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31.
Standard cost-effectiveness models compare incremental cost increases to incremental average gains in health, commonly expressed in Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). Our research generalizes earlier models in several ways. We introduce risk aversion in Quality of Life (QoL), which leads to “willingness-to-pay” thresholds that rise with illness severity, potentially by an order of magnitude. Unlike traditional CEA analyses, which discriminate against persons with disabilities, our analysis implies that the marginal value of improving QoL rises for disabled individuals. Our model can also value the uncertain benefits of medical interventions by employing well-established analytic methods from finance. Finally, we show that traditional QALYs no longer serve as a single index of health, when consumers are risk-averse. To address this problem, we derive a generalized single-index of health outcomes—the Generalized Risk-Adjusted QALY (GRA-QALY). Earlier models of CEA that abstract from risk-aversion nest as special cases of our more general model. 相似文献
32.
D.A. Legemate P.M. Bossuyt 《European journal of vascular and endovascular surgery》2006,32(6):620-623
There is insufficient evidence that the surgical treatment of asymptomatic infrarenal aneurysms > 5.5 cm. is beneficial to patients. This is the result of serious complications of aneurysm surgery and the dearth of information from randomized trials. Based on evidence from the literature we defined scenarios and translated data into natural frequency trees to improve understanding of the uncertainty of help versus harm due to treatment of aneurysms. Our analysis shows that the majority of patients can expect little on longevity from surgery while they are at risk of dying from surgery or suffering from serious morbidity. We conclude that, as long as uncertainty persist, patients should be treated in hospitals that can show very low surgical mortality and major morbidity rates. To further resolve the problem of uncertainty randomized trials for larger aneurysms should be performed. Important issues to discuss are the lower and upper limits of the diameter of the aneurysms and the age and risk profiles of the patients to be included in such trials. 相似文献
33.
A. Biglino M. Depaoli G. Cariti D. Giacobbi P. Gioannini 《European journal of epidemiology》1988,4(2):246-250
A cross-sectional, longitudinal study was undertaken on a group of acute non-A, non-B hepatitis patients, as well as on a control group of hepatitis B patients, in order to assess both the prevalence of the most important factors favoring infection, and the relevance of these factors in promoting evolution towards chronic liver disease. Exposures to unknown risk factors were present in 47.4% of acute non-A, non-B infections, followed by blood transfusions (17.9%), sporadic exposures (17.9%) and drug addiction (16.6%). Unknown as well as sporadic exposures showed a greater prevalence in control population if compared to non-A, non-B cases, while drug addiction was equally represented in the two groups, and blood transfusion nearly absent from control group. The risk of evolution to chronic liver disease was about 13 times greater in non-A, non-B group than in controls, with the greatest risk for drug addicts and the lowest for patients with unknown exposures. Among patients with known exposures, the lowest risk of chronic hepatitis was observed in post-transfusion and in sporadic cases, while the greatest was observed in drug addicts.Corresponding author. 相似文献
34.
D. Caroline Blanchard Jon K. Shepherd Antonio De Padua Carobrez Robert J. Blanchard 《Neuroscience and biobehavioral reviews》1991,15(4):461-468
Female rats consistently show a pattern of differences in defensive behaviors compared to males which parallel the effects of exposure to a nonpainful threat stimulus (cat or cat odor) in the same tests and measures. These indications of greater defensiveness for females are particularly common in situations involving potential, as opposed to actual and present, threat, a factor which probably also reflects ceiling or floor effects in situations involving very intense defensiveness. In addition, pharmacological studies indicate sex differences in the effects of selective serotonin (5-HT) receptor agonists and antagonists on defensive responding. These findings indicate that sex effects must be considered in studies of the pharmacological control of defensive behaviors, and suggest that responsivity to sex effects may be an additional criterion for the suitability of animal models of anxiety. 相似文献
35.
Kathleen Paul Pedro J. Garcia Lisa E. Manhart King K. Holmes Jane E. Hitti 《Social science & medicine (1982)》2009
A woman's partner and the characteristics of their partnership can play an important role in the health of her pregnancy. Yet, with the notable exception of intimate partner violence, there has been little previous research addressing the associations between partner- or partnership-related factors and birth outcomes. This analysis tested the hypothesis that risk factors related specifically to partner or partnership characteristics increased the risk for preterm birth. Between 2003 and 2005, a total of 580 preterm cases (20–36 weeks gestational age at delivery) and 633 term controls (≥37 weeks) were selected from women delivering at an obstetric hospital in Lima, Peru. Each woman completed a confidential, structured interview and provided biological specimens within 48 h after delivery. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess associations between partner and partnership characteristics and preterm birth. After adjustment for behavioral, demographic, and obstetric risk factors, ever having had a partner with a history of drug use (aOR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.22–2.99), ever having had anal sex (aOR = 1.40, 95% CI 1.07–1.84), having a current partner with a history of visiting prostitutes (aOR = 1.69, 95% CI 1.22–2.33), and perceiving one's current partner as a “womanizer” (aOR = 1.34, 95% CI 1.02–1.77) were significantly associated with an elevated risk of preterm birth when tested in separate models. These four factors were then used to create a composite partnership risk score, which showed an increasing dose-response relationship with preterm birth risk (per additional partner risk factor: aOR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.16–1.49). These results highlight the importance of considering a broader set of risk factors for preterm birth, specifically those related to a woman's partner and partnership characteristics. Further research could clarify the specific mechanisms through which these partner and partnership characteristics may increase the risk of preterm birth. 相似文献
36.
《Pediatric Dental Journal》2006,16(1):91-95
The aim of this study was to assess risk behaviors and its association with caries activity and dental caries in Japanese children. The subjects were 392 young Japanese children who underwent dental health check-up at 18, 30 and 42 months of age. Oral examinations, Cariostat tests and dental health questionnaires were carried out at each time. The caries prevalence of children was 1.5% at 18 months, 9.9% at 30 months and 28.1% at 42 months. Caries activity based on the Cariostat scores of children was correlated with caries status (caries-free/carious) at 42 months. In children with caries during each examination period at 42 months, eating snacks while playing was ranked as the most important behavioral risk (P < 0.001), followed by breast-feeding (P < 0.01), non setting of time for snacks (P < 0.05) and frequency of snacks (P < 0.05) at 18 months old; non brushing by mother (P < 0.05) and eating snacks while playing (P < 0.05) were ranked highest at 30 months old. In addition, eating snacks while playing (P < 0.001) at 42 months old was the only a significant factor for children with caries. Caries activity and risk behaviors were associated with caries experience at different age periods of childhood. 相似文献
37.
目的探讨群体损伤院前急救转运存在的风险与防范对策。方法通过547例群体损伤转运,分析影响安全转运存在的风险,正确评估和判断风险,制定有效的防范措施和对策。结果 547例伤员安全转运入院治疗,入院率100%。结论预见转运存在风险,采取有效防范对策,是确保成功转运的关键因素。 相似文献
38.
目的 对比分析食管癌病例组与对照组血缘亲属食管癌患病风险,并了解食管癌家族中危险亲属人群患病的新线索.方法 采用病例对照研究方法 ,对食管癌病例组及对照组各720例进行逐层分析,以比较两组各血缘亲属父系、母系食管癌患病危险度(OR)的大小及差异.结果 (1)病例组Ⅰ级亲属食管癌患病危险度(1.34%~2.24%)显著高于对照组(0.78%~1.21%)(P<0.01);Ⅰ级亲属中病例组父母亲食管癌患病危险度为6.11%,显著高于对照组父母亲食管癌患病危险度2.97%(P<0O01).(2)以血缘亲属中父系和母系亲属逐层分析可见,病例组父系食管癌患病危险度(0.87%~1.01%)与母系患病危险度(0.50%~0.79%)均显著高于对照组父系食管癌患病危险度(0.53%~0.65%)与母系患病危险度(0.38%~0.47%)(P<0.05).进一步分析显示,病例组父系中男性亲属与母系中女性亲属,即父系中祖父、父亲、叔伯食管癌患病危险度为2.68%与母系中外祖母、母亲、姨的食管癌患病危险度1.91%均显著高于对照组父系中男性亲属食管癌患病危险度1.50%与母系中女性亲属食管癌患病危险度0.92%(P<0.01).结论 山西省食管癌患者血缘亲属发病危险主要是父亲及其兄弟、母亲及其姐妹,其下代患食管癌风险要大. 相似文献
39.
眼底动脉硬化与血压、血糖、血脂的多元分析与评估 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
目的探讨眼底动脉硬化与血压、血脂、血糖的相关性,评估中风危险度。方法对2004年5月至2008年10月就诊的患者335例,作为观察组,并与无症状的健康体检者180例作对照,动态检测眼底动脉硬化、血压、血糖、血脂的异常变化,并做综合量化评估。结果脑血管疾病与眼底动脉硬化、血压、血糖、血脂等因素密切相关。结论眼底动脉硬化、血糖、血脂、血压异常的量化评分,能够预估中风,以便采取预防性治疗。 相似文献
40.
Lourenço T. Higa Luiza Tsuneto João L. Garcia Ana L. Falavigna-Guilherme 《Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene》2010,104(6):400-405
We evaluated anti-Toxoplasma gondii IgM-reactive pregnant women seen at a high-risk pregnancy outpatient clinic. From March 2005 to January 2008 in Paraná, Brazil, pregnant women seen by the Brazilian Public Health System, in any gestational period, who were anti-T. gondii IgM-positive, were followed. Clinical symptoms were noted, and tests performed including IgA, IgG avidity, ultrasonogram, and amniocentesis (PCR/inoculation in mice). Of 75 patients, 8 showed low, 3 intermediate and 31 high IgG avidity. Of those who underwent the avidity test, 31 (70.5%) were in the second trimester of pregnancy. Thirty-two (42.7%) pregnant women received specific treatment. Six received triple combination treatment; in three, tachyzoites were isolated, although only one was PCR-positive, showing changes in the cerebral sonogram, borderline IgA, and the Sabin tetrad. One fetus died, and one non-reactive IgM pregnant woman showed ocular recurrence. The municipality of residence, contact with cats during adulthood, and ingestion of unpasteurized milk were shown to be important risk factors. Congenital toxoplasmosis was observed in a pregnancy referred late for treatment. Follow-up of children born to mothers with diagnosed or suspected acute toxoplasmosis is crucial in the management of the changes that toxoplasmosis may cause. 相似文献