Establishing the Cost-Effectiveness of New Pharmaceuticals under Conditions of Uncertainty—When Is There Sufficient Evidence?

Decisions about which health-care interventions represent adequate value to collectively funded health-care systems are as widespread as they are unavoidable. In the case of new pharmaceuticals, many countries now require formal cost-effectiveness analysis to inform this decision-making process. This requires evidence on parameters associated with health-related utilities, treatment effects, resource use, and costs, for which data from available regulatory trials are invariably absent or highly uncertain. This uncertainty results from a number of factors including the predominance of intermediate end points in the clinical evidence-base and the limited period of follow-up of patients in clinical studies. Despite these imperfections in the evidence base, decisions about whether new pharmaceuticals are sufficiently cost-effective for reimbursement cannot be side-stepped. Data limitations do, however, require the use of rigorous analytical methods to support decision making. Probabilistic decision models and value of information analysis offer a means of structuring decision problems, synthesizing all available data, characterizing the uncertainty in the decision, quantifying the cost of uncertainty, and establishing the expected value of perfect information. This analytical framework is important because it addresses two fundamental questions about new pharmaceuticals. First, is the product expected to be cost-effective on the basis of existing evidence? Second, is additional research concerning the product itself cost-effective? In addressing these questions, the analytical framework can establish when sufficient evidence exists to sustain a claim for a new pharmaceutical to be cost-effective.     

The effects of literacy and education on the quantitative and qualitative aspects of semantic verbal fluency.

Semantic verbal fluency tasks are commonly used in neuropsychological assessment. Investigations of the influence of level of literacy have not yielded consistent results in the literature. This prompted us to investigate the ecological relevance of task specifics, in particular, the choice of semantic criteria used. Two groups of literate and illiterate subjects were compared on two verbal fluency tasks using different semantic criteria. The performance on a food criterion (supermarket fluency task), considered more ecologically relevant for the two literacy groups, and an animal criterion (animal fluency task) were compared. The data were analysed using both quantitative and qualitative measures. The quantitative analysis indicated that the two literacy groups performed equally well on the supermarket fluency task. In contrast, results differed significantly during the animal fluency task. The qualitative analyses indicated differences between groups related to the strategies used, especially with respect to the animal fluency task. The overall results suggest that there is not a substantial difference between literate and illiterate subjects related to the fundamental workings of semantic memory. However, there is indication that the content of semantic memory reflects differences in shared cultural background--in other words, formal education--, as indicated by the significant interaction between level of literacy and semantic criterion.     

High-resolution imaging of progressive articular cartilage degeneration.

The objective of this study was to develop and verify a new technique for monitoring the progression of osteoarthritis (OA) by combining a rat model with the imaging modality optical coherence tomography (OCT). Time-sequential, in vivo, OCT imaging was performed on the left femoral condyles of 12 Wistar rats following sodium-iodoacetic acid-induced OA progression. The right femoral condyles (untreated) were also imaged and served as controls. Imaging was performed on days 0, 10, 20, 30, and 60 with an OCT system capable of acquiring images at four frames per second and an axial resolution of 5 microm. Progressive changes were analyzed using an OA scoring system. OCT successfully identified progressive cartilage degeneration as well as alteration of the cartilage/bone interface. Significant changes to both of these structures were observed in the sodium-iodoacetic acid-injected condyles. Structural changes detected with OCT were confirmed histologically. OCT in combination with a well-known model used in arthritis research represents a powerful tool for following degenerative joint disease progression in a given animal by detecting changes to the cartilage/bone interface and articular cartilage.     

Local induction of an insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 degrading protease activity in the course of wound healing

Proteases that reduce insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 affinity for insulin-like growth factor-I have been found in various biological fluids from human beings and rats. The aim of this study was to assess the local and systemic role of insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 proteases in the course of wound healing. Six rats had polyvinyl alcohol sponges implanted subcutaneously. Wound fluid and serum were collected 3 days after wounding. Gel filtration experiments showed that insulin-like growth factor-I was present as a 150 kDa complex in both serum and wound fluid. However, insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 measured by Western ligand blotting was virtually absent in wound fluid. Co-incubation of serum and wound fluid resulted in an ethylenediamine tetraacetic acid-inhibitable degradation of serum insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3, suggesting the presence of an insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 degrading activity in wound fluid. Incubation of ((125)I)-labeled insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 in wound fluid and serum showed a rapid and time-dependent proteolysis of insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 in wound fluid with metabolites similar to those generated by human term pregnant serum. No sign of insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 degrading activity was observed in rat-serum. In conclusion, there is an insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 proteolytic activity in wound fluid, and it is hypothesized that this activity results in a localized increase in insulin-like growth factor-I bioactivity.     

Demonstration of extrachromosmal DNA fromBabesia equi merozoites

An extrachromosomal nucleic acid element was detected in high-molecular-weight DNA preparations formBabesia equi merozoites. This extrachromosomal element was shown to be DNA rather than RNA and had an apparent fragment size of about 9 kilobasepairs (kb). Hybridization experiments using purified 9-kb DNA as a probe revealed sequence homologies with extrachromosomal DNA from two otherBabesia species.     

Concurrent quantification of tissue metabolism and blood flow via 2H/31P NMR in vivo. III. Alterations of muscle blood flow and metabolism during sepsis.

In the conclusion of this series of reports, the application of 31P/2H NMR to investigate the pathophysiology of sepsis in rat hindlimb muscle is demonstrated. Sepsis decreased muscle [PCr] by 18%, 18 +/- 4 SD vs 22 +/- 4 SD mmol/kg tissue wet wt (P = 0.01) in control rats but [ATP] was unchanged, 6 mmol/kg tissue wet wt (P = 0.2). The derived free cytosolic [ADP] in the two groups was similar, [ADP]septic = 0.023 +/- 0.004 SD and [ADP]control = 0.021 +/- 0.003 SD mmol/kg tissue wet wt, and not statistically different (P = 0.14). Likewise [Pi] in the septic and control groups was not statistically different, [Pi]septic = 1.1 +/- 0.5 SD and [Pi]control = 1.2 +/- 0.4 SD mmol/kg tissue wet wt (P = 0.2). Septic rats presented the symptom of respiratory alkalosis evidenced by elevated blood pH. Sepsis decreased muscle blood flow by 33%, P = 0.003, but examination of individual subjects did not demonstrate a correlation with the reduction in [PCr]. Thus, a metabolic energy deficit caused by cellular ischemia/hypoxia is not a likely cause of cellular abnormality in rat hindlimb muscle during sepsis.     

CD15 (LeuM1) immunoreactivity: Prognostic factor for sporadic and hereditary medullary thyroid cancer?

Patients treated for sporadic and hereditary medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) have varying rates of persistent disease, recurrence, and survival. The aim of this study was to correlate the immunoreactivity of the monoclonal antibody CD15 (LeuM1) to initial clinical findings and the outcome of treatment. The primary tumors of 75 patients with sporadic MTC, 7 with hereditary disease, and 3 members of MEN 2A families were studied. Of these subjects 74 (87%) showed no or little immunoreactivity (<15% positive cells; score 0) in most tumors. The remaining 13% had surgery for tumors with more than 15% cells with positive staining (score I). There was no correlation between LeuM1 immunoreactivity and sex, age, and type of MTC. There was, however, a significant correlation with the pTNM classification and UICC staging. The prognosis for patients with score 0 was significantly better than score 1 patients. CD15 immunoreactivity appears to be a predictive factor in sporadic and hereditary MTC. Lymph node dissection seems to be more successful in patients with score 0 tumors than in those with score 1 tumors. The question of reoperation in patients with recurrence of disease (especially with biochemical recurrence or persistence) should be discussed on the basis of CD15 immunoreactivity.

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Resumen Los pacientes tratados para carcinoma medular, esporádico y hereditario, de la glándula tiroides (CMT) exhiben grandes variaciones en las tasas de enfermedad persistente, recidiva y sobrevida. El propósito del presente estudio fue establecer la correlación entre la inmunorreactividad del anticuerpo CD15 (LeuM1) y los hallazgos clínicos iniciales, así como con el resultado final del tratamiento.Se estudiaron los tumores primarios de 75 pacientes con CMT esporádico, de siete con enfermedad hereditaria y de 3 miembros de familias con síndrome NEM2A.Setenta y cuatro pacientes (87%) exhibieron ninguna o muy baja inmunorreactividad (menos de 15% de células positivas; puntaje 0) en la mayoría de los tumores. El 13% restante fue sometido a cirugía por tumores con más de 15% de las células con coloración positiva (puntaje 1). No se evidenció correlación entre la inmunorreactividad LeuM1 y el sexo, edad o tipo del CMT. Sin embargo, sí apareció una correlación significativa con la clasificiación pTNM y la estadificación de la UICC. El pronóstico de los pacientes con puntaje 0 resultó significativamento mejor que el de los pacientes con puntaje 1.La inmunorreactividad CD15 parece ser un factor de predicción de pronóstico en el CMT esporádico y familiar. La disección ganglionar parece ser más exitosa en pacientes con tumores de puntaje 0 que en los que portan tumores con puntaje 1.El interrogante en cuanto a reoperación en pacientes con recidiva de la enfermedad (especialmente cuando hay recidiva o persistencia bioquímica) debe ser considerada con base en la inmunorreactividad CD15.

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Résumé Les taux de maladie persistante, de récidive et de survie chez des patients traités pour cancer médullaire sporadique et héréditaire de la thyroïde (CMT) sont très variables. Le but de cette étude a été de corréler l'immunoréactivité des anticorps monoclonaux CD15 (LeuM1) à des données cliniques initiales et l'évolution finale du traitement des CMT. On a étudié 75 patients ayant un CMT primitif, sept ayant une maladie héréditaire, et trois membres d'une famille MEN 2A. Soixante quatre patients (87%) avaient peu ou pas d'immunoréactivité (moins de 15% de cellules positive: score = 0). Les 13% restants ont eu une chirurgie pour les tumeurs ayant un pourcentage > 15 (score = 1). Il n'y avait aucune corrélation entre l'immunoréactivité LeuM1 et le sexe, l'âge et le type de CMT. Il y avait, en revanche, une corrélation significative entre la classification pTMN et le stage UICC. Le pronostic des patients ayant un score = 0 était significativement meilleur que celui des patients ayant un score = 1. L'immunoréactivité CD15 apparaît comme étant un facteur pronostique des CMT. Le curage lymphatique

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