Risk prediction platform for pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy using artificial intelligence

BACKGROUND Despite advancements in operative technique and improvements in postoperative managements,postoperative pancreatic fistula(POPF) is a life-threatening complication following pancreatoduodenectomy(PD).There are some reports to predict POPF preoperatively or intraoperatively,but the accuracy of those is questionable.Artificial intelligence(AI) technology is being actively used in the medical field,but few studies have reported applying it to outcomes after PD.AIM To develop a risk prediction platform for POPF using an AI model.METHODS Medical records were reviewed from 1769 patients at Samsung Medical Center who underwent PD from 2007 to 2016.A total of 38 variables were inserted into AI-driven algorithms.The algorithms tested to make the risk prediction platform were random forest(RF) and a neural network(NN) with or without recursive feature elimination(RFE).The median imputation method was used for missing values.The area under the curve(AUC) was calculated to examine the discriminative power of algorithm for POPF prediction.RESULTS The number of POPFs was 221(12.5%) according to the International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistula definition 2016.After median imputation,AUCs using 38 variables were 0.68 ± 0.02 with RF and 0.71 ± 0.02 with NN.The maximal AUC using NN with RFE was 0.74.Sixteen risk factors for POPF were identified by AI algorithm:Pancreatic duct diameter,body mass index,preoperative serum albumin,lipase level,amount of intraoperative fluid infusion,age,platelet count,extrapancreatic location of tumor,combined venous resection,co-existing pancreatitis,neoadjuvant radiotherapy,American Society of Anesthesiologists' score,sex,soft texture of the pancreas,underlying heart disease,and preoperative endoscopic biliary decompression.We developed a web-based POPF prediction platform,and this application is freely available at http://popfrisk.smchbp.org.CONCLUSION This study is the first to predict POPF with multiple risk factors using AI.This platform is reliable(AUC 0.74),so it could be used to select patients who need especially intense therapy and to preoperatively establish an effective treatment strategy.     

Surgical suture assembled with polymeric drug-delivery sheet for sustained,local pain relief

Surgical suture is a strand of biocompatible material designed for wound closure, and therefore can be a medical device potentially suitable for local drug delivery to treat pain at the surgical site. However, the preparation methods previously introduced for drug-delivery sutures adversely influenced the mechanical strength of the suture itself – strength that is essential for successful wound closure. Thus, it is not easy to control drug delivery with sutures, and the drug-delivery surgical sutures available for clinical use are now limited to anti-infection roles. Here, we demonstrate a surgical suture enabled to provide controlled delivery of a pain-relief drug and, more importantly, we demonstrate how it can be fabricated to maintain the mechanical strength of the suture itself. For this purpose, we separately prepare a drug-delivery sheet composed of a biocompatible polymer and a pain-relief drug, which is then physically assembled with a type of surgical suture that is already in clinical use. In this way, the drug release profiles can be tailored for the period of therapeutic need by modifying only the drug-loaded polymer sheet without adversely influencing the mechanical strength of the suture. The drug-delivery sutures in this work can effectively relieve the pain at the surgical site in a sustained manner during the period of wound healing, while showing biocompatibility and mechanical properties comparable to those of the original surgical suture in clinical use.