To evaluate whether, in a sample of patients radically treated for colorectal carcinoma, the preoperative determination of the carcinoembryonic antigen (p-CEA) may have a prognostic value and constitute an independent risk factor in relation to disease-free survival. The preoperative CEA seems to be related both to the staging of colorectal neoplasia and to the patient''s prognosis, although this—to date—has not been conclusively demonstrated and is still a matter of intense debate in the scientific community. This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. A total of 395 patients were radically treated for colorectal carcinoma. The preoperative CEA was statistically compared with the 2010 American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging, the T and N parameters, and grading. All parameters recorded in our database were tested for an association with disease-free survival (DFS). Only factors significantly associated (
P < 0.05) with the DFS were used to build multivariate stepwise forward logistic regression models to establish their independent predictors. A statistically significant relationship was found between p-CEA and tumor staging (
P < 0.001), T (
P < 0.001) and N parameters (
P = 0.006). In a multivariate analysis, the independent prognostic factors found were: p-CEA, stages N1 and N2 according to AJCC, and G3 grading (grade). A statistically significant difference (
P < 0.001) was evident between the DFS of patients with normal and high p-CEA levels. Preoperative CEA makes a pre-operative selection possible of those patients for whom it is likely to be able to predict a more advanced staging.Key words:
Colorectal carcinoma, Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen, Disease-free survival, Independent prognostic factorIn the world today, more than 1 million cases of patients with colorectal neoplasia are identified each year. Forty percent of these will have a poor prognosis for which targeted therapeutic strategies could most likely be more effective.
1–3 For this reason, finding prognostic factors that are early, reliable, and related to the extent of the tumor is of the utmost importance. Among these, the most that are considered even to this day are T and N parameters.
1,2,4,5 Less relied upon, however, is the M parameter, which is often understaged due to inadequate pretreatment diagnostic methods.
6 However, these parameters, which are available to us only after surgery, do not represent the gold standard. In fact, the prognosis of patients with the same staging is often various and that the need to continually implement ever-changing variables in an already excessively fragmented staging is still present.
2,4,7–9Recently, in light of these needs, great attention has been paid to the study of molecular and genetic markers. At present, these markers still have not found a regular application due to the complexity of their determination, the difficulty of standardization and, last but not least, the low cost-benefit ratio.
1,3,4,9,10With this in mind, in our opinion, the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) maintains its position, as for over 30 years it has continued to be the most widely used marker
11 and whose validity, with regard to colorectal follow-up, has been sanctioned by leading organizations such as the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)
12 and the European Group on Tumor Markers.
13 Moreover, as Herrera
14 and Wanebo
15 had already reported by the end of the ‘70s, the preoperative determination of the CEA (p-CEA) seems to be related both to the staging of colorectal neoplasia and to the patient''s prognosis. However, to date, none of this has been conclusively demonstrated and is still a matter of intense debate both in prestigious scientific journals
4,7,11,16–21 as well as in different guidelines.
22The American Society of Clinical Oncology itself, if on the one hand suggests using the determination of the CEA in the preoperative staging thus justifying a worse prognosis when increased,
12 on the other, does not validate using the p-CEA in the determination of an adjuvant or neo-adjuvant therapeutic strategy.
23Regarding this issue, we believe it still pertinent to evaluate whether in a sample of patients radically treated for colorectal carcinoma, the determination of the p-CEA may have a prognostic value and constitute an independent risk factor in relation to disease-free survival (DFS).
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