Predictors of survival in 171 patients with systemic sclerosis (scleroderma)

Summary Predictors of survival were determined in 171 patients with systemic sclerosis by univariate analysis, and the Cox proportional hazards model using both cross sectional data at entry into the follow-up and time-dependent follow-up data. Clinical and laboratory data were evaluated from 1982 to the end of 1993. The presence of diffuse scleroderma, kidney and cardiac involvements were unfavourable prognostic signs in both the univariate analysis, and the Cox proportional hazards models. The Cox model, using the variables detected at study entry, indicated that pericarditis, and anaemia were bad prognostic signs. Analysis with time dependent data has not been reported in systemic sclerosis. The appearance of pigmentation disturbances, anaemia, and respiratory failure during the follow-up also caused a poor prognosis of the disease by the Cox model. In the stepwise selection models, diffuse scleroderma, internal organ manifestations including renal, and cardiac involvements were predominantly selected as the most unfavourable factors for survival. As to the extent of skin involvement and internal organ manifestations, the general behaviour of the disease seems to be similar throughout the world. The early appearance of pericarditis and pigmentation disturbances at study entry are bad prognostic signs.This work was supported by the Hungarian Ministry of Health and Social Welfare and by the National Foundation for Scientific Research.     

筛检对肝癌死亡率影响的研究

5581名HBsAg阳性的男性随机分入周期性筛检组(A组,3712人)及对照组(B组,1869人)。A组(19155.4人年)共发生肝癌257例,B组(9785.5人年)为117例,两组的肝癌发生率分别为1342/10万与1196/10万;两组肝癌死亡分别为218与109例,肝癌死亡率分别为1138/10万与1114/10万。两组中Ⅰ期肝癌病例分别为29.6％与6.0％,差异有非常显著性意义。1、3、5年相对生存率A组为23.7％、7.0％、4.0％,B组为9.7％、4.0％、4.1％。用Poisson回归模型拟合显示,在调正年龄、初筛AFP及入列年份后,筛检对于肝癌的相对危险度为0.83,95％CI为0.68～1.03,有较弱的“保护”作用,Cox回归模型拟合结果显示当临床分期未引入模型时,筛检对于肝癌有显著的“保护”作用:危险率为0.6617,95％CI为0.5234～0.8365;而模型经调整后,危险率即接近“1”,95％CI为0.74～1.26。     

Sarcomas of head and neck — A 10 yrs experience

38 cases of sarcoma of head and neck region were analysed in a retrospective way in relation to age, anatomic location, histological, clinical profile, and surgical approaches. Compared to other types of head and neck neoplasms, such as squamous cell carcinoma, soft tissue sarcomas have low rates of regional metastases. However the biological behaviour of soft tissue sarcoma is more aggressive specially in paediatric age group. In the present series, CT scan was considered as the primary modality of investigation. Surgery generally has been recommended as the primary method of treatment for achieving local control, except in those high-grade tumours arising in sites not amenable to resection. 3-year and 5-year survival rates in this present series 50% and 31.6% respectively.     

Effects of race and socioeconomic status on survival of 1,332 black, hispanic, and white women with breast cancer

Background: A survival disadvantage for black women with brest cancer, which persists after controlling for stage of the disease, has been reported. This study investigates the effects of race and socioeconomic status (SES) on breast cancer survival after controlling for age, stage, histology, and type of treatment. Methods: Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the interaction between race and SES in predicting survival in a sample of 163 black, 205 Hispanic, and 964 white women with breast cancer treated at M. D. Anderson Cancer Center (1987–1991). Results: The results of univariate and multivariate analyses indicate that race was not a significant predictor of survival after adjusting for SES and other confounding factors such as demographic and disease characteristics. SES remained a significant predictor of survival after all adjustments were made. There was no evidence of differences in type of treatment by race or SES if adjustments were made for stage. Conclusions: These results suggest that institutional factors, such as access to treatment, do not explain survival differences by race or SES. Other factors associated with low SES, such as life-style and behavior, may affect survival.     

Anal Canal Cancer

PURPOSE: This study was designed to obtain an updated population-based perspective on anal canal cancer incidence rates, demographics, and outcomes using a nationwide database. Eight-five percent of all carcinomas of the anus are anal canal cancers, and previous studies suggest that incidence rates may be rising. Although the most successful treatment for anal canal cancer has been chemoradiation, little information at the population-level exists regarding demographics, treatment, and survival. METHODS: All patients diagnosed with anal canal cancer from 1973 to 1998 in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results cancer registry were analyzed. Data regarding demographics, cancer characteristics, treatment, and survival were assessed. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 4,841 patients were studied (mean age was 61 years; 62 percent female). Female patients were significantly older than male patients (65 vs. 58 years; P < 0.0001). There was a yearly increase in incidence of anal canal cancers (from 1973–1998). Disease prevalence by stage was localized (53 percent), regional (38 percent), and distant (9 percent). Racial/stage differences were seen, because black patients had less localized disease than white patients (46 vs. 53 percent; P < 0.01). Overall five-year survival for the entire cohort was 53 percent, and cancer-specific survival was 84 percent. Survival improved per decade (based on year of diagnosis). Significant survival differences in race were noted, but were less when the receipt of treatment was considered. CONCLUSION: Although most anal canal cancer reviews are single institutional series, this study was performed with population-based data. The incidence of anal canal cancer is increasing, and overall survival rates are improving. Important disparities in care were identified, which need to be addressed.     

AIDS-free survival and overall survival in HIV infection: the new CDC classification system (1993) for HIV disease and AIDS

The clinical history of 1538 HIV positive patients was analyzed on the basis of the new CDC classification system of HIV disease and AIDS. This classification system combines three CD4 cell categories (1, 2, and 3) with three clinical categories (A, B, and C) into nine subgroups AI–C3. We examined the overall survival for all subgroups and the AIDS-free survival for subgroups Al–B3. AIDS-free survival for patients in subgroups Al, A2, and B1 was considerably longer than survival in patients from subgroups A3, B2, and B3 (P < 0.0001). According to these findings, the new CDC classification system could be simplified into three stages, stage I and II comprising the above mentioned six subgroups, and stage III comprising clinical AIDS defining categories C1, C2, and C3. These three stages correspond to different periods in the management of HIV positive patients, i.e., period of observation, period of prophylaxis, and period of treatment.Abbreviations AIDS acquired immunodeficiency syndrome - CDC Centers for Disease Control - HIV Human immunodeficiency virus Correspondence to: E.B. Helm     

Second births among teenage mothers: program results and statistical methods

This paper uses survival analysis to examine three large-scale, multi-site, randomized, controlled programs that attempted to prevent or delay second births to teenagers. Statistically significant differences in the hypothesized direction were found between the intervention and the control groups in the Elmira and Memphis Home Visitation sites. No statistically significant differences in the hypothesized direction were found in the Teen Parent Welfare Demonstration overall or in any of its three sites or in all New Chance sites combined. Delaying second pregnancies among teenagers requires intensive efforts. Survival analysis is a more accurate and useful way of presenting program results than simple analysis of the proportion of women with a second birth.     

Long-term outcome and complications of children born with meningomyelocele

The long-term functional outcome of 101 children born with meningomyelocele between 1971 and 1981 was assessed, by a combination of retrospective chart review and follow-up assessments. The children had been managed at birth using a process ofnonstandardized selection. Eighty-three of the 101 patients survived after a minimum follow-up of 8.6 years, for a mortality rate of 18%. Forty-four of 83 children (53%) were community ambulators, and this correlated well with the presence of intact quadriceps function. Forty-eight children (58%) attended normal school and were grade-appropriate. Sixty-two of 83 patients (75%) were socially continent of urine, and 71/83 (86%) were socially continent of stool. Hydrocephalus was present in 93 of the 101 children in the study, and 85 children were shunted. Half of the shunted children required a shunt revision in the first year of life, and thereafter the rate of revision decreased, so that after 2 years the risk of revision was approximately 10% per year.     

进展期胃癌术后辅助性化疗的10年随访结果

报告１０２例进展期胃癌术后患者，随机进行３组不同化疗方案并经平均随访１０．７年的结果。所有病例均为１９８３年５月到１９８５年５月间手术者。术后随机给予单一５－ＦＵ、５－ＦＵ＋ＣＣＮＵ和ＭＴＸ＋ＭＭＣ＋５－ＦＵ三组不同化疗。随访至１９９４年１２月止，死亡７７例，存活２５例。结果３、５和１０年总生存率分别为４２．１％；２９．４％和２４．５％。三组间比较，总自下而上率并无显著差异（Ｐ〉０．０５），但中位