Diabetes prevalence in England, 2001--estimates from an epidemiological model.

AIMS: To estimate the total prevalence of diabetes mellitus (diagnosed and undiagnosed) at national, regional and local level in England to support health-care planning and delivery. METHODS: An epidemiological model was constructed by applying age-sex-ethnic-specific reference prevalence rates from epidemiological studies to resident populations (2001 census) of England at national, regional, and local authority/Primary Care Trust levels. RESULTS: Estimated prevalence of total diabetes for all persons in England was 4.41% in 2001, equating to 2 168 000 persons. Type 2 diabetes was estimated to affect 2 002 000 persons (92.3%) and Type 1 diabetes 166 000 persons (7.7%). Diabetes prevalence was estimated to be higher in women (5.17%) than men (3.61%). People from ethnic minority groups had higher crude prevalence than White Europeans (4.29, 5.69, 6.63 and 2.13% among White Europeans, Black African/Caribbeans, South Asians and 'other' groups, respectively). Prevalence increased sharply with age (0.33, 3.37 and 13.92%, respectively, in those aged 0-29, 30-59 and 60+ years). The model allows use of user-defined population denominator estimates to derive numbers and prevalence of people with diabetes for a given local population group, such as at ward or general practice level. CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported diabetes prevalence estimates from community surveys underestimate the true burden of diabetes. The model can be used to derive the expected total prevalence of diabetes in health areas that lack reliable data to facilitate the implementation of the National Service Framework for diabetes. It will also allow estimates of future diabetes prevalence to be derived, and can potentially be used for prevalence estimates in all of the UK.     

Therapeutic Effect of Berberine on 60 Patients with Non－Insulin Dependent Diabetes Mellitus and Experimental Research

ＴｈｅｒａｐｅｕｔｉｃＥｆｆｅｃｔｏｆＢｅｒｂｅｒｉｎｅｏｎ６０ＰａｔｉｅｎｔｓｗｉｔｈＮｏｎ－ＩｎｓｕｌｉｎＤｅｐｅｎｄｅｎｔＤｉａｂｅｔｅｓＭｅｌｌｉｔｕｓａｎｄＥｘｐｅｒｉｍｅｎｔａｌＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＮｉＹａｎ－ｘｉａ（倪艳霞）；ＬｉｕＡｎ－ｑ...     

Detection of linkage under heterogeneity: comparison of the two-locus vs. admixture models.

Linkage analysis under the two-locus model and the admixture model was compared on pedigree data for a common disease stimulated under a model of genetic heterogeneity. The ascertainment of families was designed so that the samples had a large proportion of families segregating for both disease loci. The two-locus linkage analysis model did not demonstrate increased power of detecting linkage or more accurate estimates of the recombination fraction, theta than did the admixture model linkage analysis. When a sample was purposely chosen so that all of the families were segregating for both loci, then the two-locus lod score analysis was better. However, the increased power depended on assuming the correct gene frequency for the linked locus. It can be concluded that under the conditions of genetic heterogeneity examined here, testing for linkage under the admixture model is the preferred method of analysis. However, this is not a general conclusion that can apply to all two-locus disease models.     

医院治理结构改革与医院管理职业化

通过对当前两种医院治理结构的六个要素比较，认为这两种改革模式的主要问题在于不能很好地解决委托人(或董事会)人员来源和委托人的所有权约束和激励以及代理人的约束和激励等两个问题。并据此提出政策建议，认为解决委托人与经营者的约束和激励问题是医院治理中非常关键的一环，国资委应在医院经营中培育一个专业化、职业化的委托人和代理人阶层。     

Role of intercellular adhesion molecule-1 in a murine model of toluene diisocyanate-induced asthma

BACKGROUND: Adhesion molecules such as intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) are thought to contribute to the airway inflammation and airway hyper-responsiveness (AHR) of allergic asthma. Some differences from allergic asthma have been noted, including airway neutrophilia, and the involvement of ICAM-1 in toluene diisocyanate (TDI) asthma is currently unclear. OBJECTIVE: We utilized mice lacking ICAM-1 expression (ICAM-1(-/-)) to investigate the role of ICAM-1 in airway inflammation and AHR in TDI-induced asthma. METHODS: Male C57BL/6J mice (ICAM-1(+/+)) and ICAM-1(-/-) mice were intranasally sensitized to TDI solution or solvent alone. Airway inflammation, AHR and cytokine secretion were assessed 24 h after challenge by TDI or solvent. The production of antigen-specific IgG and IgE by TDI sensitized and non-sensitized mice was determined. RESULTS: TDI challenge to ICAM-1(+/+) mice induced an increase in airway inflammatory cell numbers, AHR and cytokine secretion of TNF-alpha, macrophage inflammatory protein-2 (MIP-2), IL-4, IL-5 and IFN-gamma into the bronchoalveolar lavage fluid. All these pathophysiological changes were reduced in ICAM-1(-/-) mice. Serum levels of TDI-specific IgG and IgE of ICAM-1(-/-) and ICAM-1(+/+) mice were comparable. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that ICAM-1 plays an essential role in airway inflammation and AHR in TDI-induced asthma.     

根管细菌渗漏体外模型的建立

目的：建立检测微细菌培养模型，以用于评价根管充填封闭情况。方法：牙根的冠根两端各连接一细菌培养储室，冠方储室置1mL无菌培养基并接种0．1mL菌液，根方储室起始为无菌培养基。每隔3d将冠方储室中菌液吸出1mL，并注入1mL新鲜BHI培养基，共90d。当根尖储室中培养基发生浑浊即为细菌渗漏发生，记录细菌渗漏发生时的天数。选择18个直根管前牙，其中牙胶充填组6个，用冷牙胶侧方加压充填技术充填；空管组6个，根管只预备不充填；根管密封组6个，根管充填并严密封闭根管口和根尖孔。用设计的模型检测密封状况。结果：全部空管组6个样本在1d内根方储室中出现浑浊；根管密封组6个样本的根方储室在90d内均未发生浑浊。牙胶充填组有2个样本分别在44d和46d发生浑浊。结论：此模型方法简单易行且实用有效，具有一定的临床相关性和可行性。     

酱油卫生状况模糊评价模型的建立

目前酱油卫生状况采用单项的评价方法，存在着轻重不分等不科学因素。如食盐超标与大肠菌超标及重金属超标有着极大的差别。为了消除这种差别，根据模糊数学原理、建立Ｍ（·＋）综合评价模型［１］对宁德地区１９８９年酱油抽查检验结果进行卫生学评价取得了满意结果，从而为酱油卫生综合评价建立了有效的评价模型。     

Evaluation of hypothesis testing for comparing two populations using NONMEM analysis

In a simulation study of inference on population pharmacokinetic parameters, two methods of performing tests of hypotheses comparing two populations using NONMEM were evaluated. These two methods are the test based upon 95% confidence intervals and the likelihood ratio test. Data were simulated according to a monoexponential model and, in that context, power curves for each test were generated for (i)the ratio of mean clearance and (ii)the ratio of the population standard deviations of clearance. To generate the power curves, a range of these parameters was employed; other pharmacokinetic parameters were selected to reflect the variability typically present in a Phase II clinical trial. For tests comparing the means, the confidence interval tests had approximately the same power as the likelihood ratio tests and were consistently more faithful to the nominal level of significance. For comparison of the standard deviations, and when the volume of information available was relatively small, however, the likelihood ratio test was more able to detect differences between the two groups. These results were then compared to results on parameter estimation in order to gain insight into the question of power. As an example, the nonnormality of estimates of the ratio of standard deviations plays an important role in explaining the low power for the confidence interval tests. We conclude that, except for the situation of modeling standard deviations with only sparse information, NONMEM produces tests of significance that are effective at detecting clinically significant differences between two populations.Partial support from the Upjohn Company, NIH-BRSG SO RR 07066, and the Burroughs Wellcome Foundation.     

肺螨病的病理观察

本文报道螨类接种豚鼠气管引起的肺部病变,并对5种常见螨类的致病性进行比较。发现螨类接种后6天豚鼠肺部已形成典型的结节性病灶。结节圆锥形淡黄色,直径1～5mm之间。镜下表现为细支气管炎和细支气管周围炎,肺实质内有明显的异物肉芽肿形成,炎症在螨类接种豚鼠20天时,肺部嗜酸粒细胞浸润不明显,但30或40天时则出现明显的嗜酸细胞浸润,细支气管周围小动脉受到损害,部分小动脉内可见到螨体残骸。5种常见螨炎接种于5组豚鼠可引起大致相同的病变。从而证明豚鼠可作为动物模型以供肺螨病的研究,同时也证明5种常见贮藏螨具有相同的致病性。