Comparing the performance of propensity score methods in healthcare database studies with rare outcomes

Nonrandomized studies of treatments from electronic healthcare databases are critical for producing the evidence necessary to making informed treatment decisions, but often rely on comparing rates of events observed in a small number of patients. In addition, studies constructed from electronic healthcare databases, for example, administrative claims data, often adjust for many, possibly hundreds, of potential confounders. Despite the importance of maximizing efficiency when there are many confounders and few observed outcome events, there has been relatively little research on the relative performance of different propensity score methods in this context. In this paper, we compare a wide variety of propensity‐based estimators of the marginal relative risk. In contrast to prior research that has focused on specific statistical methods in isolation of other analytic choices, we instead consider a method to be defined by the complete multistep process from propensity score modeling to final treatment effect estimation. Propensity score model estimation methods considered include ordinary logistic regression, Bayesian logistic regression, lasso, and boosted regression trees. Methods for utilizing the propensity score include pair matching, full matching, decile strata, fine strata, regression adjustment using one or two nonlinear splines, inverse propensity weighting, and matching weights. We evaluate methods via a ‘plasmode’ simulation study, which creates simulated datasets on the basis of a real cohort study of two treatments constructed from administrative claims data. Our results suggest that regression adjustment and matching weights, regardless of the propensity score model estimation method, provide lower bias and mean squared error in the context of rare binary outcomes. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

REACT: Rapid Evaluation Assessment of Clinical Reasoning Tool

IntroductionClinical reasoning encompasses the process of data collection, synthesis, and interpretation to generate a working diagnosis and make management decisions. Situated cognition theory suggests that knowledge is relative to contextual factors, and clinical reasoning in urgent situations is framed by pressure of consequential, time-sensitive decision-making for diagnosis and management. These unique aspects of urgent clinical care may limit the effectiveness of traditional tools to assess, teach, and remediate clinical reasoning.MethodsUsing two validated frameworks, a multidisciplinary group of clinicians trained to remediate clinical reasoning and with experience in urgent clinical care encounters designed the novel Rapid Evaluation Assessment of Clinical Reasoning Tool (REACT). REACT is a behaviorally anchored assessment tool scoring five domains used to provide formative feedback to learners evaluating patients during urgent clinical situations. A pilot study was performed to assess fourth-year medical students during simulated urgent clinical scenarios. Learners were scored using REACT by a separate, multidisciplinary group of clinician educators with no additional training in the clinical reasoning process. REACT scores were analyzed for internal consistency across raters and observations.ResultsOverall internal consistency for the 41 patient simulations as measured by Cronbach’s alpha was 0.86. A weighted kappa statistic was used to assess the overall score inter-rater reliability. Moderate reliability was observed at 0.56.DiscussionTo our knowledge, REACT is the first tool designed specifically for formative assessment of a learner’s clinical reasoning performance during simulated urgent clinical situations. With evidence of reliability and content validity, this tool guides feedback to learners during high-risk urgent clinical scenarios, with the goal of reducing diagnostic and management errors to limit patient harm.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11606-022-07513-5.     

Nox2 underpins microvascular inflammation and vascular contributions to cognitive decline

Chronic microvascular inflammation and oxidative stress are inter-related mechanisms underpinning white matter disease and vascular cognitive impairment (VCI). A proposed mediator is nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate (NADPH) oxidase 2 (Nox2), a major source of reactive oxygen species (ROS) in the brain. To assess the role of Nox2 in VCI, we studied a tractable model with white matter pathology and cognitive impairment induced by bilateral carotid artery stenosis (BCAS). Mice with genetic deletion of Nox2 (Nox2 KO) were compared to wild-type (WT) following BCAS. Sustained BCAS over 12 weeks in WT mice induced Nox2 expression, indices of microvascular inflammation and oxidative damage, along with white matter pathology culminating in a marked cognitive impairment, which were all protected by Nox2 genetic deletion. Neurovascular coupling was impaired in WT mice post-BCAS and restored in Nox2 KO mice. Increased vascular expression of chemoattractant mediators, cell-adhesion molecules and endothelial activation factors in WT mice post-BCAS were ameliorated by Nox2 deficiency. The clinical relevance was confirmed by increased vascular Nox2 and indices of microvascular inflammation in human post-mortem subjects with cerebral vascular disease. Our results support Nox2 activity as a critical determinant of VCI, whose targeting may be of therapeutic benefit in cerebral vascular disease.     

Patterns and Predictors of Breast Milk Feeding from Birth to Age 4 Months among Primiparous African American Mother–Infant Dyads

The health benefits of breast milk feeding have been well-established, yet disparities exist, with African American mothers having the lowest breast milk feeding rates in the United States. This prospective, longitudinal study examined infant feeding (breast milk and/or infant formula) from birth to age 16 weeks, predictors of any breast milk feeding by age 1 week, and predictors of cessation of any breast milk feeding by ages 3, 8, and 16 weeks among primiparous African American mothers. This secondary analysis included 185 mother–infant dyads from the Sleep SAAF (Strong African American Families) study, a randomized clinical trial testing a responsive parenting vs. child safety control intervention. Mothers reported sociodemographic and psychosocial characteristics at age 1 week and infant feeding practices at ages 1, 3, 8, and 16 weeks. Rates of any breast milk feeding decreased from 66.5% at 1 week to 23.3% at 16 weeks. Bivariate logistic regression models showed that prepregnancy BMI (OR = 1.09), working prepregnancy (OR = 2.25), and food insecurity (OR = 2.49) significantly increased the odds of mothers feeding any breast milk by 1 week, whereas Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) participation (OR = 0.21) significantly decreased the odds. Bivariate logistic regression models showed that Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) participation (OR = 2.86) and racial discrimination (OR = 2.14) significantly increased the odds of cessation of any breast milk feeding by 3 weeks. SNAP (OR = 2.33) and WIC (OR = 2.38) participation significantly increased the odds of cessation of any breast milk feeding by 8 weeks, whereas higher prepregnancy BMI (OR = 0.95) decreased the odds. Higher mother’s age (OR = 0.92) significantly decreased the odds of cessation of any breast milk feeding by 16 weeks. The findings can be used to inform targeted interventions to promote mothers feeding any breast milk and help reduce breast milk feeding disparities among African American mothers.     

Nucleic Acid Preservation Card Surveillance Is Effective for Monitoring Arbovirus Transmission on Crocodile Farms and Provides a One Health Benefit to Northern Australia

The Kunjin strain of West Nile virus (WNV_KUN) is a mosquito-transmitted flavivirus that can infect farmed saltwater crocodiles in Australia and cause skin lesions that devalue the hides of harvested animals. We implemented a surveillance system using honey-baited nucleic acid preservation cards to monitor WNV_KUN and another endemic flavivirus pathogen, Murray Valley encephalitis virus (MVEV), on crocodile farms in northern Australia. The traps were set between February 2018 and July 2020 on three crocodile farms in Darwin (Northern Territory) and one in Cairns (North Queensland) at fortnightly intervals with reduced trapping during the winter months. WNV_KUN RNA was detected on all three crocodile farms near Darwin, predominantly between March and May of each year. Two of the NT crocodile farms also yielded the detection of MVE viral RNA sporadically spread between April and November in 2018 and 2020. In contrast, no viral RNA was detected on crocodile farms in Cairns during the entire trapping period. The detection of WNV_KUN and MVEV transmission by FTA^TM cards on farms in the Northern Territory generally correlated with the detection of their transmission to sentinel chicken flocks in nearby localities around Darwin as part of a separate public health surveillance program. While no isolates of WNV_KUN or MVEV were obtained from mosquitoes collected on Darwin crocodile farms immediately following the FTA^TM card detections, we did isolate another flavivirus, Kokobera virus (KOKV), from Culex annulirostris mosquitoes. Our studies support the use of the FTA^TM card system as a sensitive and accurate method to monitor the transmission of WNV_KUN and other arboviruses on crocodile farms to enable the timely implementation of mosquito control measures. Our detection of MVEV transmission and isolation of KOKV from mosquitoes also warrants further investigation of their potential role in causing diseases in crocodiles and highlights a “One Health” issue concerning arbovirus transmission to crocodile farm workers. In this context, the introduction of FTA^TM cards onto crocodile farms appears to provide an additional surveillance tool to detect arbovirus transmission in the Darwin region, allowing for a more timely intervention of vector control by relevant authorities.     

Heart Failure after Laboratory Confirmed Influenza Infection (FLU-HF)

Background:Influenza has been shown to exacerbate heart failure (HF). Importantly, no study to date has examined the relationship between HF hospitalizations (HFH) with laboratory confirmed influenza infections. This study evaluated the association between laboratory confirmed influenza infection and HFH in the two largest hospitals in Saskatchewan, Canada.Methods:We used a retrospective self-controlled case series design to evaluate the association between laboratory-confirmed influenza infection and HFH. We compared the incidence ratio for HFH during the influenza risk interval with the control interval. We defined the influenza risk interval as the seven days after a laboratory confirmed influenza result and the control interval as one year before and after the risk interval.Results:We identified 114 HFH that occurred within one year before and after a positive test result for influenza between April 1, 2010, and April 30, 2018. Of these, 28 (28 admissions per week) occurred during the risk interval and 86 (0.853 admissions per week) occurred during the control interval. The incidence ratio of a HFH during the risk interval as compared with the control interval was 33.53 (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.89 to 51.36). A decline in incidence was observed after day seven; between days 8 to 14 and 14 to 28 incidence ratios was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.13 to 6.52) and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.22 to 3.68) respectively.Conclusion:We have observed a significant association between acute influenza infection and HFH. However, further research with a larger sample size and involving a multicenter setting is warranted.Highlights

• Influenza may contribute and exacerbate heart failure events especially during annual influenza season.
• Early identification of influenza among patients with heart failure, could lead to earlier treatment with antiviral medication, reduce unnecessary antibiotic use, and tail off the morbidity and mortality.
• In this study, despite our efficient study design, our sample size was limited to only the two largest hospitals in the province, possibly excluding a significant population in remote areas.

     

Elevated L-lactate Promotes Major Cellular Pathologies Associated with Neurodegenerative Diseases

Dear Editor,Small,short-chain fatty acids(SCFAs)(acetic acid,propionic acid,and butyric acid:conjugate bases,acetate,propionate,and butyrate)as well as the alpha-hydroxy acid,L-lactic acid(conjugate base,L-lactate)are important energy substrates and signaling molecules in the central nervous system(CNS)[1,2].L-lactic acid is produced by glycolysis[3]and gut microbes[4]and is released in large quantities during exercise[5].     

Dromedary camel nanobodies broadly neutralize SARS-CoV-2 variants

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike is a trimer of S1/S2 heterodimers with three receptor-binding domains (RBDs) at the S1 subunit for human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (hACE2). Due to their small size, nanobodies can recognize protein cavities that are not accessible to conventional antibodies. To isolate high-affinity nanobodies, large libraries with great diversity are highly desirable. Dromedary camels (Camelus dromedarius) are natural reservoirs of coronaviruses like Middle East respiratory syndrome CoV (MERS-CoV) that are transmitted to humans. Here, we built large dromedary camel V_HH phage libraries to isolate nanobodies that broadly neutralize SARS-CoV-2 variants. We isolated two V_HH nanobodies, NCI-CoV-7A3 (7A3) and NCI-CoV-8A2 (8A2), which have a high affinity for the RBD via targeting nonoverlapping epitopes and show broad neutralization activity against SARS-CoV-2 and its emerging variants of concern. Cryoelectron microscopy (cryo-EM) complex structures revealed that 8A2 binds the RBD in its up mode with a long CDR3 loop directly involved in the ACE2 binding residues and that 7A3 targets a deeply buried region that uniquely extends from the S1 subunit to the apex of the S2 subunit regardless of the conformational state of the RBD. At a dose of ≥5 mg/kg, 7A3 efficiently protected transgenic mice expressing hACE2 from the lethal challenge of variants B.1.351 or B.1.617.2, suggesting its therapeutic use against COVID-19 variants. The dromedary camel V_HH phage libraries could be helpful as a unique platform ready for quickly isolating potent nanobodies against future emerging viruses.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the etiologic agent of COVID-19 (1, 2) that enters human cells by binding its envelope anchored type I fusion protein (spike) to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) (3, 4). The SARS-CoV-2 spike is a trimer of S1/S2 heterodimers with three ACE2 receptor-binding domains (RBDs) attached to the distal end of the spike via a hinge region that allows conformational flexibility (4). In the all-down conformation, the RBDs are packed with their long axes contained in a plane perpendicular to the axis of symmetry of the trimer. Transition to the roughly perpendicular up conformation exposes the receptor-binding motif (RBM), located at the distal end of the RBD, which is sterically occluded in the down state. Numerous neutralizing antibodies targeting the spike, particularly its RBD, have been developed to treat COVID-19 using common strategies such as single B cell cloning, animal immunization, and phage display (5–9). Most vaccines, including those that are messenger RNA based, are designed to induce immunity against the spike or RBD (10–12). However, emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants such as D614G, B.1.1.7 (Alpha, United Kingdom), B.1.351 (Beta, South Africa), and P.1 (Gamma, Brazil) have exhibited increased resistance to neutralization by monoclonal antibodies or postvaccination sera elicited by the COVID-19 vaccines (13, 14). Monoclonal antibodies with Emergency Use Authorization for COVID-19 treatment partially (Casirivimab) or completely (Bamlanivimab) failed to inhibit the B.1.351 and P.1 variants. Similarly, these variants were less effectively inhibited by convalescent plasma and sera from individuals vaccinated with a COVID-19 vaccine (BNT162b2) (13). The B.1.617.2 (Delta, India) variant became the prevailing strain in many countries (15). Highly effective and broadly neutralizing antibody therapy is urgently demanded for COVID-19 patients.Due to their small size and unique conformations, camelid V_HH single-domain antibodies (also known as nanobodies) can recognize protein cavities that are not accessible to conventional antibodies (16). To isolate high-affinity nanobodies without a need for further affinity maturation, it is highly desirable to construct large nanobody libraries with great diversity. Dromedary camels have been found as potential natural reservoirs of Middle East respiratory syndrome CoV (MERS-CoV) (17). We speculated that dromedary camels would be an ideal source of neutralizing nanobodies against coronaviruses. In the present study, we built large camel V_HH single-domain antibody phage libraries with a diversity of over 10¹¹ from six dromedary camels (Camelus dromedarius), three males and three females, with ages ranging from 3 mo to 20 y. We used both the SARS-CoV-2 RBD and the stabilized spike ectodomain trimer protein as baits to conduct phage panning for nanobody screening. Among all the binders, we found NCI-CoV-7A3 (7A3), NCI-CoV-1B5 (1B5), NCI-CoV-8A2 (8A2), and NCI-CoV-2F7 (2F7) to be potent ACE2 blockers. In addition, these dromedary camel nanobodies displayed potent neutralization activity against the B.1.351 and B.1.1.7 variants and the original strain (Wuhan-Hu-1). The cryoelectron microscopy (cryo-EM) structure of the spike trimer protein complex with these V_HH nanobodies revealed two distinct nonoverlapping epitopes for neutralizing SARS-CoV-2. In particular, 7A3 recognizes a unique and deeply buried region that extends to the apex of the S2 subunit of the spike. Combined treatment with 7A3 and 8A2 shows more potent protection against various variants in culture and mice infected with the B.1.351 variant. Interestingly, 7A3 alone retains its neutralization activity against the lethal challenge of the B.1.617.2 variant in mice.     

Frequency‐dependent modulation of neural oscillations across the gait cycle

Balance and walking are fundamental to support common daily activities. Relatively accurate characterizations of normal and impaired gait features were attained at the kinematic and muscular levels. Conversely, the neural processes underlying gait dynamics still need to be elucidated. To shed light on gait‐related modulations of neural activity, we collected high‐density electroencephalography (hdEEG) signals and ankle acceleration data in young healthy participants during treadmill walking. We used the ankle acceleration data to segment each gait cycle in four phases: initial double support, right leg swing, final double support, left leg swing. Then, we processed hdEEG signals to extract neural oscillations in alpha, beta, and gamma bands, and examined event‐related desynchronization/synchronization (ERD/ERS) across gait phases. Our results showed that ERD/ERS modulations for alpha, beta, and gamma bands were strongest in the primary sensorimotor cortex (M1), but were also found in premotor cortex, thalamus and cerebellum. We observed a modulation of neural oscillations across gait phases in M1 and cerebellum, and an interaction between frequency band and gait phase in premotor cortex and thalamus. Furthermore, an ERD/ERS lateralization effect was present in M1 for the alpha and beta bands, and in the cerebellum for the beta and gamma bands. Overall, our findings demonstrate that an electrophysiological source imaging approach based on hdEEG can be used to investigate dynamic neural processes of gait control. Future work on the development of mobile hdEEG‐based brain–body imaging platforms may enable overground walking investigations, with potential applications in the study of gait disorders.