The superspreading places of COVID-19 and the associated built-environment and socio-demographic features: A study using a spatial network framework and individual-level activity data

Previous studies observed that most COVID-19 infections were transmitted by a few individuals at a few high-risk places (e.g., bars or social gathering venues). These individuals, often called superspreaders, transmit the virus to an unexpectedly large number of people. Further, a small number of superspreading places (SSPs) where this occurred account for a large number of COVID-19 transmissions. In this study, we propose a spatial network framework for identifying the SSPs that disproportionately spread COVID-19. Using individual-level activity data of the confirmed cases in Hong Kong, we first identify the high-risk places in the first four COVID-19 waves using the space-time kernel density method (STKDE). Then, we identify the SSPs among these high-risk places by constructing spatial networks that integrate the flow intensity of the confirmed cases. We also examine what built-environment and socio-demographic features would make a high-risk place to more likely become an SSP in different waves of COVID-19 by using regression models. The results indicate that some places had very high transmission risk and suffered from repeated COVID-19 outbreaks over the four waves, and some of these high-risk places were SSPs where most (about 80%) of the COVID-19 transmission occurred due to their intense spatial interactions with other places. Further, we find that high-risk places with dense urban renewal buildings and high median monthly household rent-to-income ratio have higher odds of being SSPs. The results also imply that the associations between built-environment and socio-demographic features with the high-risk places and SSPs are dynamic over time. The implications for better policymaking during the COVID-19 pandemic are discussed.     

2015—2019年恩平市农村饮用水水质卫生监测结果分析

目的了解恩平市农村生活饮用水水质卫生状况,为改善农村水质安全提供科学依据。方法2015年3月—2019年3月对恩平市的乡镇水源水、出厂水进行检测。结果2015年3月—2019年3月度共检测水样3424份,水质总的合格率为56.45%,出厂水的平均合格率为34.7%,末梢水的平均合格率为61.30%,水源水平均合格率达84.6%。各类监测指标中,不合格指标有游离余氯、菌落总数、总大肠菌群、浑浊度、pH值、铝、锌、铁、锰。结论恩平市农村生活饮用水水质合格率偏低,需要改进设备;加强水源保护、消毒净化;并积极引导农民减肥增效生产;进行卫生宣传及管理,保障饮用水质量。     

四川省凉山州4个重点贫困县6~24月龄婴幼儿营养及喂养现状调查

目的 了解凉山州贫困地区4个重点贫困县6~24月龄婴幼儿营养状况和家长喂养行为,为开展儿童营养与健康干预促进工作提供依据。方法 2018年4-7月采用多阶段随机抽样法,抽取4个重点县1 244名6~24月龄婴幼儿进行体格测量、血红蛋白含量检测和家长问卷调查。结果 凉山州4个重点县6~24月龄婴幼儿贫血患病率为51.9%,低体重率为9.5%,生长迟缓率为25.6%。多因素分析显示,婴幼儿性别、月龄、母亲学历、母亲职业、是否认为满3个月就可以添加辅食、是否知道谷类泥糊状食物是最适合首先添加的辅食、是否知道动物血或红肉是婴幼儿补铁的最好来源、是否知道贫血与铁缺乏有关、是否吃过母乳、6月龄后是否继续母乳喂养是影响婴幼儿营养状况的主要因素(P<0.05)。结论 凉山州贫困地区6~24月龄婴幼儿营养状况亟待改善,婴幼儿看护人喂养知识不足。应加强宣传教育,提高家长的育儿素养,掌握营养包的有效服用方法,纠正不正确的的喂养方式。     

富阳农村居民的健康状况研究

目的：探讨SF－36量表用于农村居民健康状况测定的可能性。方法：用中文版SF－36量表测定富阳2－7名14岁以上的农村居民,分析其信度,效度。结果：除了SF,RE维度,其余6维度内部一致性信度系数大于0．50,7维度内部一致性信度大于与其他维度的相关,因子分析产生3个主成分,累计方差贡献为64．6％,65岁以上者无应答,青年组与中年组各维度平均分数差异不显著,不同性别只在RP维度上判别显著,吸烟者与不吸烟者,饮酒者与不饮酒者的得分差异不显著,不同文化程度人群的得分差异不显著。结论：尚需更多证据支持SF－36量表适用于农村居民健康状况测定。     

Optimizing androgen deprivation therapy with radiation therapy for aggressive localized and locally advanced prostate cancer

Radiation therapy with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) has historically been one of the mainstays of treatment for intermediate- and high-risk prostate cancer. The benefit of ADT likely derives from both enhancing local control and inhibiting micrometastatic disease. While level 1 evidence has demonstrated the benefits of 4–6 months of ADT for all men with intermediate-risk disease, further stratification of intermediate-risk prostate cancer into favorable and unfavorable subgroups indicates that ADT may not be necessary for favorable intermediate-risk disease but likely still provides a survival advantage for unfavorable intermediate-risk disease, even in the dose escalation era. Long-course ADT, consisting of 2–3 years of treatment, is the standard of care for high-risk prostate cancer managed with RT based on phase III trials. However, emerging data from a randomized trial raises the possibility that 18 months of ADT could be sufficient for select high-risk patients. The desire to minimize exposure to ADT lies in its many adverse effects, including the potential for cardiovascular harm in certain patients with significant coexisting comorbidity, possibly increased risk for neurocognitive and psychiatric events, and the well-documented metabolic changes. Providers need to carefully weigh these potential risks with the known survival benefits of ADT in aggressive localized and locally advanced prostate cancer.     

中国农村地区现在吸烟者戒烟意愿及其影响因素研究

目的 了解中国农村地区现在吸烟者戒烟意愿,探索其影响因素,为控烟工作提供参考。方法 本研究数据来源于2018年中国慢性病及危险因素监测,采用多阶段分层整群抽样的方法抽取184 509名≥18岁居民,其中10 241名农村现在吸烟者纳入研究。采用χ²/F检验对戒烟意愿与人口学信息、烟草使用情况、烟草相关危害知识的认知、慢性病患病情况等因素进行单因素分析,多因素分析采用非条件多因素logistic回归分析。结果 3 453名（37.46%）考虑在未来12个月内戒烟。logistic回归分析显示,偶尔吸烟者的戒烟意愿高于每天吸烟者（OR=0.693,95%CI：0.494~0.971）,每天吸烟量<1包者的戒烟意愿高于≥1包者（OR=0.628,95%CI：0.511~0.771）,12个月内有戒烟经历者的戒烟意愿高于12个月内未戒过烟的现在吸烟者（OR=0.438,95%CI：0.357~0.537）,烟草危害认知程度高者戒烟意愿更高（OR=1.056,95%CI：1.028~1.086）,差异均有统计学意义（P<0.05）。结论 中国农村地区现在吸烟者戒烟意愿与吸烟状况、吸烟量、戒烟情况、烟草危害认知有关。建议加强对农村地区的健康教育宣传,提供简短的戒烟干预,提高农村现在吸烟者的戒烟意愿。     

豫南农村地区青少年校园暴力状况及其与性取向的关联分析

目的 了解豫南农村地区青少年校园暴力状况及性取向对其的影响,为豫南农村地区青少年校园暴力和身心健康干预提供借鉴。方法 采用分层整群抽样的方法2019年在豫南农村地区对4214名青少年进行问卷调查。结果 豫南农村地区青少年遭受校园暴力的比例为50.65%。在不同年级、性别、父亲学历、母亲学历、学习成绩、性取向方面学生遭受校园暴力的比例相比较,差异均有统计学意义（〖XC小五号.EPS;P〗值分别为21.56、101.65、8.78、9.34、11.94、18.54,P＜0.01）。多因素logistic回归分析表明,同性恋（OR值为1.52,95%CI为1.01~2.28）、双性恋（OR值为1.69,95%CI为1.27~2.22）与青少年遭受校园暴力呈现正相关关系（P＜0.05或0.01）。结论 豫南农村地区青少年校园暴力状况不容乐观,应采取有效干预措施进行暴力行为的干预和引导,同时教导青少年理性面对同性恋或双性恋群体,减少或避免校园暴力的发生。     

严重精神障碍患者的高危行为风险因素分析

目的 分析影响社区居家严重精神障碍患者的高危行为因素,为更好地开展风险监测、预警和干预模式提供依据。方法 收集存在危害他人/自身安全行为或危险的严重精神障碍患者240例为病例组,近3年未出现过高危行为的患者240例为对照组。收集患者的基本信息、疾病情况、家庭及社区管理等因素进行病例对照研究。结果 病例组以男性为主,精神分裂症居多（134例,55.83%）,平均入院年龄（41.57±13.125）岁,病程(M)11.5年;两组在不同的婚姻状态、精神疾病家族史、病程、暴力行为史、就业状态、家庭经济状况、享受以奖代补政策、自知力程度上差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。丧偶或离异［OR(95%CI)=4.487（2.033~9.902）］、有精神疾病家族史［OR(95%CI)=2.017（1.091~4.311）］、无业［OR(95%CI)=2.152（1.053~4.399）］、家庭经济贫困［OR(95%CI)=2.631（1.205~5.742）］、有暴力行为史［OR(95%CI)=6.619（1.305~33.558）］是发生高危行为的影响因素。结论 离异/丧偶状态、 家族史阳性、家庭贫困、无业、有暴力行为史患者是严重精神障碍患者可能出现高危行为的风险人群。在社区服务中应加强管理,降低患者高危行为的发生。     

新疆维吾尔自治区喀什地区疏附县学生溺水高危行为危险因素分析

目的 了解新疆维吾尔自治区喀什地区疏附县中小学生溺水高危行为的发生情况以及危险因素,为制定预防溺水政策和干预措施提供依据。方法 采用整群随机抽样方法,抽取疏附县布拉克苏乡和乌帕尔镇28所小学及2所初中,对小学一年级至初中二年级的所有学生进行问卷调查。结果 共14 543人纳入分析。有23.9%的中小学生在近12个月内发生过溺水高危行为,更高的游泳水平、性格内向、较强的好奇心、和同学相处较差、和家人相处较差、学校附近有开放性水域、家附近有开放性水域是溺水高危行为的危险因素。结论 应加强对中小学生心理和高危行为的关注,加强学生的溺水相关知识和技能培训,同时注意学校及社区开放性水域的管理与干预。