The use of measures of influence in epidemiology

In epidemiological studies the units of observation often consist of political entities such as countries, each of which has its own specific inner structure. When a multiple regression is performed it is therefore of particular interest to analyse not only the overall behaviour of the dataset, but in addition, to investigate how each individual country contributes to, and deviates from, this overall behaviour. By means of the example 'relation between infant mortality and structural data of countries' several ways are discussed of how each individual country can influence the regression model. Firstly the potential influence which each country might exhibit due to the explanatory variables alone is analysed. Then the actual influence of each country is analysed by taking the explanatory variables and the target variable into account simultaneously. This is done by means of statistical measures not generally familiar to epidemiologists, which have been developed in recent years (leverage values, Cook's distances). These measures also point to deviations of countries from the model, and suggest directions in which to search for explanation. Finally the influence of the 'size' of the countries is investigated.     

Plasma nitrate plus nitrite changes during continuous intravenous infusion interleukin 2.

Nitric oxide (NO), a biologically active mediator generated in many cell types by the enzyme NO synthase, may play an important role in cardiovascular toxicity that is frequently observed in cancer patients during intravenous (i.v.) interleukin 2 (IL-2) therapy. The induction of NO synthase and the production of NO seem to be involved in the pathogenesis of the vascular leakage syndrome, as well as in the regulation of myocardial contractility. In the present study, we evaluated the pattern of plasmatic NO changes during multiple cycles of continuous i.v. infusion (CIVI) of IL-2 in ten advanced cancer patients (five males, five females, median age 59 years, range 33-67 years; eight affected by renal cell cancer and two affected by malignant melanoma). The patients received IL-2 at 18 MIU m-2 day-1 (14 cycles) or 9 MIU m-2 day-1 (seven cycles) for 96 h, repeated every 3 weeks. Interferon alpha (IFN alpha) was also administered subcutaneously (s.c) during the 3 week interval between IL-2 cycles. For each cycle, plasma samples were collected before treatment (t0), 24 h (t1), 48 h (t2), 72 h (t3) and 96 h (t4) after the start of IL-2 infusion, and 24 h after the end of the cycle. NO concentration was determined spectrophotometrically by measuring the accumulation of both nitrite and nitrate (after reduction to nitrite). The following observations may be drawn from data analysis: (1) plasma nitrate + nitrite significantly raised during treatment (P = 0.0226 for t0 vs t3), but statistical significance was retained only when cycles administered with IL-2 18 MIU m-2 day-1 are considered (P = 0.0329 for t0 vs t3; P = 0.0354 for t0 vs t2 vs t4) (dose-dependent pattern); (2) during subsequent cycles a significant trend toward a progressive increase of plasma nitrate + nitrite levels, with increasing cumulative dose of IL-2, was observed (linear regression coefficient r = 0.62, P = 0.0141 for t0; r = 0.80, P = 0.0003 for t1; r = 0.62, P = 0.013 for t2; r = 0.69, P = 0.045 for t3); (3) plasma nitrate + nitrite levels peaked earlier in subsequent cycles than in the first cycle; (4) all patients experienced hypotension. The mean of the systolic blood pressure values was significantly lower at the time of plasma nitrate + nitrite peak than at t0 (P = 0.0004); (5) the two cases of grade III hypotension occurred in patients with the higher mean and peak plasma nitrate + nitrite values. We conclude that determination of plasma nitrate + nitrite levels during CIVI IL-2 can usefully estimate, in a dose-dependent pattern, the degree of peripheral vascular relaxation and capillary leakage associated with cytokine action, clinically manifested as hypotension. However, isolated cardiac toxicity that continues to represent a relevant problem during IL-2 therapy, does not appear to correlate with plasma nitrate + nitrite levels; therefore, further studies are required to understand adequately the mechanisms underlying IL-2-induced cardiac toxicity.     

Infradian biorhythms of enzymuria in man?

The temporal courses of dipeptidyl peptidase IV gamma-glutamyltransferase and alanine aminopeptidase were followed over 70 days in the morning urine of 15 healthy persons. Subsequent to basic statistical analysis a two-step procedure was performed, including spectral analysis and the fit of a cosine function by non-linear regression. The excretion of the 3 enzymes followed an infradian biorhythm with a mean period length of 10.04 for dipeptidyl peptidase IV, 13.34 for gamma-glutamyltransferase and 10.17 for alanine aminopeptidase. In addition to the basic rhythmic process described by the fitted cosine functions, in most of the enzyme patterns steap peaks of very high excretory activity appeared which was verified in repeated measurements. These infradian biorhythms with changes in the range of 100% and more, as well as their interindividual variations, have to be considered in assessing the excretion of enzymes.     

Adjunctive therapy with bromocriptine in Parkinson's disease

Patients with moderately severe Parkinson's disease complicated by the adverse effects of chronic levodopa use benefited from the addition of bromocriptine (Parlodel; Sandoz) in doses up to 26 mg daily, which allowed an approximate 30% reduction of levodopa dose. This resulted in a significant decrease in the amount of levodopa side-effects while maintaining or improving the original parkinsonian clinical stage. Increased effectiveness in these patients was not associated with increased dosage beyond 25-30 mg daily. When the doses of bromocriptine were increased slowly, the adverse reactions were minor and usually transient.     

The ileal neobladder: experience and results of more than 100 consecutive cases

The ileal neobladder produces a completely detubularized, low pressure, high capacity reservoir constructed from ileum without any valves. From April 1986 through May 1989, 113 patients underwent this procedure at our institution. Of these patients 99 underwent simultaneous radical cystectomy for bladder cancer and 14 underwent bladder augmentation. The mean postoperative followup was 14.4 months, with a range of 1 to 36 months. There was no perioperative mortality. However, 7 patients died more than 2 months postoperatively: 5 of tumor progression, 1 of pneumonia and severe metabolic acidosis, and 1 of septicemia of unknown cause. Reoperation was necessary in only 13 patients; 10 patients required urethrotomy or dilation of urethral strictures. Day and night continence was preserved in 82.1% of all patients. Stress incontinence, which must be corrected by an artificial sphincter, was found in 4 patients (4.2%) and night-time incontinence that required an external device occurred in 5 (5.3%). Eight patients (8.4%) with mild stress incontinence required no further treatment. Pressure waves exceeding 22 cm. water seldom occurred and then only at maximum capacity. Our experience with this relatively simple system without a nipple is an overwhelming success. The need for reoperation is extraordinarily low and the high reservoir capacity results in continence from the beginning in most patients. The concept is sound and offers a genuine alternative to any form of cutaneous urinary diversion with an incidence of complications not higher than after standard supravesical urinary diversion.     

The correction of postburn deformation of the neck using a musculocutaneous flap from the major pectoral muscle

In 15 patients with the postburn neck deformation, the plasty with a musculocutaneous flap of the musculus pectoralis major was employed. Use of the technique permits to avoid prolonged immobilization of a neck. A good functional and cosmetic result has been noted.     

Ultrasonic diagnosis of meniscus lesions

Controversy exists about the value of ultrasonography of meniscal tears. We therefore examined 101 knee joints of 99 patients in a prospective study. Prior to the arthroscopy the menisci were scanned from an independent team by using 7.5 and 10.0 MHz ultrasound waves. 81 meniscal tears were seen at arthroscopy; 36% of these tears could not be detected with the scanner (? false negative results) while 20% of intact menisci showed positive echogenic structures, which were analysed as meniscal tears. It seems that ultrasonography of the menisci is still of experimental use without any clinical importance.     

Late toxic effects of long-term exposure to lindane in peripheral blood cells in rabbits. II. Erythrocyte changes.

After lindane administration in daily doses of 0.1 LD50 for one month (total dose 2.0 LD50) changes in the erythrocytes were found persisting for up to 4 months after withdrawal of the pesticide. A significant increase in the number of echinocytes, a greater per cent of reticulocytes, significantly raised level of denatured haemoglobin, and an increased number of erythrocytes of higher sensitivity to oxidating factors in relation to control group was observed.