A partially linear tree-based regression model for assessing complex joint gene-gene and gene-environment effects

The success of genetic dissection of complex diseases may greatly benefit from judicious exploration of joint gene effects, which, in turn, critically depends on the power of statistical tools. Standard regression models are convenient for assessing main effects and low-order gene-gene interactions but not for exploring complex higher-order interactions. Tree-based methodology is an attractive alternative for disentangling possible interactions, but it has difficulty in modeling additive main effects. This work proposes a new class of semiparametric regression models, termed partially linear tree-based regression (PLTR) models, which exhibit the advantages of both generalized linear regression and tree models. A PLTR model quantifies joint effects of genes and other risk factors by a combination of linear main effects and a non-parametric tree -structure. We propose an iterative algorithm to fit the PLTR model, and a unified resampling approach for identifying and testing the significance of the optimal "pruned" tree nested within the tree resultant from the fitting algorithm. Simulation studies showed that the resampling procedure maintained the correct type I error rate. We applied the PLTR model to assess the association between biliary stone risk and 53 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the inflammation pathway in a population-based case-control study. The analysis yielded an interesting parsimonious summary of the joint effect of all SNPs. The proposed model is also useful for exploring gene-environment interactions and has broad implications for applying the tree methodology to genetic epidemiology research.     

Prevention of recurrence and prolonged survival in primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) patients treated with adjuvant high-dose methylprednisolone

Five patients at risk for primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) recurrence were treated with high-dose methylprednisolone (HDMP) to prevent 'trafficking' of malignant lymphocytes into the central nervous system (CNS). HDMP was chosen because of its ability to stabilize the 'blood brain barrier (BBB)'. Three men with newly diagnosed PCNSL, ages 62, 76 and 78y, whose survival was projected to be 6.6 months, began treatment after achieving complete response (CR) to initial radiation therapy alone and survived 27, 37 and 59 months after treatment. In none was death from recurrent disease in CNS but one patient did die of systemic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) five years after PCNSL diagnosis. A 20 y old man was treated with HDMP after successful combined modality therapy and is alive 75+ months after initial diagnosis without evidence of disease recurrence. A 34 y old man relapsed after combined modality initial treatment and failed to respond to HDMP when treatment was begun after unsuccessful salvage therapy; he died of disease 12 months after initial diagnosis. There were no treatment complications. The promising results in this pilot study from the basis for a North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) 96-73-51, a Phase 2 clinical trial of brain radiotherapy and HDMP for PCNSL patients 70y of age and older, a group of patients at high risk for toxicity from intensive combined modality therapy.     

Hilar masses: evaluation with CT-guided biopsy after negative bronchoscopic examination

Computed tomography (CT)-guided biopsies of 20 patients with hilar masses were performed after non-diagnostic bronchoscopic examination. Bronchoscopy included washings, brushings, routine biopsy, and, in many cases, transbronchial biopsy. In all but one case (95%), biopsy with a 22-gauge needle permitted a cytologic diagnosis of malignancy. In 14 of the 19 cases (74%), a diagnosis of primary lung carcinoma involving the hili was made, and in the remaining five of the 19 (26%), metastatic hilar adenopathy from an extrathoracic primary tumor was identified. A pneumothorax rate consistent with our average rate for CT-guided biopsies (25%) was obtained, and only one patient required chest tube placement. In this series, CT-guided biopsies of hilar masses were more consistently successful in obtaining tissue for diagnosis than were bronchoscopic biopsies. Transthoracic needle aspiration biopsy may be the preferred initial diagnostic procedure in many patients with hilar masses.     

IgM Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance and Smoldering Waldenström's Macroglobulinemia

Immunoglobulin M monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (IgM-MUS) was diagnosed in 213 Mayo Clinic patients who were residents of 11 counties in southeastern Minnesota from 1960 to 1994. During long-term follow-up, 29 (14%) developed non-Hodgkin lymphoma (n = 17), Waldenström's macroglobulinemia (WM; n = 6), chronic lymphocytic leukemia (n = 3), and AL amyloidosis (n = 3) with relative risks of 15-, 262-, 6-, and 16-fold, respectively. The cumulative probability of progression to one of these disorders was 10% at 5 years, 18% at 10 years, and 24% at 15 years, approximately 1.5% per year. Smoldering WM was identified in 48 patients at Mayo Clinic from 1974 to 1995. During follow-up, 33 of the 48 patients progressed to symptomatic WM. The median time to progression was 4.6 years. The risk of progression to WM was 6% at 1 year, 39% at 3 years, and 55% at 5 years.     

Risk to Tourists Posed by Wild Mammals in South Africa

BACKGROUND: One of South Africa's principal tourist attractions is the opportunity to encounter Africa's large mammals in the wild. Attacks by these mammals can be exceptionally newsworthy with potentially deleterious effects on tourism. Little is known about the risk of injury and death caused by wild mammals to visitors to South Africa's nature reserves. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of fatal and nonfatal attacks on tourists by wild mammals in South Africa and to ascertain avoidable factors, if any. METHODS: Commercial press records covering all South African Newspapers archived at the Independent Newspapers' central library were systematically reviewed for a 10-year period, January 1988 to December 1997 inclusive, to identify all deaths and injuries to domestic and international tourists resulting from encounters with wild mammals in South Africa. All of these incidents were analyzed to ascertain avoidable factors. RESULTS: During the review period seven tourists, including two students from Thailand and a German traveler, were killed by wild mammals in South Africa. Three of the four deaths ascribed to lions resulted from tourists carelessly approaching prides on foot in lion reserves. A judicial inquiry found that the management of a KwaZulu-Natal Reserve was culpable for the remaining death. Tourist ignorance of animal behavior and flagrant disregard of rules contributed to the two fatalities involving hippopotami. The unusual behavior manifested by the bull elephant responsible for the final death, resulted from discomfort caused by a dental problem to this pachyderm. During the same period there were 14 nonfatal attacks on tourists, including five by hippo, three by buffalo, two by rhino, and one each by a lion, leopard, zebra and musth elephant. Only the latter occurred while the visitor was in a motor vehicle. Tourist ethological naivete and failure to determine the experience of trail guides prior to travel, resulted in inadvertent agonistic behavior, unnecessary risk-taking and avoidable injury. CONCLUSIONS: This retrospective study has shown that attacks on tourists by wild mammals in South Africa are an uncommon cause of injury and death. Sensible precautions to minimize this risk include remaining in a secure motor vehicle or adequately fenced precincts while in the vicinity of large mammals, rigidly observing nature reserve instructions, never approaching animals that appear ill, malnourished, displaying aggressive behavior traits or female wild mammals with young, and demanding adequately trained and experienced game rangers when embarking on walking trails. Any behavior that might be construed as antagonistic and which could provoke an attack by large mammals should be avoided (e.g., driving directly at a lion). Visitors need to be informed of classic signs of aggression, in particular in elephants, which will allow timely avoidance measures to be taken. The risk-enhancing effect of excessive alcohol intake is undesirable in the game reserve setting, as is driving at high speed after dusk in areas where hippos graze. Local advice on personal safety in wildlife reserves and the credentials of trail guides should be obtained from lodge or reserve management, tourism authorities or the travel industry prior to travel to game reserves.     

Primary cutaneous carcinosarcoma: review and presentation of a case with emphasis on clinical characteristics and management

Carcinosarcomas are rare malignant biphasic tumours that contain intermingled carcinomatous and sarcomatous elements. Primary cutaneous carcinosarcomas (PCCS) are extremely rare. We present the 20th reported case and review the literature especially regarding histogenesis and clinical features such as diagnosis and management. PCCS resembles other non-melanocytic neoplasms of the skin. Diagnosis is obtained by primary excision with subsequent histologic and immunohistochemical examination. PCCS is a potentially lethal neoplasm, but radical surgery is successful in most cases.     

EMPHYSEMATOUS PYELONEPHRITIS RESPONDING TO MEDICAL THERAPY

We describe two type 2 diabetic patients with unilateral emphysematous pyelonephritis who responded to medical treatment alone. Escherichia coli was isolated in both patients. The presence of gas was confirmed early by ultrasound and CT scan of abdomen. Following treatment, good functional recovery was demonstrable in the affected kidneys by isotope renogram. We stress the need for early diagnosis of this condition and aggressive treatment with broad spectrum antibiotics.     

Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia: natural history and prognostic determinants

A retrospective clinical review of 41 patients with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia revealed a median age of 66 years and a male:female ratio of 2.4:1. The disease was preceded by a myelodysplastic syndrome of a different subtype in 24% of the patients and transformed into acute leukemia in 24%. Splenomegaly was present in 54% of the patients and reached massive proportions in 24%. Chromosomal abnormalities occurred in 34% of those studied, most commonly in the younger age group; the most frequent were trisomy 8, monosomy 7, and deletions involving the long arms of chromosomes 20 and X. Polyclonal hypergammaglobulinemia was detected in 47% of the patients in whom serum protein electrophoresis was done. The median survival was 3 years. With use of univariate analysis, the statistically significant prognostic determinants were hemoglobin level, the "modified Bournemouth score," and bone marrow blast cell percentage. When these factors were subjected to a multivariate analysis, only bone marrow blast cell percentage was an independent prognostic determinant. Orally administered hydroxyurea controlled leukocytosis and splenomegaly in some patients without affecting the overall prognosis.