Bayesian estimation of a random effects heteroscedastic probit model

Summary Bayesian analysis is given of a random effects binary probit model that allows for heteroscedasticity. Real and simulated examples illustrate the approach and show that ignoring heteroscedasticity when it exists may lead to biased estimates and poor prediction. The computation is carried out by an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling scheme that generates the parameters in blocks. We use the Bayes factor, cross‐validation of the predictive density, the deviance information criterion and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves for model comparison.     

Ill-health as a household norm: Evidence from other people's health problems

This paper proposes that an individual's self-assessed health (SAH) does not only suffer from systematic reporting bias and adaptation bias but is also biased owing to confounding health norm effects. Using 13 waves of the British Household Panel Survey covering the period 1991–2005, I show that, while there is a negative and statistically significant correlation between SAH and individuals' own health problem index, this negative effect reduces with the average number of health problems per (other) family member. The relative health bias is small, however, which implies that measures of SAH may not suffer seriously from systematic health norm bias. This is an important finding for researchers working with SAH data as it indicates that we do not have to worry too much about controlling for confounding influences from the health of other household members when estimating SAH regression equations.     

纸本与数字的交互：手机阅读的最佳效果

随着全球3G商用的推进和拥有大容量存储能力的智能终端的日益普及,手机正逐步演变成为一个新型的数字阅读终端。利用手机进行电子阅读的全新模式,正以前所未有的普及速度冲击着人们的阅读习惯。而这趋势也逐渐为"阅读"进行重新的定义。对于每一个读者而言,在这样一个信息化的时代里,手机阅读和纸本阅读的交互使用、取长补短,才是获得最佳阅读效果的最有效方式。     

Fisher information matrix for nonlinear mixed effects multiple response models: Evaluation of the appropriateness of the first order linearization using a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model

We focus on the Fisher information matrix used for design evaluation and optimization in nonlinear mixed effects multiple response models. We evaluate the appropriateness of its expression computed by linearization as proposed for a single response model. Using a pharmacokinetic–pharmacodynamic (PKPD) example, we first compare the computation of the Fisher information matrix with approximation to one derived from the observed matrix on a large simulation using the stochastic approximation expectation–maximization algorithm (SAEM). The expression of the Fisher information matrix for multiple responses is also evaluated by comparison with the empirical information obtained through a replicated simulation study using the first‐order linearization estimation methods implemented in the NONMEM software (first‐order (FO), first‐order conditional estimate (FOCE)) and the SAEM algorithm in the MONOLIX software. The predicted errors given by the approximated information matrix are close to those given by the information matrix obtained without linearization using SAEM and to the empirical ones obtained with FOCE and SAEM. The simulation study also illustrates the accuracy of both FOCE and SAEM estimation algorithms when jointly modelling multiple responses and the major limitations of the FO method. This study highlights the appropriateness of the approximated Fisher information matrix for multiple responses, which is implemented in PFIM 3.0, an extension of the R function PFIM dedicated to design evaluation and optimization. It also emphasizes the use of this computing tool for designing population multiple response studies, as for instance in PKPD studies or in PK studies including the modelling of the PK of a drug and its active metabolite. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Long-term effectiveness and quality of life improvement in entacapone-treated Parkinson's disease patients: the effects of an early therapeutic intervention

To evaluate the long-term effects of entacapone on both mean daily 'on' time and health-related quality of life (QoL) in patients with Parkinson's disease (PD) experiencing 'end-of-dose' motor fluctuations and the benefits of an early therapeutic intervention. A prospective, multicenter, observational, 12-month study was performed with an initial 3-month intervention phase, consisting of a phone call to half of the patients from randomly selected investigators to assess if dose adjustment was necessary. Effectiveness was determined by home diaries ('on' time), subscales II and III of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS), and the Parkinson's Disease Questionnaire (PDQ-8). After 3 months of treatment, 4.0% of the intervention group patients discontinued the study, versus 18.4% in the control group ( P  < 0.01). The improvement in 'on' time was significantly increased since the 3-month visit (21%, P  < 0.0001) until the end of the study (23% at 12 months, P  < 0.0001). Entacapone also induced significant reductions in the UPDRS scores for subscales II and III and in the PDQ-8 score. 11.2% of patients experienced at least one adverse reaction. This study confirms the effectiveness of entacapone in reducing motor fluctuations by increasing 'on' time, and in improving QoL of PD patients. An early adjustment of entacapone and levodopa doses reduces the number of treatment discontinuations during the first months of treatment.     

Inter-study differences: How should they influence the interpretation and analysis of results?

In determining the role inter-study variation should play in an overview analysis, it is important to consider three factors: which question one is trying to answer; the degree of similarity or dissimilarity of design, and the degree to which heterogeneity of outcomes can be explained. Three questions one might be interested in are: whether treatment can be effective in some circumstances; whether treatment is effective on average, and whether treatment was effective on average in the trials at hand. Under the assumption of no qualitative interaction, the answers to these questions coincide. The O-E analysis most directly answers the third question. Other analyses are suggested when the first question is of interest, using the aspirin post-MI studies as an example.     

Clinical Efficacy of New Antiepileptic Drugs in Refractory Partial Epilepsy: Experience in the United States With Three Novel Drugs

Summary: A number of new antiepileptic drugs (AEDs), including topiramate (TPM), felbamate (FBM), and gabapentin (GBP), are approved or believed to be close to approval for marketing in the United States. Key efficacy findings for these AEDs in refractory partial epilepsy were reviewed. Large and significant drug-placebo differences were observed with TPM in two large dose-finding trials conducted in the United States. The minimal effective dose of TPM in the population studied was determined to be approximately 200 mg/day, and doses above 600 mg/day produced good efficacy but little incremental benefit versus the lower dosages for the overall study population. FBM is active in partial epilepsy, although seizure reduction is less marked and drug interactions complicate the findings. GBP is also active in this population, but only the 1,800 mg/day dosage was significantly better than placebo with respect to percent re-sponders. It may be useful to explore higher dosage ranges for both FBM and GBP if they can be well tolerated.     

A new and highly sensitive method for measuring 3-methoxytyramine using HPLC with electrochemical detection. Studies with drugs which alter dopamine metabolism in the brain

3-Methoxytyramine (3-MT) is a minor metabolite of dopamine which is suggested to reflect the turnover and utilization of dopamine. A novel, isocratic HPLC method has been developed which can be used to analyse 3-MT in homogenates of rat brain without the need for additional purification procedures. Furthermore, the coulometric electrochemical detection system is sensitive enough to measure 3 pg of 3-MT (equivalent to 0.6 ng/g tissue wet weight). 3-Methoxytyramine was measured in the striatum and n. accumbens after decapitation and rapid freezing, using 3-methoxy-4-hydroxybenzylamine as the internal standard. The effects of dopaminergic and other drugs on this metabolite were examined using this method. -Methyl-p-tyrosine (200 mg/kg i.v.) produced parallel linear decreases in dopamine and 3-MT in naive rats, but not those pretreated with tranylcypromine (5 mg/kg i.p.). Methamphetamine (0.3–10 mg/kg i.p.) and amphetamine (0.3–10 mg/kg i.p.) both dose-dependently increased 3-MT in naive and tranylcypromine-pretreated rats. In naive animals, 3-MT was not altered by intraperitoneal injection of the dopamine reuptake inhibitors, bupropion (10 mg/kg) and nomifensine (10 mg/kg) or by sibutramine HCl (3 mg/kg), amitriptyline (10 mg/kg), desipramine (10 mg/kg) and zimeldine (10 mg/kg). 3-Methoxy-tyramine was decreased by apomorphine (5 mg/kg i.p.) and also by large doses of the selective D₂ antagonist, BRL 34778 (5 mg/kg i.p.) or -DOPA (50 mg/kg i.p.). The selective D₁ antagonist, SCH 23390 (0.1 or 5 mg/kg i.p.) was without effect. In tranylcypromine-pretreated rats, 3-MT was dose-dependently reduced and increased by apomorphine (0.01–5 mg/kg i.p.) and BRL 34778 (0.1–5 mg/kg i.p.), respectively. The drug SCH 23390 (0.1–5 mg/kg i.p.) produced much smaller increases in 3-MT which were probably mediated through the striatonigral pathway. Overall, the data suggest that measurement of 3-MT, after inhibition of monoamine oxidase, is a useful index of the release and utilization of dopamine. However, after substantial and prolonged depletion of dopamine, levels of 3-MT in naive animals are a better index. Also, the formation of 3-MT in naive rats provides a sensitive method for distinguishing between dopamine releasing agents and reuptake inhibitors.     

Neurology of the neuronal ceroid-lipofuscinoses: Late infantile and juvenile types

My experience with more than 80 cases of the late infantile and juvenile forms of the neuronal ceroid-lipofuscinoses over the last 5 years has led to the following realizations. The 2 variants are neurologically distinct entities and probably are the result of different genetic defects. Treatment includes supportive measures and anticonvulsant medication. Therapy for behavioral and psychiatric disturbances in the juvenile type proves to be particularly challenging as neuroleptic medications tend to worsen parkinsonian like symptoms. Neuropathologic and neuro radiologic explanation of clinical symptomatology correlates best with neuronal loss and not neuronal storage. There is a paucity of neuropathologic documentation of these 2 types; additional reports are encouraged.     

Pharmacokinetics and haemodynamic effects of ISDN following different dosage forms and routes of administration

The pharmacokinetics and haemodynamic effects of isosorbide dinitrate (ISDN) have been investigated following administration of single doses as a sublingual (SL) spray (2.5 mg), sublingual tablet (5 mg) and peroral tablet (10 mg) in a randomised, placebo-controlled double-blind cross-over trial in 16 healthy volunteers.After the sublingual spray C_max was higher (39.0 ng·ml^-1) and t_max was shorter (3.9 min) than after the sublingual (22.8 ng·ml^-1 and 13.8 min) and peroral (16.9 ng·ml^-1 and 25.6 min) tablets. The AUC of ISDN did not differ following any of the three formulations (1031; 879; 997 ng·ml^-1·min, for the spray, SL tablet and PO-tablet, respectively). Mononitrate metabolites of ISDN (IS-2-MN and IS-5-MN) and total nitrates in plasma increased in proportion to the administered dose. This indicates that the fraction of the dose absorbed was the same for all the formulations but that the extent of first-pass metabolism increased in the order sublingual spray < sublingual tablet < peroral tablet. Thus, compared to the spray, the relative bioavailability of ISDN was 48% and 28% from the sublingual and peroral tablets, respectively.The haemodynamic effects were quantified using the a/b ratio of the finger pulse wave and the systolic blood pressure and heart rate under orthostatic conditions. For the a/b ratio of the finger pulse, the maximal effect was higher (e_max=130%) and the time to e_max (t_emax) shorter (16.6 min) after the spray than the sublingual tablet (84.4% and 25.5 min) or peroral tablet (90.2 and 31.3 min). The onset of effect was within 3, 5 and 7.5 min after the spray, sublingual and peroral tablets, respectively. A larger change in the orthostatically-induced decrease in systolic blood pressure and increase in heart rate was obtained following peroral than sublingual administration despite the similar plasma concentrations of ISDN. This probably reflects the larger amount of pharmacodynamically active mononitrate metabolites formed after oral dosing. The integrated effect following administration of 2.5 mg ISDN as spray was similar to that of a sublingual tablet of 5 mg.