World health system performance revisited: the impact of varying the relative importance of health system goals

Background

In 2002, the World Health Organization published a health system performance ranking for 191 member countries. The ranking was based on five indicators, with fixed weights common to all countries.

Methods

We investigate the feasibility and desirability of using mathematical programming techniques that allow weights to vary across countries to reflect their varying circumstances and objectives.

Results

By global distributional measures, scores and ranks are found to be not very sensitive to changes in weights, although differences can be large for individual countries.

Conclusions

Building the flexibility of variable weights into calculation of the performance index is a useful way to respond to the debates and criticisms appearing since publication of the ranking.     

A generic model for the assessment of disease epidemiology: the computational basis of DisMod II

Reliable and comparable analysis of risks to health is key for preventing disease and injury. Causal attribution of morbidity and mortality to risk factors has traditionally been conducted in the context of methodological traditions of individual risk factors, often in a limited number of settings, restricting comparability.     

Population health metrics: crucial inputs to the development of evidence for health policy

Valid, reliable and comparable measures of the health states of individuals and of the health status of populations are critical components of the evidence base for health policy. We need to develop population health measurement strategies that coherently address the relationships between epidemiological measures (such as risk exposures, incidence, and mortality rates) and multi-domain measures of population health status, while ensuring validity and cross-population comparability.     

Influence of gravity on radiographic contrast material-based measurements of regional blood flow distribution

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Radiographic measurement of regional blood flow distribution in the lungs is potentially biased because the contrast material used to track flow is denser than blood. The authors performed this study to evaluate the effect of gravity on flow estimates by using an experimental test phantom and numeric simulations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cross-sectionally uniform boluses of radiopaque contrast material were delivered at the upstream end of a horizontal inlet tube connected to a downstream axisymmetric bifuration attached to collecting tubing spirals. The phantom was imaged by using both planar angiography and dynamic multi-detector row computed tomography (CT) during the passage of the bolus through the phantom. The images were analyzed to determine the relative amounts of contrast material traveling through the top and bottom branches of the bifurcation by using varying Reynolds numbers and ratios of inlet tube volume to bolus volume. Numeric simulations of flow within a straight channeL with use of a dispersion operator intended to simulate settling of the bolus due to gravity, were performed under conditions representative of those in the experiments. RESULTS: When the plane of the bifurcation was vertical and actual flow through the two branches was equal, the fraction of contrast material passing through the downward-directed branch increased with decreasing Reynolds number and increasing inlet tube-bolus volume ratio. This occurred in both the experiments and the simulations. CONCLUSION: Because in the circulation Reynolds number decreases and pathway length increases with decreasing vessel diameter, the accuracy of regional flow measurements obtained with angiography or CT within the lungs may be limited by density differences between contrast material and blood.     

Breast and cervical cancer survival: making sense of ‘league tables’

During 1998, the Department of Health proposed to use survival rates of cervical and breast cancer in the 1989/90 incidence cohort as indicators of care. Valid interpretation was of concern within Trent and the Trent Cancer Registry responded by performing additional analyses. Trent Cancer Registry registrations for 1989/90 were re-analysed and the stability of districts' ranks for that cohort was investigated using random simulation techniques. Stability of ranks across more recent cohorts was investigated and attempts made to use all available information.The Department of Health's analyses were confirmed by our re-analysis of the 1989/90 cohort: Rotherham residents appeared to have the "worst" survival for cervical cancer, and Sheffield residents for breast cancer, although not statistically significantly so. Random simulations indicated that ranks based on a single cohort are not stable: for example Sheffield (ranked tenth for 1-y breast cancer survival) was ranked third or better in 6% of randomisations. Ranks were also unstable across cohorts: for example Rotherham 1-y cervical cancer survival was ranked tenth for 1989/90, fifth for 1991/92 and tenth for 1993/94. Analysis of 3-y running averages provided better information than the league table approach. Most districts improved over time, to different degrees, and similar sized gaps remained between the "best" and the "worst" districts. This analysis illustrates the need to be circumspect when interpreting "league tables" based on a single year or cohort analysis. League tables are based on ranks: clearly a large difference in rank may reflect only trivial (ie medically unimportant) differences in actual outcome. Lack of a statistically significant difference in survival between two districts does not mean their survival is equivalent. Even for a common cancer, like breast cancer, rankings were unstable from cohort to cohort. At the Registry we propose to perform these trend analyses routinely in future, adjusting, when possible, for the effects of deprivation and stage at diagnosis.     

Abnormal surfactant composition and activity in severe bronchiolitis

A prospective study of infants under 1 y of age, ventilated for severe viral bronchiolitis, was carried out in four paediatric intensive care units in order to study surfactant activity and composition in this condition. Lung lavage fluid from 24 infants with bronchiolitis, 19 with bronchiolitis and sepsis or cardiac failure and 12 controls were analysed by the “click test” for surfactant activity and for phospholipids. Surfactant activity was present in all controls, but in only 2 of the 24 infants with bronchiolitis alone. The presence of phosphatidylglycerol correlated perfectly with the click test, suggesting that reduced activity is due to changes in surfactant lipid composition. In those with bronchiolitis plus coexisting disease, surfactant activity and phosphatidylglycerol were absent in only half. Surfactant activity and phosphatidylglycerol re-appeared by extubation. Severe viral bronchiolitis is associated with an absence of surfactant activity and PG, which resolves by clinical recovery. Infants with coexisting conditions are not always surfactant deficient. Surfactant administration is likely to be beneficial, but requires a selective approach.     

The effects of the stereoisomers of the alpha 2-adrenergic agonist medetomidine on systemic and coronary hemodynamics in conscious dogs.

The alpha 2-adrenergic agonist medetomidine produces systemic hemodynamic effects that are mediated by both peripheral and central nervous system actions. The current investigation was designed to characterize coronary and systemic hemodynamic effects of the D- and L-stereoisomers of medetomidine in conscious, chronically instrumented dogs with and without autonomic nervous system blockade. Dogs were instrumented for measurement of aortic pressure, coronary blood flow velocity, cardiac output, left ventricular pressure, rate of change in pressure (dP/dt), and subendocardial systolic shortening. Administration of the D-isomer of medetomidine (doses of 1.25, 2.5, and 5.0 micrograms/kg, each administered over 10 min, with 60 min between doses) significantly altered systemic hemodynamics, in a biphasic fashion. A decrease in respiratory rate without change in arterial blood gas tensions occurred. With the 5 micrograms/kg dose of D-medetomidine, an initial pressor response was followed by secondary, significant (P less than 0.05), and dose-related decreases in heart rate (74 +/- 3 to 57 +/- 4 beats per min), mean arterial pressure (109 +/- 2 to 100 +/- 3 mmHg) and the rate-pressure product (10.5 +/- 0.4 to 7.0 +/- 0.5 beats.min-1.mmHg.10(3] accompanied by a reduction in plasma concentrations of norepinephrine. No changes in left ventricular end diastolic pressure or coronary blood flow velocity occurred. In contrast to the D-isomer, the L-isomer (1.25, 2.5 and 5.0 micrograms/kg) produced no changes in hemodynamics or plasma concentrations of norepinephrine. In dogs pretreated with hexamethonium (20 mg/kg), propranolol (2 mg/kg), and atropine methylnitrate (3 mg/kg) to produce autonomic nervous system blockade, D-medetomidine also produced an initial pressor response, but no secondary reduction in heart rate or arterial pressure occurred. The results indicate that the D-isomer of medetomidine is stereospecific for alterations in hemodynamics: the active D-isomer produces decreases in heart rate, arterial pressure, and the rate-pressure product via diminished sympathetic and/or augmented parasympathetic tone. This conclusion is supported by the absence of these changes after pharmacologic blockade of the autonomic nervous system.