Stochastic Process Pharmacodynamics: Dose Timing in Neonatal Gentamicin Therapy as an Example

We consider dosing regimens designed to cure patients by eradicating colony forming units (CFU) such as bacteria. In the field of “population” pharmaco-kinetics/dynamics (PK/PD), inter-individual variability (IIV) of patients is estimated using model parameter statistical distributions. We consider a more probabilistic approach to IIV called stochastic process theory, motivated by the fact that tumor treatment planning uses both approaches. Stochastic process PD can supply additional insights and suggest different dosing regimens due to its emphasis on the probability of complete CFU eradication and its predictions on “pure chance” fluctuations of CFU number per patient when treatment has reduced this integer to less than ~100. To exemplify the contrast between stochastic process PD models and standard deterministic PD models, which track only average CFU number, we analyze, neglecting immune responses, neonatal intravenous gentamicin dosing regimens directed against Escherichia coli. Our stochastic calculations predict that the first dose is crucial for CFU eradication. For example, a single 6 mg/kg dose is predicted to have a higher eradication probability than four daily 4 mg/kg doses. We conclude: (1) neonatal gentamicin dosing regimens with larger first doses but smaller total doses deserve investigation; (2) in general, if standard PK/PD models predict average CFU number drops substantially below 100, the models should be modified to incorporate stochastic effects more accurately, and will then usually make more favorable, or less unfavorable, predictions for front boosting (“hit hard early”). Various caveats against over-interpreting the calculations are given.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1208/s12248-014-9715-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.KEY WORDS: anti-bacterial dosing regimens, front boosting, PK/PD eradication probability, small-number stochastic fluctuations, stochastic birth-death cell population dynamics     

Insufficient tissue ablation by rotational atherectomy leads to worse long-term results in comparison with balloon angioplasty alone for the treatment of diffuse in-stent restenosis: insights from the intravascular ultrasound substudy of the ARTIST randomized multicenter trial.

The ARTIST trial demonstrated a worse outcome for patients with in-stent restenosis (ISR) treated with rotational atherectomy (RA) and adjunctive balloon angioplasty (PTCA) as compared to PTCA alone. This intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) substudy compares effects of lumen enlargement and examines reasons for failure of RA in this setting. IVUS (n = 56) was performed after each interventional step and at follow-up. Volumetric lumen gain measured 79 +/- 68 mm(3) after PTCA (13 +/- 4 atm) as compared to 44 +/- 26 mm(3) after RA and adjunctive PTCA (7 +/- 3 atm; P < 0.0001). RA itself enlarged lumen by only 19 +/- 17 mm(3) and stent volume was 47% smaller as compared to high-pressure PTCA. Low-pressure strategy after RA did not prevent tissue growth during follow-up (19 +/- 25 vs. 36 +/- 38 mm(3); RA vs. PTCA; P = 0.09). Consequently, net lumen gain after PTCA was 82% higher compared to RA (46 +/- 54 vs. 25 +/- 24 mm(3); P = 0.09). Further stent expansion is the key mechanism to achieve luminal gain by PTCA of ISR. Neointimal ablation by RA has only minor effects. Low-pressure PTCA does not prevent recurrent tissue growth and failed for treatment of ISR due to insufficient stent expansion.     

Peripheral blood progenitor cells mobilized by chemotherapy plus granulocyte-colony stimulating factor accelerate both neutrophil and platelet recovery after high-dose VP16, ifosfamide and cisplatin

Summary. We report on the chemotherapy plus granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) induced mobilization of peripheral blood progenitor cells (PBPCs) and their impact on haematopoietic recovery following high-dose chemotherapy. Twenty-four patients with advanced solid tumours or lymphomas received standard-dose chemotherapy with VP16, ifosfamide and cisplatin (VIP) followed by filgrastim (G-CSF; 5 μg/kg s.c. daily for 14 d) for the prevention of chemotherapy induced neutropenia and for the simultaneous mobilization of PBPCs. Maximal numbers of progenitors of different lineages were reached at day 11 (range 9–14) after VIP chemotherapy. A median of 0·415 × 10⁹/1 CD34⁺ cells (range 0·11–1·98), 9000 CFU-GM/ml (range 2800–17700). 3500 BFU-E/ml (range 400–10800) and 200 CFU-GEMM/ml (range 0–4400) were recruited. One single apheresis yielded a median of 1·6 × 10⁸ mononuclear cells/kg (range 0·2–5·4) or 5·4 × 10⁶ CD34⁺ cells/kg body weight (range 0·2–24·2). Fourteen patients who showed at least a partial remission after two cycles of the standard-dose chemotherapy regimen were subjected to high-dose VIP chemotherapy (cumulative doses of 1500 mg/m² VP16, 12 g/m² ifosfamide and 150 mg/m² cisplatin) with or without PBPC support. The first six patients were treated with growth factors only (IL-3/GM-CSF) and did not receive PBPCs, whereas the following eight patients were supported with PBPCs in addition to IL-3 and GM-CSF. Neutrophil recovery as well as platelet recovery were significantly faster in patients receiving PBPCs with a median of 6·5 d below 0·1 × 10⁹ neutrophils/1 and 3 d below 20 × 10⁹ platelets/1 as compared to 10·5 d and 8 d in control patients receiving growth factors only. The accelerated platelet recovery in patients supported with PBPCs might be explained—in the absence of detectable colony-forming units megakaryocyte—by the presence of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa⁺, non-proliferating endomitotic megakaryocytic precursor cells within G-CSF mobilized PBPCs. Our data demonstrate that chemotherapy plus G-CSF mobilized PBPCs accelerate both neutrophil and platelet recovery after high-dose VIP chemotherapy in patients with solid tumours or lymphomas.     

A method for systematic discovery of adverse drug events from clinical notes

Objective Adverse drug events (ADEs) are undesired harmful effects resulting from use of a medication, and occur in 30% of hospitalized patients. The authors have developed a data-mining method for systematic, automated detection of ADEs from electronic medical records.Materials and Methods This method uses the text from 9.5 million clinical notes, along with prior knowledge of drug usages and known ADEs, as inputs. These inputs are further processed into statistics used by a discriminative classifier which outputs the probability that a given drug–disorder pair represents a valid ADE association. Putative ADEs identified by the classifier are further filtered for positive support in 2 independent, complementary data sources. The authors evaluate this method by assessing support for the predictions in other curated data sources, including a manually curated, time-indexed reference standard of label change events.Results This method uses a classifier that achieves an area under the curve of 0.94 on a held out test set. The classifier is used on 2 362 950 possible drug–disorder pairs comprised of 1602 unique drugs and 1475 unique disorders for which we had data, resulting in 240 high-confidence, well-supported drug-AE associations. Eighty-seven of them (36%) are supported in at least one of the resources that have information that was not available to the classifier.Conclusion This method demonstrates the feasibility of systematic post-marketing surveillance for ADEs using electronic medical records, a key component of the learning healthcare system.     

The FNTB promoter polymorphism rs11623866 as a potential predictive biomarker for lonafarnib treatment of ovarian cancer patients

Aim

Despite promising preclinical findings regarding clinical utility of farnesyltransferase inhibitors (FTI), such as lonafarnib, success of clinical trials is limited. A multicentre AGO-OVAR-15 phase II trial reported an unfavourable effect of lonafarnib on the outcome of patients with advanced ovarian cancer. This study was performed as a genetic subgroup analysis of the AGO-OVAR-15 trial, and investigated the utility of the promoter polymorphism rs11623866 of the farnesyltransferase ß-subunit gene (FNTB) in predicting the clinical effectiveness of lonafarnib.

Methods

The influence of rs11623866 (c.-609G > C) on FNTB promoter activity was investigated by electrophoretic-mobility-shift assay, luciferase-reporter assay and RT-qPCR. A total of 57 out of 105 patients from the AGO-OVAR-15 trial, treated with carboplatin and paclitaxel ± lonafarnib, was genotyped for rs11623866 by restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis. Genotype-dependent survival analysis was performed by Kaplan–Meier analysis.

Results

The presence of the G allele was associated with increased FNTB promoter activity compared with the C allele. An unfavourable effect of lonafarnib was limited to patients carrying a GG genotype (HR_PFS 6.2, 95%CI = 2.01, 19.41, P = 0.002; HR_OS 9.6, 95%CI = 1.89, 48.54, P = 0.006). Median progression free survival (PFS) for patients with the GG genotype in the lonafarnib treated arm was 10 months, whereas median PFS without FTI-treatment was 40 months. Median overall survival (OS) in the lonafarnib-treated group was 19 months, whereas median OS was not reached in the untreated group.

Conclusions

Discrepancies between preclinical success and clinical failure may be due to the patients'' genetic variability of FNTB. Therefore, our results may encourage retrospective evaluation of FNTB polymorphisms in previous FTI studies, especially those reporting positive FTI response.     

Endothelial dysfunction in patients with peripheral arterial disease and chronic hyperhomocysteinemia: potential role of ADMA

Hyperhomocysteinemia is associated with an enhanced risk for cardiovascular disease. Patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) show an increased prevalence of hyperhomocysteinemia. A decreased biological activity of nitric oxide (NO) may contribute to homocysteine-associated endothelial dysfunction. This study was designed to investigate whether elevated levels of the endogenous NO synthase inhibitor asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) are involved in endothelial dysfunction in patients with chronic hyperhomocysteinemia and PAD. A total of 76 patients (58 males and 18 females; mean age 65.2 +/- 2.0 years) with PAD were included in the analysis and characterized according to demographic variables and cardiovascular risk factors. Flow-dependent vasodilation (FDD) was determined by high-resolution ultrasound in the radial artery. Total plasma homocysteine (plasma tHcy) and ADMA levels were measured by HPLC. Urinary nitrate was quantified using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. Patients with plasma tHcy in the highest tertile (n = 27; i.e. > 10.6 micromol/l) had a mean plasma level of 14.4 +/- 1.21 mol/l compared with 9.9 +/- 0.1 micromol/l in those patients in the middle tertile (n = 22; p < 0.05) and 9.4 +/- 0.1 micromol/l in those in the lowest tertile (n = 27; i.e. <9.6 micromol/l; p < 0.05). The hyperhomocysteinemic individuals (highest tertile) had a significantly decreased FDD compared with healthy age-matched controls (n = 15) (7.6 +/- 1.0 vs 13.0 +/- 0.4%; p < 0.05), higher plasma ADMA concentrations (4.0 +/- 0.3 vs 2.6 +/- 0.3 micromol/l; p < 0.05), and a lower urinary nitrate excretion rate (89.5 +/- 13.4 vs 131.3 +/- 17.9 micromol/mmol creatinine; p < 0.05) compared with patients with plasma tHcy in the lowest tertile. Multivariate regression analysis including plasma tHcy, ADMA, total cholesterol, diabetes mellitus, smoking, and systolic blood pressure revealed ADMA as the only significant factor determining FDD (p < 0.05). In conclusion, we demonstrated a stronger relationship between impaired endothelial function and elevated ADMA levels in comparison with plasma tHcy concentrations in patients with PAD and chronic hyperhomocysteinemia. This may raise the question of whether different therapeutical options that interact indirectly with plasma tHcy, i.e. treatment with ACE inhibitors and AT1-receptor blockers to reduce ADMA plasma concentrations or L-arginine, could be a beneficial tool for treating patients with hyperhomocysteinemia.     

Impact of unrelated donor status on the incidence and outcome of cytomegalovirus infections after non-myeloablative allogeneic stem cell transplantation

Little is known about the impact of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infections that occur after human leucocyte antigen (HLA)-matched unrelated donor (MUD) non-myleoablative haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT). We analysed the incidence, onset and outcomes of CMV infections in 59 recipients of MUD and in 109 recipients of HLA-matched related donor (MRD) allogeneic HCT following non-myeloablative conditioning containing 2 Gy total body irradiation and fludarabine. In CMV seropositive recipients, antigenaemia occurred in 68% (MUD) and in 49% (MRD, P = 0.08); there were no differences in the maximum levels of CMV antigenaemia and the time to cessation with antiviral therapy. CMV viraemia by culture was more common in MUD compared with MRD HCT recipients in univariate analysis (26% vs. 6%, P = 0.01), however, this difference was not detectable after controlling for other factors. The rates of CMV disease in the first 100 d were similar in MUD (9%) and MRD (5%) HCT recipients. CMV disease tended to occur earlier in the MUD compared with the MRD recipients (median day 41 vs. day 80). Beyond day 100, rates of CMV disease remained similar in both cohorts (cumulative incidence: MUD 21% and MRD 14%). The 30-d and 1-year survivals after CMV disease diagnosis were not significantly different in both groups. Thus, there appeared to be a trend toward increased CMV reactivation in MUD compared with MRD non-myeloablative allogeneic HCT recipients; however, these differences did not reach statistical significance in this cohort and preemptive therapy was similarly effective in preventing CMV diseases.