A simple scoring system to estimate perioperative mortality following liver resection for primary liver malignancy—the Hepatectomy Risk Score (HeRS)

BackgroundSelection of the optimal treatment modality for primary liver cancers remains complex, balancing patient condition, liver function, and extent of disease. In individuals with preserved liver function, liver resection remains the primary approach for treatment with curative intent but may be associated with significant mortality. The purpose of this study was to establish a simple scoring system based on Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and extent of resection to guide risk assessment for liver resections.MethodsThe 2005–2015 NSQIP database was queried for patients undergoing liver resection for primary liver malignancy. We first developed a model that incorporated the extent of resection (1 point for major hepatectomy) and a MELD-Na score category of low (MELD-Na =6, 1 point), medium (MELD-Na =7–10, 2 points) or high (MELD-Na >10, 3 points) with a score range of 1–4, called the Hepatic Resection Risk Score (HeRS). We tested the predictive value of this model on the dataset using logistic regression. We next developed an optimal multivariable model using backwards sequential selection of variables under logistic regression. We performed K-fold cross validation on both models. Receiver operating characteristics were plotted and the optimal sensitivity and specificity for each model were calculated to obtain positive and negative predictive values.ResultsA total of 4,510 patients were included. HeRS was associated with increased odds of 30-day mortality [HeRS =2: OR =3.23 (1.16–8.99), P=0.025; HeRS =3: OR =6.54 (2.39–17.90), P<0.001; HeRS =4: OR =13.69 (4.90–38.22), P<0.001]. The AUC for this model was 0.66. The AUC for the optimal multivariable model was higher at 0.76. Under K-fold cross validation, the positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of these two models were similar at PPV =6.4% and NPV =97.7% for the HeRS only model and PPV =8.4% and NPV =98.1% for the optimal multivariable model.ConclusionsThe HeRS offers a simple heuristic for estimating 30-day mortality after resection of primary liver malignancy. More complicated models offer better performance but at the expense of being more difficult to integrate into clinical practice.     

Female Genital Cutting and Deinfibulation: Applying the Theory of Planned Behavior to Research and Practice

At least 200 million girls and women across the world have experienced female genital cutting (FGC). International migration has grown substantially in recent decades, leading to a need for health care providers in regions of the world that do not practice FGC to become knowledgeable and skilled in their care of women who have undergone the procedure. There are four commonly recognized types of FGC (Types I, II, III, and IV). To adhere to recommendations advanced by the World Health Organization (WHO) and numerous professional organizations, providers should discuss and offer deinfibulation to female patients who have undergone infibulation (Type III FGC), particularly before intercourse and childbirth. Infibulation involves narrowing the vaginal orifice through cutting and appositioning the labia minora and/or labia majora, and creating a covering seal over the vagina with appositioned tissue. The WHO has published a handbook for health care providers that includes guidance in counseling patients about deinfibulation and performing the procedure. Providers may benefit from additional guidance in how to discuss FGC and deinfibulation in a manner that is sensitive to each patient’s culture, community, and values. Little research is available to describe decision-making about deinfibulation among women. This article introduces a theoretically informed conceptual model to guide future research and clinical conversations about FGC and deinfibulation with women who have undergone FGC, as well as their partners and families. This conceptual model, based on the Theory of Planned Behavior, may facilitate conversations that lead to shared decision-making between providers and patients.

     

Do case-mix adjusted nursing home reimbursements actually reflect costs? Minnesota's experience

Some states have adopted Medicaid reimbursement systems that pay nursing homes according to patient type. These case-mix adjusted reimbursements are intended in part to eliminate the incentive in prospective systems to exclude less profitable patients. This study estimates the marginal costs of different patient types under Minnesota's case-mix system and compares them to their corresponding reimbursements. We find that estimated costs do not match reimbursement rates, again making some patient types less profitable than others. Further, in confirmation of our estimates, we find that the percentage change in patient days between 1986 and 1990 is explained by our profitability estimates.     

Interaction of family history of breast cancer and dietary antioxidants with breast cancer risk (New York,United States)

We sought to determine if specific dietary antioxidants may be particularly effective in reducing breast cancer risk for women reporting family history (FH) of breast cancer in a first-degree relative. Interviews regarding usual diet, health, and family histories were conducted with 262 premenopausal and 371 postmenopausal women with incident, primary breast cancer from western New York (United States). These women were frequencymatched by age and county of residence with community controls. Among premenopausal women, there was a significant interaction between FH and -tocopherol; -tocopherol was associated with significantly decreased risk among FH+ women (adjusted fourth-quartile odds ratio [OR]=0.01, 95 percent confidence interval [CI]=0.0–0.3). This association was much weaker for FH-women [OR=0.7, CI=0.4–1.2]. For FH-women, a significant inverse association was observed between -carotene and premenopausal breast-cancer risk (OR=0.4, CI=0.3–0.5), but not for FH+ women (OR=0.5, CI=0.1–4.0). Similar relationships, although not as strong, were noted among postmenopausal women. Although limited by small numbers, these results suggest that biologic mechanisms of tumorigenesis may differ in FH+ and FH-women, and that -tocopherol may be a potential chemopreventive agent for women with a family history of breast cancer, particularly premenopausal women.This research was conducted by the Department of Social and preventive Medicine, State University of New York at Buffalo. This publication is supported in part by grants CA11535 and 5 R25 CA1820117 from the US National Cancer Institute and PDT-434 from the American Cancer Society. Dr Freudenheim is a recipient of a Research Career Development Award from the National Cancer Institute (CA01633). This work is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the views of the NCI.     

Higher total homocysteine concentrations and lower folate concentrations in premenopausal black women than in premenopausal white women.

BACKGROUND: Premenopausal black women have a greater rate of coronary artery disease (CAD) than do premenopausal white women. Plasma total homocysteine concentrations, a risk factor for CAD, have not been reported in premenopausal black women. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare plasma total homocysteine, folate, and vitamin B-12 concentrations in premenopausal black and white women. DESIGN: Eighty-nine black and 90 white, healthy, premenopausal women living in Portland, OR, were recruited. Dietary histories were obtained by using the Diet Habit Survey, a 40-item eating-behavior questionnaire. Plasma concentrations of total homocysteine, folate, and vitamin B-12 were measured. RESULTS: Black women had higher plasma total homocysteine (8.32 compared with 7.60 micromol/L;P = 0. 013), lower plasma folate (6.62 compared with 9.88 nmol/L;P < 0. 0001), and higher vitamin B-12 (355 compared with 283 pmol/L;P < 0. 001) concentrations than white women. White women had a greater rate of daily multivitamin supplement use (42.4% compared with 24.7%;P = 0.019) and ate more ready-to-eat cereal than did black women. After adjustment for multivitamin use and intake of ready-to-eat cereal, plasma total homocysteine concentrations did not differ significantly, but plasma folate remained significantly lower in the black women. None of the black women but 12.3% of the white women (P = 0.013) were homozygous for the cytosine to thymidine mutation at nucleotide 677 in the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene. CONCLUSIONS: Black women had higher plasma total homocysteine and lower plasma folate concentrations than white women, largely because of lifestyle factors, which may contribute to the greater rate of CAD in premenopausal black than in white women.     

Differential effect of a single high dose of the tricyclic antidepressant imipramine on interleukin-1beta and tumor necrosis factor-alpha secretion following an in vivo lipopolysaccharide challenge in rats

Tricyclic antidepressants (TCAs) of which imipramine is one, are commonly used in the treatment of depressive disorders and other forms of psychiatric illness. There have been many reports regarding the suppressive effects of TCAs on immune function. However, information is still limited regarding the effects of TCAs on the immune system, as many of the studies conducted to date have concentrated on in vitro exposure to such drugs, or ex vivo measures of immunity following drug administration. Thus in the present investigation, an in vivo challenge with bacterial lipopolysaccharide (LPS) (100 microg/kg; i.p.) was used to assess immunocompetence following administration of a single high dose of the TCA, imipramine (100 mg/kg, p.o.). The results demonstrated that imipramine pretreatment inhibits LPS-induced increases in serum concentrations of the proinflammatory cytokine, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha both 3 and 6 h, following administration. However, LPS-induced interleukin (IL)-1beta secretion was not significantly altered following imipramine treatment at either of the timepoints examined. In addition, serum concentrations of corticosterone and the antiinflammatory cytokine IL-10 were measured, and imipramine treatment failed to alter either basal, or LPS-induced increases in these immunosuppressive agents. In conclusion, although IL-1beta and TNF-alpha are both macrophage-derived proinflammatory cytokines, the present study demonstrates a differential sensitivity of these cytokines to the suppressive effects of the TCA imipramine. Furthermore, the suppressive effects of imipramine on LPS-induced TNF-alpha secretion could not be attributed to either increased glucocorticoid levels, or increased secretion of the antiinflammatory cytokine IL-10. The relevance of these findings to antidepressant-induced immunotoxicity are discussed.