perinephric fluid (p < 0.05). The odds ratio for the need for analgesics was 3.8 in the presence of any perinephric fluid, and 8.9 in the presence of moderate/severe perinephric fluid. No other patient outcome variables were found to be significantly associated with the presence of perinephric fluid (p > 0.05).ConclusionsThis study shows a correlation between sonographic evidence of perinephric fluid and more severe pain. Therefore, an emergency physician can consider the evidence of perinephric fluid, in acute urethral stone obstruction, a predictor for more severe pain.     

Prevalence,Risk Factors,and Transmission Dynamics of Extended-Spectrum-β-Lactamase-Producing Enterobacteriaceae: a National Survey of Cattle Farms in Israel in 2013

Our objectives were to study the prevalence, risk factors for carriage, and transmission dynamics of extended-spectrum-β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Enterobacteriaceae (ESBLPE) in a national survey of cattle. This was a point prevalence study conducted from July to October 2013 in Israel. Stool samples were collected from 1,226 cows in 123 sections on 40 farms of all production types. ESBLPE were identified in 291 samples (23.7%): 287 contained Escherichia coli and 4 contained Klebsiella pneumoniae. The number of ESBLPE-positive cows was the highest in quarantine stations and on fattening farms and was the lowest on pasture farms (P = 0.03). The number of ESBLPE-positive cows was the lowest in sections containing adult cows (age, >25 months) and highest in sections containing calves (age, <4 months) (P < 0.001). Infrastructure variables that were significant risk factors for ESBLPE carriage included crowding, a lack of manure cleaning, and a lack of a cooling (P < 0.001 for each), all of which were more common in sections containing calves. Antimicrobial prophylaxis was given almost exclusively to calves and was associated with a high number of ESBLPE carriers (P < 0.001). The 287 E. coli isolates were typed into 106 repetitive extragenic palindromic (REP)-PCR types and mostly harbored bla_CTX-M-1 or bla_CTX-M-9 group genes. The isolates on the six farms with ≥15 isolates of ESBLPE were of 4 to 7 different REP-PCR types, with one dominant type being harbored by about half of the isolates. Fourteen types were identified on more than one farm, with only six of the farms being adjacent to each other. The prevalence of ESBLPE carriage is high in calves in cowsheds where the use of antimicrobial prophylaxis is common. ESBLPE disseminate within cowsheds mainly by clonal spread, with limited intercowshed transmission occurring.     

A Case of Loose Anagen Syndrome in an African American Girl

We present the case of 7‐year‐old African American girl with loose anagen syndrome. Although this is a common cause of hair loss in Caucasian children, and there have been reports of cases occurring in dark‐skinned children of North African and Middle Eastern descent, to our knowledge there have been no cases reported in black children of sub‐Saharan African ancestry. We present this case to broaden the differential diagnosis of hair loss in African Americans.     

Age-specific trends in health-related quality of life among US adults: findings from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2001–2016

Quality of Life Research - Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is an important indicator of population health, yet no age-specific trend analyses in HRQoL have been conducted with a nationally...     

Chronic urticaria and osteoporosis: a longitudinal,community-based cohort study of 11 944 patients

Osteoporosis is a condition in which the bones are thinner and more liable to fracture. It is commoner in women and in people over 50. It cannot be cured so the focus is on prevention, which means identifying and addressing risk factors such as obesity, low vitamin D, chronic inflammation and prolonged steroid medication. Chronic urticaria (hives, CU) is an inflammatory condition, so one might expect it to be linked with osteoporosis, but that has never been investigated. If people with CU are indeed more likely to develop osteoporosis, they could be advised about preventative measures. To study this, doctors from Israel identified 11,944 patients diagnosed with CU in a large medical database covering 4.5 million people. A potential difficulty was that people with CU are more likely to be female, obese and to have been treated with systemic steroids, all of which also increase the risk of osteoporosis. Therefore for each CU patient they studied 5 age- and sex-matched control patients (people of the same age and sex but without CU) and their analyses took into account other known risk factors for osteoporosis. During a 16 year period 8.7% of the patients with CU were diagnosed with osteoporosis compared with 6.8% of the controls. They concluded that CU is a small but significant additional risk factor for osteoporosis. An accompanying editorial cautions against basing conclusions on routine health records which may not have all the information required. Nonetheless, doctors treating chronic urticaria might bear in mind the risk of osteoporosis in their patients, and counsel accordingly.