Sepsis is a leading cause of mortality in the intensive care unit. Early prediction of sepsis can reduce the overall mortality rate and cost of sepsis treatment. Some studies have predicted mortality and development of sepsis using machine learning models. However, there is a gap between the creation of different machine learning algorithms and their implementation in clinical practice.This study utilized data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III. We established and compared the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), logistic regression (LR), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM).A total of 3937 sepsis patients were included, with 34.3% mortality in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III group. In our comparison of 5 machine learning models (GBDT, LR, KNN, RF, and SVM), the GBDT model showed the best performance with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.992), recall (94.8%), accuracy (95.4%), and F1 score (0.933). The RF, SVM, and KNN models showed better performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.980, 0.898, and 0.877, respectively) than the LR (0.876).The GBDT model showed better performance than other machine learning models (LR, KNN, RF, and SVM) in predicting the mortality of patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit. This could be used to develop a clinical decision support system in the future. 相似文献
Introduction: Metabolomics is a rapidly growing area of research. Metabolomic markers can provide information about the interaction of different organ systems, and thereby improve the understanding of physio-pathological processes, disease risk, prognosis and therapy responsiveness in a variety of diseases.
Areas covered: In this narrative review of recent clinical studies investigating metabolomic markers in adult patients presenting with acute infectious disease, we mainly focused on patients with sepsis and lower respiratory tract infections. Currently, there is a growing body of literature showing that single metabolites from distinct metabolic pathways, as well as more complex metabolomic signatures are associated with disease severity and outcome in patients with systemic infections. These pathways include, among others, metabolomic markers of oxidative stress, steroid hormone and amino acid pathways, and nutritional markers.
Expert commentary: Metabolic profiling has great potential to optimize patient management, to provide new targets for individual therapy and thereby improve survival of patients. At this stage, research mainly focused on the identification of new predictive signatures and less on metabolic determinants to predict treatment response. The transition from observational studies to implementation of novel markers into clinical practice is the next crucial step to prove the usefulness of metabolomic markers in patient care. 相似文献
Objective: To independently validate the predictive value of the intensive care requirement score (IRS) in unselected poisoned patients.Design: Retrospective chart review.Patients and methods: Five hundred and seventeen out of 585 admissions for acute intoxications could be analyzed. Eleven were excluded for a condition already requiring intensive care unit (ICU) support at admission (e.g., preclinical intubation). A further 57 admissions were excluded due to missing data. The IRS was calculated using a point-scoring system including age, Glasgow Coma Scale, heart rate, type of intoxication, and preexisting conditions. It was then compared to a composite endpoint indicating an ICU requirement (death in hospital, vasopressors, need for ventilation). The endpoint and the point-scoring system were identical to the original publication of the score.Results and conclusion: Twenty-three out of 517 patients had a complicated clinical course as defined by meeting the endpoint definition. Twenty-one out of 23 complicated courses had a positive IRS (defined as greater or equal 6 points), as compared to 255/494 patients with an uncomplicated clinical course (p?.001, Fisher’s exact test). One patient (with a positive IRS) died. The negative predictive value of the IRS was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.97–1), the sensitivity was 0.91 and the specificity 0.48. In conclusion, the IRS is significantly linked to outcome. While a negative IRS virtually excludes the need for ICU care, a positive IRS has a positive predictive value too low to be used for risk stratification. The IRS could also be applied to unselected admissions of poisoned patients. 相似文献