Examining the applicability of market forecasting models to new pharmaceutical products

Developing new products is a complex and risky business, particularly in the pharmaceutical industry. In recent years, several pretest and test market models have been proposed to evaluate the performance of a new product. Although these models have been tested and validated with a wide variety of frequently purchased products, certain unique characteristics of the market for pharmaceutical products render the models subject to modification. This study examines and evaluates the applicability of three types of market forecasting models (Awareness forecasting models, Pre-test market models, and Test market models) in predicting the market potential of new pharmaceutical products.     

Wet granulation fine particle ethylcellulose tablets: Effect of production variables and mathematical modeling of drug release

In the present study, the applicability of fine particle ethylcellulose (FPEC) to produce matrix tablets by a wet granulation technique was evaluated. The effect of various formulation and process variables, such as FPEC content, hardness of the tablet, and solubility of the drug, on the release of drug from these tablets was examined. Tablets were prepared by wet granulation of drug and FPEC in an appropriate mass ratio. Theophylline, caffeine, and dyphylline were selected as nonionizable model drugs with solubilities from 8.3 to 330 mg/mL at 25°C. Ibuprofen, phenylpropanolamine hydrochloride, and pseudoephedrine hydrochloride were selected as ionizable drugs with solubilities from 0.1 to 2000 mg/mL at 25°C. Drug release studies were conducted in 37°C water with UV detection. As the FPEC content and the hardness of the tablets increased, the release rate of the drug decreased. The drug release rate increased with an increase in the solubility of the drug. Model equations, intended to elucidate the drug release mechanism, were fitted to the release data. Parameters were generated and data presented by SAS software. The Akaike Information Criterion was also considered to ascertain the best-fit equation. Fickian diffusion and polymer relaxation were the release mechanisms for nonionizable and ionizable drugs.     

Combined targeting of epidermal growth factor receptor and MDM2 by gefitinib and antisense MDM2 cooperatively inhibit hormone-independent prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: The epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) may play a relevant role in the progression, hormone therapy resistance, and prognosis of prostate cancer patients. Also MDM2, a negative p53 regulator that interacts with retinoblastoma (Rb), E2F, p19(arf) and the ras-mitogen-activated protein kinase(MAPK) cascade plays an important role in prostate cancer progression and prognosis. On the basis of the EGFR and MDM2 role in integrating signaling pathways critical for prostate cancer progression, we investigated whether their selective combined blockade may have a cooperative antitumor effect in prostate cancer. For this purpose, we have used the EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor gefitinib (ZD1839, Iressa) and a second generation hybrid oligonucleotide antisense MDM2 (AS-MDM2), respectively. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Gefitinib and AS-MDM2 were administered to hormone-refractory and hormone-dependent human prostate cancer cells in vitro and to mice bearing tumor xenografts, evaluating the effects on growth, apoptosis, and protein expression, in vitro and in vivo. RESULTS: We demonstrated that the combination of gefitinib and AS-MDM2 synergistically inhibits the growth of hormone-independent prostate cancer cells in vitro. This effect is accompanied by the inhibition of MDM2, phosphorylated Akt (pAkt), phosphorylated MAPK (pMAPK), and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) expression and by Rb hypophosphorylation. The combination of the two agents in nude mice bearing the same hormone-independent tumors caused a potent cooperative antitumor effect. Tumor samples analysis confirmed the inhibition of MDM2, pAkt, pMAPK, VEGF, and basic fibroblast growth factor expression. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that EGFR and MDM2 play a critical role in the growth of prostate cancer, especially hormone-dependent, and that their combined blockade by gefitinib and AS-MDM2 causes a cooperative antitumor effect, supporting the clinical development of this therapeutic strategy.     

Phase I trial and pharmacokinetic study of BMS-247550, an epothilone B analog, administered intravenously on a daily schedule for five days.

PURPOSE: The epothilones are a novel class of nontaxane microtubule-stabilizing agents. BMS-247550 is a semisynthetic analog of the natural product epothilone B. We conducted a phase I study administering BMS-247550 as a 1-hour intravenous infusion daily for 5 consecutive days every 21 days. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Twenty-one patients received BMS-247550 without filgrastim in the first cycle. An additional six patients were enrolled at a starting dose of 8 mg/m2/d with filgrastim support. Twenty-one of the 27 patients had received prior paclitaxel, docetaxel, or both. RESULTS: One hundred seven cycles were administered to 27 patients. The maximum-tolerated dose was 6 mg/m2 of BMS-247550 administered as a 1-hour intravenous infusion daily for 5 consecutive days every 21 days. Dose-limiting toxicity at a dose of 8 mg/m2/d was neutropenia with or without filgrastim support. Nonhematologic grade 3 toxicities included fatigue (seven cycles), stomatitis (two cycles), and anorexia (one cycle). The mean terminal half-life of BMS-247550 was 16.8 +/- 6.0 hours, the volume of distribution at steady-state was 798 +/- 375 L, and the clearance was 712 +/- 247 mL/min. Objective responses were observed in patients with breast, cervical, and basal cell cancer. Reductions in CA-125 levels were noted in patients with ovarian cancer. CONCLUSION: The recommended phase II dose of BMS-247550 on the daily schedule for 5 days is 6 mg/m2/d. Neutropenia was dose limiting, but higher doses were tolerated by a large fraction of patients with filgrastim support. Peripheral neuropathy was mild, even after multiple cycles of therapy, and was not dose limiting.     

MUC 1 core protein as a marker of gallbladder malignancy.

AIM: The significance of MUC 1 expression in the gallbladder tissues in relation to cancer and non-cancer disease is not well understood. The aim of this study was to clarify the significance of MUC 1 expression. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A monoclonal antibody (CA 15--3; DF 3) was applied to stain MUC 1 core protein in surgical specimens. RESULTS: MUC 1 expression is significantly higher (p<0.0001) in gallbladder cancer (69/88) compare to non-cancerous tissue, while, very trace in normal and inflammatory tissues. The expression rate was significantly lower (p<0.0001) when the cancer did not penetrate the mucosal layer than when cancers did penetrate this layer. The MUC 1 expression rate was (4/14) in T1 tumours, (11/14) in T4, (40/45) in T3, and (14/15) in T2, respectively. Every cell of normal and inflammatory mucosa, and T1 cancers had the polarized pattern. The depolarized pattern was dominant in cancer cells from the advanced tumours of T2, T3 and T4. That is, (45/74) of cancer cells from the mucosal layer and (58/74) of penetrating cancer cells in submucosal layer had the depolarized pattern. There was no significant correlation of MUC 1 expression rate and staining pattern with cancer differentiation and microscopic venous invasion. On the other hand, lymphatic vessel invasion was significantly correlated with the staining pattern but not with expression rate. CONCLUSION: MUC 1 core protein expression rate and pattern are suggesting that MUC 1 core protein would be a marker of malignant transformation of gallbladder epithelium and its depolarized expression would also be a marker of invasion of gallbladder cancer.     

CHRNB3 is more strongly associated with Fagerström Test for Cigarette Dependence-based nicotine dependence than cigarettes per day: phenotype definition changes genome-wide association studies results

AIMS: Nicotine dependence is a highly heritable disorder associated with severe medical morbidity and mortality. Recent meta-analyses have found novel genetic loci associated with cigarettes per day (CPD), a proxy for nicotine dependence. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the importance of phenotype definition (i.e. CPD versus Fagerstr?m Test for Cigarette Dependence (FTCD) score as a measure of nicotine dependence) on genome-wide association studies of nicotine dependence. DESIGN: Genome-wide association study. SETTING: Community sample. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 3365 subjects who had smoked at least one cigarette were selected from the Study of Addiction: Genetics and Environment (SAGE). Of the participants, 2267 were European Americans, 999 were African Americans. MEASUREMENTS: Nicotine dependence defined by FTCD score ≥4, CPD. FINDINGS: The genetic locus most strongly associated with nicotine dependence was rs1451240 on chromosome 8 in the region of CHRNB3 [odds ratio (OR)?=?0.65, P?=?2.4?×?10(-8) ]. This association was further strengthened in a meta-analysis with a previously published data set (combined P?=?6.7?×?10(-16) , total n?=?4200). When CPD was used as an alternate phenotype, the association no longer reached genome-wide significance (β?=?-0.08, P?=?0.0004). CONCLUSIONS: Daily cigarette consumption and the Fagerstrom Test for Cigarette Dependence show different associations with polymorphisms in genetic loci.