血清IL-6和胃蛋白酶原Ⅰ/Ⅱ比值对老年胃癌患者预后评估的价值

目的探究老年胃癌患者术前血清白细胞介素6 (IL-6)、胃蛋白酶原(PG)Ⅰ、Ⅱ及PG-Ⅰ/Ⅱ比值在患者预后评估中的意义。方法选择2016年1月—2017年1月南通大学附属海安医院收治的101例外科手术治疗的老年胃癌患者为研究对象。收集患者的临床病理资料,检测血清IL-6和PG-Ⅰ/Ⅱ水平。以全因死亡为随访终点,使用Kaplan-Meier曲线明确患者预后与各指标间的关系。结果受试者工作特征曲线提示,IL-6、PG-Ⅰ和PG-Ⅰ/Ⅱ比值在最佳切割值为10.23pg/mL、30.65μg/L和2.44时,可评估患者的预后,而PG-Ⅱ则无法评估患者的预后。与IL-6≤10.23pg/mL组相比,IL-6> 10.23pg/mL组的肿瘤细胞分化更差、TNM分期Ⅲ期比例明显升高。Kaplan-Meier曲线结果表明,IL-6> 10.23pg/mL组的中位生存期显著短于IL-6≤10.23pg/mL组(28个月vs47个月,P<0.001);PG-Ⅰ≤30.65μg/L组的中位生存期显著短于PG-Ⅰ>30.65μg/L组(34个月vs49个月,P=0.008);PG-Ⅰ/Ⅱ≤2.44组的中位生存期显著短于PG-Ⅰ/Ⅱ> 2.44组(29个月vs56个月,P=0.02)。多因素Cox回归分析表明,肿瘤分化程度、TNM分期、IL-6及PG-Ⅰ/Ⅱ比值是影响患者生存率的独立危险因素。结论术前检测IL-6及PG-Ⅰ/Ⅱ比值有助于评估老年胃癌患者的预后。     

China special issue on gastrointestinal tumors-Radiological features of pathological complete response in mismatch repair deficient colorectal cancer after neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade: A post hoc analysis of the PICC phase II trial

Neoadjuvant programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) blockade exhibits promising efficacy in patients with mismatch repair deficient (dMMR) colorectal cancer (CRC). However, discrepancies between radiological and histological findings have been reported in the PICC phase II trial (NCT 03926338). Therefore, we strived to discern radiological features associated with pathological complete response (pCR) based on computed tomography (CT) images. Data were obtained from the PICC trial that included 36 tumors from 34 locally advanced dMMR CRC patients, who received neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade for 3 months. Among the 36 tumors, 28 (77.8%) tumors achieved pCR. There were no statistically significant differences in tumor longitudinal diameter, the percentage change in tumor longitudinal diameter from baseline, primary tumor sidedness, clinical stage, extramural venous invasion status, intratumoral calcification, peritumoral fat infiltration, intestinal fistula and tumor necrosis between the pCR and non-pCR tumors. Otherwise, tumors with pCR had smaller posttreatment tumor maximum thickness (median: 10 mm vs 13 mm, P = .004) and higher percentage decrease in tumor maximum thickness from baseline (52.9% vs 21.6%, P = .005) compared to non-pCR tumors. Additionally, a higher proportion of the absence of vascular sign (P = .003, odds ratio [OR] = 25.870 [95% CI, 1.357-493.110]), nodular sign (P < .001, OR = 189.000 [95% CI, 10.464-3413.803]) and extramural enhancement sign (P = .003, OR = 21.667 [2.848-164.830]) was observed in tumors with pCR. In conclusion, these CT-defined radiological features may have the potential to serve as valuable tools for clinicians in identifying patients who have achieved pCR after neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade, particularly in individuals who are willing to adopt a watch-and-wait strategy.     

Performance of risk prediction models for post-operative mortality in patients undergoing liver resection

BackgroundLiver resection is commonly performed for hepatic tumors, however preoperative risk stratification remains challenging. We evaluated the performance of contemporary prediction models for short-term mortality after liver resection in patients with and without cirrhosis.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study examined National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data. We included patients who underwent liver resections from 2014 to 2019. VOCAL-Penn, MELD, MELD-Na, ALBI, and Mayo risk scores were evaluated in terms of model discrimination and calibration for 30-day post-operative mortality.ResultsA total 15,198 patients underwent liver resection, of whom 249 (1.6%) experienced 30-day post-operative mortality. The VOCAL-Penn score had the highest discrimination (area under the ROC curve [AUC] 0.74) compared to all other models. The VOCAL-Penn score similarly outperformed other models in patients with (AUC 0.70) and without (AUC 0.74) cirrhosis.ConclusionThe VOCAL-Penn score demonstrated superior predictive performance for 30-day post-operative mortality after liver resection as compared to existing clinical standards.