2002—2004年深圳市慢病院抗结核病用药情况分析

目的掌握我院抗结核药物的用药现状及变化趋势。方法对我院2002—2004年抗结核药物的用药品种、金额进行分析和比较。结果我院抗结核药物的用药金额2002—2004年呈逐年上升趋势。结论抗结核药物的品种相对较少，价格较便宜．但抗结核病药物在我院防病、治病方面占有重要的地位，其用药数量、用药金额都在不断增长，抗结核病药物品种亟待进一步开发。     

Simultaneous non-parametric confidence intervals for survival probabilities from censored data

In medical studies with censored data Kaplan and Meier's product limit estimator has frequent use as the estimate of the survival function. Simultaneous confidence intervals for the survival function at various time points constitute a useful addition to the analysis. This study compares several such methods. We consider in a simulation investigation two whole curve confidence bands and four methods based on the Bonferroni inequality. The results show that three Bonferroni-type methods are essentially equivalent, all being better than the other methods when the number of time points is small (3 or 5).     

Discrimination of idiopathic pain syndromes from neurogenic pain syndromes and healthy volunteers by means of clinical rating,personality traits,monoamine metabolites in CSF,serum cortisol,platelet MAO and urinary melatonin

Summary The aim of the present study was to investigate the discriminative power of a series of variables (including determination of depressive symptomatology by means of a visual analogue scale, determination of personality traits by means of the Karolinska Scales of Personality, determination of monoamine metabolites in CSF, platelet MAO activities, serum cortisol before and after dexamethasone suppression and urinary melatonin) in differentiating (a) chronic pain patients from healthy subjects, and (b) patients with idiopathic pain syndromes from patients with neurogenic pain syndromes. Separately each of the measures gave a significant but often low contribution to the discrimination, while a combination of several measures gave a complete discrimination both between healthy subjects and patients with chronic pain syndromes and between patients with idiopathic and neurogenic pain syndromes, respectively.Supported in part by grants from the Swedish Medical Research Council (grants no. 3371, 4145 and 5740) and by a grant from Stiftelsen Söderström-Königska Sjukhemmet     

Screening vs. individual detection of industrial fluorosis: a decision analysis model

In preventive medicine and occupational health, decision-makers face uncertainty, divergent opinions, and varying needs. In the Swiss aluminum industry, screening for industrial fluorosis illustrates how decision analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis can provide rational and explicit models of decision-making in such contexts. Data on fluoride-exposed potroom workers are used to compare the cost-effectiveness of two strategies: mass screening of fluorosis versus individual detection of the disease on the basis of the worker's symptoms. A decision-analysis and a sensitivity analysis are performed to assess the impact of the screening program for different levels of expected prevalence of the disease. The optimal decision, in economic terms, is the one that minimizes the pension and screening-related costs and maximizes the number of years of full working capacity. Swiss data suggest that a diagnosis of clinical fluorosis is unlikely before 10 years of exposure to fluoride. Between 10 and 30 years of exposure to fluoride, mass screening may be more cost-effective than individual detection of the disease, even when the expected prevalence of the disease in a given industrial setting is less than 10%.     

Correspondence analysis as a screening method for indicants for clinical diagnosis

In clinical diagnosis, a patient's symptoms are observed and the probabilities of various diseases are assessed. A widely used method of formalizing this approach is independent Bayes in which symptoms are assumed to be independent conditional on the disease category. Correspondence analysis provides a method for examining the dependence between symptoms and assists in the selection of a reduced set of symptoms for the application of the independent Bayes method. This approach is illustrated on two data sets concerned with patients attending Accident and Emergency departments with chest pain and acute abdominal pain, respectively.     

中药熏洗治疗膝关节骨性关节炎的Meta分析

为运用循证医学方法对中药熏洗治疗膝骨性关节炎（OA）的临床疗效及安全性进行系统评价和Meta分析。全面收集了中药熏洗治疗OA的文献资料。在严格质量评价基础上，对研究结果进行定性分析。合并各篇优、良为阳性结果，中、差为阴性结果。利用RevMan4．1软件对多个研究结果的总体疗效进行固定效应模型的Meta分析，并进行敏感性分析。用漏斗图表示发表性偏倚。结果显示，中药熏洗治疗OA的效应值OR=2．68.95％可信区间为[1．82，3．95]；敏感性分析显示效应值稳定；漏斗图图形不对称；无中药熏洗不良反应的报道。表明中药熏洗治疗OA有一定的疗效，由于漏斗图提示存在发表性偏倚，加上现有临床研究存在的方法学问题，现在的研究结论有一定的局限性，欲得出公认的结论，尚有待进行设计严谨的多中心、随机对照试验。     

成人水痘20例临床分析

目的探讨成人水痘的临床特点。方法分析20例成人水痘的临床特点，并与30例儿童水痘比较。结果患者出疹时间、皮疹分布区域、发热时间和并发症等，成人水痘都与儿童水痘不同。结论与儿童水痘相比较，成人水痘有自己的临床特点。     

胸大肌肌皮瓣脂肪液化的相关危险因素探讨

目的探讨胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化的相关危险因素。方法对1998年5月至2005年12月采用胸大肌肌皮瓣修复口腔癌术后组织缺损的82例中10例术后发生不同程度脂肪液化的病例,进行Logistic回归分析。结果Logistic单因素回归分析结果表明：肥胖、电刀切开皮下组织、皮岛设计低于第7肋、吸烟等因素与胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化有关;Logistic多因素回归分析结果表明：胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化与肥胖、电刀切开皮下组织、皮岛设计低于第7肋等因素有关,而与吸烟无关。结论肥胖、电刀切开皮下组织、皮岛设计低于第7肋等因素是胸大肌肌皮瓣术后发生脂肪液化的危险因素。