影响重型肝炎预后的因素分析

目的研究重型肝炎的各种预后因素的重要性。方法选择2000年1月至2004年12月我院收治的重型肝炎患者358例,分为好转治愈组和恶化死亡组,将两组的临床资料进行单因素和多因素分析。结果两组之间在凝血酶原活动度、肝性脑病、总胆红素和天冬氨酸氨基转移酶/丙氨酸氨基转移酶等方面有显著性差异(P<0.05)。结论凝血酶原活动度、肝性脑病、总胆红素和天冬氨酸氨基转移酶/丙氨酸氨基转移酶比值等可以作为判断重型肝炎预后的指标,对指导临床有一定价值。     

Comparison of diagnostic usefulness of predictive models in preliminary differentiation of adnexal masses

The purpose of this study was to compare prognostic models evaluating the probability of an ovarian cancer occurrence based on a number of clinical and ultrasonographic data in women with adnexal masses. A total of 686 women with adnexal masses underwent the examinations between 1994 and 2002. The recorded parameters included: age, menopausal status, body mass index, the grayscale and Doppler ultrasonographic examination, and selected markers concentration levels. In order to find the best combination of features, which significantly influences the probability of malignancy, stepwise logistic regression analysis, as well as artificial neural network, was used. The diagnostic efficiency of received models was estimated and compared using receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The results indicate that 431 and 255 patients had a benign and malignant ovarian tumor, respectively. Application of stepwise logistic regression analysis revealed statistically significant importance of eight features. The sensitivity and specificity for the received model were 65.71% and 77.59%, respectively. Three-layer perceptron network shows 13 features as significant predictors of malignancy. The network gave a sensitivity of 85.7% and specificity of 93.1%. Comparison of area under ROC curve for received models was 0.9679 vs 0.9716. Prognostic values of the analyzed neural model are not optimal but seem to surpass logistic regression model in terms of the predictive possibilities.     

Preventing heart disease: is treating the high risk sufficient?

Monte Carlo simulation was used to assess the effects of several intervention strategies on coronary heart disease mortality rates in a Finnish and a North American cohort. Lowering total serum cholesterol by 4%, smoking by 15%, and diastolic blood pressure by 3% for the whole cohort would be expected to reduce the incidence of non-fatal myocardial infarction by at least 13% and coronary heart disease deaths by at least 18%. Lowering serum cholesterol by 34%, diastolic blood pressure to 90 mmHg, and reducing smoking by 20% in the subset of the population with all three risk factors in the highest quartile would result in a 6-8% reduction in non-fatal myocardial infarction and a 2-9% reduction in deaths from coronary heart disease in these cohorts. These data demonstrate that in populations with a relatively high incidence of heart disease, treating the entire population will produce larger effects than focusing only on high-risk populations.     

Multiple regression analysis of twin data obtained from selected samples

The multiple regression analysis of twin data in which a cotwin's score is predicted from that of a proband (the member of a twin pair selected because of a deviant score) and the coefficient of relationship provides a powerful test of genetic etiology (DeFries and Fulker: Behav Genet 15:467-473, 1985). Moreover, when an augmented model containing an interaction term is fitted to the same data set, direct estimates of heritability (h2) and the proportion of variance owing to shared environmental influences (c2) are also obtained. In the present paper, the expected partial regression coefficients estimated from these models are derived, and the flexibility of the general approach is illustrated. An extended model is formulated for the analysis of data from combined samples of affected and control twin pairs that yields tests for differential h2 and c2 in the two groups as well as pooled estimates of these parameters. The application of these models is illustrated by an analysis of data from reading-disabled and control twin pairs. Because of the ease, flexibility, and utility of the multiple regression analysis of twin data, it is an appealing alternative to more traditional model-fitting approaches.     

影响利培酮治疗精神分裂症疗效因素分析

目的　探讨影响利培酮对精神分裂症疗效的关键因素。方法　对 57例单用利培酮治疗的精神分裂症患者 ,采用一系列标准评定工具对 39个临床指标进行定量或半定量评估。并作Logistic回归分析。将治疗后简明精神病评定量表 (BPRS)减分率≥ 30 %者确定为“有效”。结果　单因素分析显示 :服药依从性 ,MMPI中Sc、Si、D因子 ,治疗前BPRS 2和BPRS 4因子 ,TESS 3因子 ,家族史 ,起病形式 ,意识模糊 ,住院时间与利培酮疗效有关 ;经多因素分析有服药依从性 ,MMPI(Sc) ,BPRS 2 ,家族史 ,意识模糊等 5个指标选入回归方程。结论　影响利培酮对精神分裂症疗效的关键因素依次为服药依从性 ,MMPI中精神分裂因子 ,阴性症状 ,家族史及意识模糊     

Spontaneous regression of a temporal arachnoid cyst

Surgery is considered to be the standard therapy for arachnoid cysts (ACs). We report the case of a 13-year-old boy in whom a right temporal AC disappeared spontaneously over a period of 10 years. Bulging of the right temporal skull led to the detection of the cyst by computed tomography (CT) scan at the age of 3 years. There were no other clinical symptoms. Subsequent CT scans showed spontaneous regression of the cyst without surgical intervention. The question as to how ACs should be treated is discussed.     

Characteristics of neuronal activity in prefrontal cortex during performance of spatial delayed reactions in monkeys

Several types of neurons were differentiated on the basis of a study of neuronal activity in various parts of the cortex near the sulcus principalis during the execution of spatial delayed reactions by monkeys. It was established that the different types of neurons are represented in different numbers in. different parts of the cortex near the sulcus principalis. The determination of several factors influencing the activity of these neurons and the comparison of data on their quantitative representation in the anterior, middle, and posterior parts of the cortex near the sulcus principalis with the existing behavioral data obtained after local ablations of identical regions of the brain made it possible to postulate that neurons belonging to the different types are involved in the analysis of different processes and represent different functional units.Translated from Fiziologicheskii. Zhurnal SSSR imeni I. M. Sechenova, Vol. 71, No. 12, pp. 1488–1494, December, 1985.     

胸大肌肌皮瓣脂肪液化的相关危险因素探讨

目的探讨胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化的相关危险因素。方法对1998年5月至2005年12月采用胸大肌肌皮瓣修复口腔癌术后组织缺损的82例中10例术后发生不同程度脂肪液化的病例,进行Logistic回归分析。结果Logistic单因素回归分析结果表明：肥胖、电刀切开皮下组织、皮岛设计低于第7肋、吸烟等因素与胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化有关;Logistic多因素回归分析结果表明：胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化与肥胖、电刀切开皮下组织、皮岛设计低于第7肋等因素有关,而与吸烟无关。结论肥胖、电刀切开皮下组织、皮岛设计低于第7肋等因素是胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化的危险因素。     

安氏Ⅲ类错畸形病因的logistic分析

目的研究引起安氏Ⅲ类错牙合畸形的病因。方法对50例安氏Ⅲ类错牙合患者和50例正常牙合人作病因问卷调查,将结果用logistic法分析,提取有效病因。结果共有慢性扁桃体炎、遗传因素、咬上唇3项病因进入方程。结论按贡献大小,长期慢性扁桃体炎、经常咬上唇和遗传因素是导致安氏Ⅲ类错牙合畸形的危险因素。     

高血压病危险因素研究

本文对高血压病病人及对照的生活习惯、个人嗜好、精神因素等15个因素进行了1:1配比病例对照研究及 Logistic 回归分析,同时调查厂遗传因素和高血压病的关系。结果表明:超体重、发病前二年受应激事件刺激、母亲高血压史为高血压病的危险因素。高血压病遗传度35.58%,提示遗传因素在该病的发生过程中不起主要作用。