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Stochastic models for geriatric in-patient behaviour 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Departments of geriatric medicine engage in two distinct formsof clinical activity: acute/rehabilitative and long-stay care.These are organizationally distinct and have very differentresource needs. Current hospital planning models, however, assumethat patients all move through the system at the same rate,thereby ignoring this effect of inherent heterogeneity in patientbehaviour. The present paper describes the movement of patientsthrough geriatric hospitals by a two-stage continuous-time Markovmodel, where the stages represent acute/rehabilitative and long-staypatients respectively. Patients are initially admitted to thefirst stage, from which they may depart from the system, bydeath or discharge, or move into the second stage, from whichthey eventually depart by death or discharge (unlikely). Admissionsare modelled in two ways: either as replacements for departuresor as a Poisson stream. Expressions for the distribution andmovement of numbers of patients are derived and evaluated fordata from a number of hospitals. Such an approach has the advantage,over previous crude models, of taking into account differenttypes of patients and introducing variability, thus making itpossible to extract variances as well as means of numbers ofgeriatric patients requiring hospital care. 相似文献
14.
J. de Pedro-Cuesta L. Widén-Holmqvist P. Bach-y-Rita 《Acta neurologica Scandinavica》1992,86(5):433-439
In all, 22 reports of 20 randomized, controlled rehabilitation studies were evaluated. In 18 of these, the design of the trial was parallel, with a cross-over format being employed in the remaining 2 instances. Seven studies related to intensive rehabilitation during the early post-acute period. In six others, specific techniques--sometimes associated with traditional physiotherapy procedures--were compared: biofeedback, perceptual retraining, and amphetamine treatment. Eight experiments evaluated speech therapy in aphasia. Frequently, methodological considerations limited the interpretation of the results. The review showed that: 1) as regards activities of daily life and motor function, differences as between rehabilitation in stroke units on the one hand and non-rehabilitation or rehabilitation in medical wards on the other, were detected in relatively few quality studies and remained particularly inconclusive insofar as life in the home environment was concerned; 2) rehabilitation for aphasia and perceptual dysfunction proved effective for at least several months after acute stroke; 3) in general, examination of the reports cited revealed no differences in the effects of biofeedback and perceptual retraining vs conventional physiotherapy; 4) rehabilitation, whether administered by specialists or amateur caregivers purpose-trained by specialists, proved equally effective for aphasia. These conclusions constitute a valuable basis for the development and evaluation of modern rehabilitation programs for stroke patients. 相似文献
15.
Martin Grosse Holtforth Louis G. Castonguay Thomas D. Borkovec 《Clinical psychology》2004,11(4):396-404
The conceptual and methodological framework proposed by Doss (this issue) makes valuable suggestions for strategic choices in future research. This commentary addresses conceptual and terminological distinctions adopted by Doss, as well as his criticism of add-on/ dismantling studies. We also suggest research topics and methodological developments that could be integrated in Doss's framework to further expand understanding of therapeutic change. 相似文献
16.
M. Soukop A. Robinson† D. Soukop C. L. Ingham-Clark§‡ M. J. Kelly¶‡ 《Colorectal disease》2007,9(2):146-150
OBJECTIVE: Over the last 6 years, multidisciplinary teams (MDTs) have been established and play a key role in organizing the delivery of cancer care in the UK. There are no published data on the roles of their co-coordinators. To seek the views of colorectal multidisciplinary team co-ordinators (MDTCs) on what they do and how they do it. METHOD: Questionnaires were sent to the colorectal MDTC, or equivalent, in all 180 NHS hospital trusts in England and Wales where colorectal cancer surgery is performed. RESULTS: There was a 70% response rate. Seventy-one per cent of trusts now have a dedicated MDTC, whereas in 2002, only 40% had one. MDTCs generally keep their information on databases, but these differ, and are not coordinated with data entry into the national colorectal cancer database of the Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland. In only 26 trusts does the MDTC communicate decisions to primary care, and the patients seem almost completely excluded from this process. CONCLUSION: The recently formed national MDTC Forum should grasp the opportunity of coordinating all of this well-intentioned but pluralistic activity to the benefit of patients, primary care and hospital teams. An effective MDTC with a robust database will be the key in achieving cancer waiting time targets with useful audit, thereby improving patient care. 相似文献
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Following the discovery of X-rays in 1895 by Wilhelm Röntgen the value to the military surgeon of the new technique was soon realised. The localisation of retained bullets by radiography avoided inappropriate exploration of the wound. The X-rays were first used on casualties from the Abyssinian War of 1896 and the developing radiological technology was progressively applied to military surgery. In addition the needs of warfare stimulated the development of all aspects of radiology. 相似文献
19.
陈德满 《中华临床医学杂志》2006,7(10):14-15
为解决骨盆不稳定性骨折固定难,易产生并发症的难题,结合骨盆的特征进行研究,设计出一种新型骨盆骨折固定器,经62例骨盆不稳定性骨折的治疗观察,随访6个月~2年零6个月,治疗前后X线检查及临床疗效评定:治愈50例,好转12例,认为该固定器设计合理,操作简便,固定牢靠,有加压、撑开、纠正旋转等多项功能结合干一体,仅通过四枚4mm螺纹针,穿入髂骨的髂前上棘处,是一种治疗骨盆不稳定性骨折比较新颖和理想的外固定器。 相似文献
20.
Dr M. Weeke-Lüttmann 《European journal of epidemiology》1994,10(4):513-514
The epidemiological situation calls for almost yearly changes in the antigenic composition of influenza vaccine, thus necessitating fresh licensing procedures. Since the time for bringing a new vaccine onto the market should be relatively short, the following work of all parties involved must be done expeditiously: 1) WHO recommendations on new virus strains and their subsequent adaptation by the EEC (February/March); 2) Distribution of the new virus strains to the International Reference Centers for Influenza in the UK and USA (February/ March); the centers later issue reference materials for the determination of the haemagglutinin antigen concentration (April/May); 3) Production and testing of seed virus by manufacturers, as well as validation of the producer's inactivation process for the new virus strains (May/June); 4) Licensing of the vaccines by the National Control Authority (Paul-Ehrlich-Institute) (June/July); in the case of previously licensed products, the procedure is limited essentially to the approval of the detailed protocol of production and tests on the new virus strains, clinical studies not being required before licensing because of a lack of time; 5) Paul-Ehrlich-Institute's test for batch release, according to Directive 89/342/EEC, besides protocol approval, conducts material testing of the endotoxin and antigen content of each vaccine lot; the assay for the antigen quantification is especially laborious and sometimes must be repeated because of test invalidity. 相似文献