Multivariate Markov chain analysis of the probability of pregnancy in infertile couples undergoing assisted reproduction.

BACKGROUND: Estimating the probability of pregnancy leading to delivery and the influence of clinical factors on that probability is of fundamental importance in the treatment counselling of infertile couples. A variety of statistical techniques have been used to analyse fertility data, many borrowed from survival analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: We propose an alternative method of analysis which is based on a discrete time Markov chain approach, with states 'pregnancy (leading to a delivery)', 'not pregnant', and 'censored' and in which the transition probabilities are dependent both on the clinical characteristics of the patient and the treatment given. CONCLUSIONS: We believe that the method of analysis presented here may be preferable to standard analyses in that it better reflects the clinical situation, it is a truly discrete time analysis applied to a discrete time situation, it explicitly models the censoring process (a process which in itself provides information of interest to the physician) and can be readily extended to a variety of clinical situations.     

The adjuvant monophosphoryl lipid A increases the function of antigen-presenting cells

The induction of immune responses in vivo is typically performed with antigens administered in external adjuvants, like alum, complete Freund's adjuvant, LPS and, more recently, monophosphoryl lipid A (MPL). However, the role of the adjuvant is still poorly defined. The aim of this study was to test whether the MPL affects the function of antigen-presenting cells (APC) in vitro and in vivo. Antigen-pulsed APC [including macrophages, B cells and dendritic cells (DC)] were incubated or not with MPL, and their ability to sensitize naive T cells was tested in vitro and in vivo. The data show that MPL enhances the ability of macrophages and B cells to sensitize naive T cells, and confers to them the capacity to induce the development of T(h)1 and T(h)2. Administration of MPL i.v. in mice results in the redistribution of fully mature DC in the T cell area of the spleen. These observations suggest that MPL may induce an antigen-specific primary immune response by provoking the migration and maturation of DC that are the physiological adjuvant of the immune system.     

Impedance plethysmography: the origin of electrical impedance changes measured in the human calf

Electrical impedance plethysmography of the lower leg is now a widely used test for detection of deep vein thrombosis. The origin of the impedance signal is difficult to evaluate in the living subject, and experimental animals have important anatomic differences. A controlled study on human cadavers was therefore undertaken. Conductive and nonconductive fluids were injected into the lower legs of cadavers, while electrical impedance changes were recorded utilising a 4-electrode technique. X-ray studies confirmed the localisation of the injections. Results from ten cadavers showed that significant impedance changes occurred only in response to injections of saline in the region between the electrodes. Injections of nonconductive silicone oil caused a small increase in the measured impedance. It is concluded that electrical impedance plethysmography reflects changes in conductivity confined to the region between the electrodes; and that the ratio of deep to superficial impedance sensitivity is a function of the electrode spacing.     

Functional neuroanatomy of human sleep states after zolpidem and placebo: a H215O-PET study

Changes in the functional organization of the brain during the course of sleep and waking are reflected by different patterns of regional cerebral blood flow (rCBF). To investigate the effect of the hypnotic zolpidem, a benzodiazepine receptor agonist, drug or placebo were administered to eight young, healthy men prior to bedtime. The subjects were sleep-deprived to promote sleep during the 4-h recording period in the positron emission tomography scanner. Intravenous injections of labelled water were administered during pre-drug wakefulness, and during Stage 2, Stage 4 and rapid eye movement (REM) sleep, each injection being followed by an emission scan. Statistical parametric mapping was used to investigate the effects of treatment and sleep states. During sleep (combined Stages 2 and 4, and REM sleep) relative rCBF was lower after zolpidem than after placebo in the basal ganglia and insula, and higher in the parietal cortex. A 'multiple study' analysis of REM sleep revealed that rCBF in the anterior cingulum was lower after zolpidem than after placebo, whereas rCBF in the occipital and parietal cortex, parahippocampal gyrus and cerebellum was higher. When the pooled data (drug and placebo) of Stages 2 and 4 were compared with wakefulness, rCBF was lower in prefrontal cortex and insula, and higher in the occipital and parietal cortex. The results indicate that some differences in rCBF from wakefulness to non-REM sleep are further augmented by zolpidem.     

Differential IL-12 responsiveness of T cells but not of NK cells from tumor-bearing mice in IL-12-responsive versus -unresponsive tumor models

While IL-12 administration induces tumor regression through stimulating T cells in tumor-bearing mice, this IL-12 effect is observed in some but not all tumor models. The present study aimed to compare IL-12 responsiveness of T cells from tumor-bearing mice in IL-12-responsive (CSA1M and OV-HM) and -unresponsive (Meth A) tumor models. Tumor regression in IL-12-responsive tumor models required the participation of T cells, but not of NK1.1(+) cells. Because a NK1.1(+) cell population was the major producer of IFN-gamma, comparable levels of IFN-gamma production were induced in IL-12-responsive and -unresponsive tumor-bearing mice. This indicates that the amount of IFN-gamma produced in tumor-bearing individuals does not correlate with the anti-tumor efficacy of IL-12. In contrast, IL-12 responsiveness of T cells differed between the responsive and unresponsive models: purified T cells from CSA1M/OV-HM-bearing or Meth A-bearing mice exhibited high or low IL-12 responsiveness respectively, when evaluated by the amounts of IFN-gamma produced in response to IL-12. T cells from CSA1M- or OV-HM-bearing but not from Meth A-bearing mice exhibited enhanced levels of mRNA for the IL-12 receptor (IL-12R). These results indicate that a fundamental difference exists in IL-12 responsiveness of T cells between IL-12-responsive and -unresponsive tumor models, and that such a difference is associated with the expression of IL-12R on T cells.     

Silicon neuron simulation with SPICE: tool for neurobiology and neural networks

The paper deals with computer simulations of ‘silicon neurons’, which are assemblies of CMOS circuits that generate the equivalents of the ionic currents and of the action potentials of real (biological) neurons. The circuit simulation program SPICE is used to simulate the generation of action potentials by a silicon neuron. Moreover, the equivalent circuits of silicon synapses are described and the behaviours of simple two- and three-neuron networks are analysed. Implications for the areas of neurobiology and formal neural networks are briefly considered.     

Two Methods for Identifying Wiener Cascades Having Noninvertible Static Nonlinearities

Two methods are proposed for identifying the component elements of a Wiener cascade that is comprised of a dynamic linear element (L) followed by a static nonlinearity (N). Both methods avoid potential problems of instability in a procedure presented by Paulin [M. G. Paulin, Biol. Cybern. 69: 67–76, 1993], which itself is a modification of a method described earlier by Hunter and Korenberg [I. W. Hunter and M. J. Korenberg, Biol. Cybern. 55: 135–144, 1996]. The latter method is a rapidly convergent iterative procedure that produces accurate estimates of the L and N elements from short data records, provided that the static nonlinearity N is invertible. Subsequently, Paulin introduced a modification that removed this limitation and enabled identification of Wiener cascades with nonmonotonic static nonlinearities. However, Paulin presented his modification employing an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model representation for the dynamic linear element. To remove the possibility that the estimated ARMA model could be unstable, we recast the procedure by utilizing instead a rapid method for finding an impulse response representation for the dynamic linear element. However, in this form the procedure did not have good convergence properties, so we introduced two key ideas, both of which provide effective alternatives for identifying Wiener cascades whether or not the static nonlinearities therein are invertible. The new procedures are illustrated on challenging examples involving high-degree polynomial static nonlinearities, of odd or even symmetry, a high-pass linear element, and output noise corruption of 50%. © 1999 Biomedical Engineering Society. PAC99: 8710+e, 0210Nj, 0250-r     

The Heritability of Depression Symptoms in Elderly Danish Twins: Occasion-Specific Versus General Effects

Depression symptomatology was assessed up to four times at 2-year intervals on a sample of 2100 Danish twins initially aged 70 years and older. Data were analyzed using the biometric growth model approach proposed by Neale and McArdle (2000). Results show that occasion-specific depression is moderately and equally heritable in men and women (occasion-specific estimates of heritability ranged from 22% to 37%). Estimates of phenotypic variance, genetic variance, and heritability did not vary systematically across waves. In the best-fitting growth model, depression symptomatology was accounted for by two factors: (1) a level (i.e., average) effect that was highly heritable (estimate of 69% in women and 64% in men) and reflected overall vulnerability, and (2) a residual effect that was nonheritable and reflected occasion-specific circumstances that could either exacerbate or moderate inherited vulnerability. Attempts to identify specific genetic contributions to depression might profitably focus on average levels across multiple assessments, while attempts to identify specific environmental effects might profitably focus on deviations about this average.     

小鼠巨细胞病毒模型的建立

目的为了探讨巨细胞病毒的致病机理。方法４周龄Ｂａｌｂ／Ｃ小鼠腹腔内接种小鼠巨细胞病毒（ＭＣＭＶ）。结果导致小鼠急性感染期体重下降，生长迟缓，唾液腺肿胀以至于死亡。唾液腺中检出高滴度感染性病毒（２．０×１０５ＰＦＵ／ｍｌ）。在小鼠３Ｔ３／Ｓｗｉｓａｌｂｉｎｏ细胞单层上形成的空斑清晰，易判断计数、镜检组织切片可见脑神经原细胞胞浆内包涵体。结论小鼠巨细胞病毒模型的建立为抗－ＣＭＶ有效药物的筛选以及对ＣＭＶ感染的预防、治疗提供了资料。     

Development and testing of a simple algorithm for a glucose clamp

The glucose clamp technique is widely used in clinical research studies to maintain a constant blood glucose (BG) level during metabolic perturbation. An algorithm is used to set the rate of an intravenous glucose infusion according to measured BG concentrations. Currently used clamp algorithms are unnecessarily complex. This paper describes the development and use of a new algorithm which is simpler to implement. The algorithm employs proportional and differential feedback control. Discrete BG sampling with a sampling period of 5 min is used. Computer simulation with a two-compartment model of glucose dynamics was used to refine the algorithm. A Monte Carlo approach was adopted to examine the effects of random variations in measured BG concentrations and the elapsed time between blood sampling and adjustment of the glucose infusion rate. A coefficient of variation in BG concentration of less than 4 per cent was predicted for a euglycemic clamp. This was confirmed when the algorithm was applied in clinical research studies. This degree of BG control compares well with other published algorithms.