Analysis of time‐to‐event for observational studies: Guidance to the use of intensity models

This paper provides guidance for researchers with some mathematical background on the conduct of time‐to‐event analysis in observational studies based on intensity (hazard) models. Discussions of basic concepts like time axis, event definition and censoring are given. Hazard models are introduced, with special emphasis on the Cox proportional hazards regression model. We provide check lists that may be useful both when fitting the model and assessing its goodness of fit and when interpreting the results. Special attention is paid to how to avoid problems with immortal time bias by introducing time‐dependent covariates. We discuss prediction based on hazard models and difficulties when attempting to draw proper causal conclusions from such models. Finally, we present a series of examples where the methods and check lists are exemplified. Computational details and implementation using the freely available R software are documented in Supplementary Material. The paper was prepared as part of the STRATOS initiative.     

Increased frequency of HLA-DPw2 in pauciarticular onset juvenile chronic arthritis

Thirty-six unrelated Danish patients with pauciarticular Juvenile Chronic Arthritis (PJCA) and 120 controls were typed for HLA-DPw1-w6 and the local specificity CDPHEI with bulk-expanded Primed Lymphocyte Typing (PLT) cells. The frequency of HLA-DPw2 was 52.8% in PJCA patients and 16.7% in controls (relative risk, RR = 4.5; P less than 0.001). The antigens HLA-Dw5 and/or Dw8 were present in 50% of the patients and in 21.3% of the controls (RR = 4.2; p less than 10(-3)). DPw2 was not associated (in linkage disequilibrium) with Dw5/w8 in patients or in controls, and the DP and D associations with PJCA were independent of each other. However, the combined presence of DPw2 and Dw5 and/or Dw8 gave a significantly higher risk of PJCA than each antigen alone indicating interaction of DP and DR gene products. PJCA is the first disease definitely found to be associated with a DP antigen.     

Sexual dysfunction in male and female patients with epilepsy: A study of 86 outpatients

Sexual dysfunction is a well-known complication of chronic somatic illness. Eighty-six consecutive epileptic outpatients, 38 men and 48 women, without accompanying disorders, were studied. The frequency and symptoms of sexual dysfunction were compared with results from previous studies using identical sexological methodology. The previous studies were of diabetic patients and healthy controls. Eight percent of the epileptic men reported a sexual dysfunction compared to 44% of the diabetics and 13% of the controls. Epileptic women, diabetic women, and controls showed no significant differences in sexual dysfunction (29%, 28%, and 25%, respectively). In both sexes, the sexual function measured by frequencies of coitus and masturbation was normal. Most patients had good control of epileptic attacks on a treatment of monotherapy. Hormonal status was generally within normal limits in both men and women; only a few minor differences were found and they showed no correlation with sexual dysfunction. Psychologically and socially the patients did not differ appreciably from normals, and they exhibited a high degree of disease acceptance. This study, using a biopsychosocial approach in understanding sexual dysfunctions, is in contrast with previous, mainly uncontrolled, studies of epileptic patients that reported high frequencies of hyposexuality in males. We conclude that epilepsy does not necessarily increase the risk of sexual dysfunction in male or female.     

Total Corporal Contouring with Megaliposuction (120 Consecutive Cases)

The purpose of this study is to present the authors' long-term experience with total corporal contouring with megaliposuction. The evolution of body reshaping in one operative setting including simultaneous head and neck contouring, upper and lower extremity recontouring, and creation of an aesthetic trunk and abdominal form is discussed. Patient evaluation, operative techniques, postoperative management, and long-term results are emphasized. From February 1994 to February 1997, 120 consecutive patients underwent total corporal contouring with tumescent (Hunstad formula)-technique, classic liposuction. There were 10 males and 110 females. The average age of all patients was 28 years. Preoperative evaluation emphasized corporal shape and proportions. No other open procedures were performed simultaneously in these patients. The authors' postoperative regimen is discussed. The average amount of aspirated material in these series was 14,000 ml (range, 8000–20,000 ml). No blood transfusions were required. Complications included only hypopigmentation (N= 2) and postoperative seromas requiring aspiration (N= 12). Follow-up examination took place at 3 months to 3 years, with an average of 14 months. All patients underwent a metamorphosis from an amorphic shape to one that follows the normal body contours and profiles. The goals of megaliposuction are no longer just to reduce body fat and body mass. Individually planned surgery for these patients should be based upon obtaining normal symmetrical body proportions. Total corporal contouring and reshaping can now be safely performed, offering hope and predictable outcomes to this patient population. Patient evaluation, operative technique, postoperative care, and long-term results are presented.     

Equity in the finance of health care: some further international comparisons.

This paper presents further international comparisons of progressivity of health care financing systems. The paper builds on the work of Wagstaff et al. [Wagstaff, A., van Doorslaer E., et al., 1992. Equity in the finance of health care: some international comparisons, Journal of Health Economics 11, pp. 361-387] but extends it in a number of directions: we modify the methodology used there and achieve a higher degree of cross-country comparability in variable definitions; we update and extend the cross-section of countries; and we present evidence on trends in financing mixes and progressivity.     

Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of the aromatase inhibitor 3-ethyl-3-(4-pyridyl)piperidine-2,6-dione in patients with postmenopausal breast cancer

Summary The pyridylglutarimide 3-ethyl-3-(4-pyridyl)-piperidine-2,6-dione (PyG) is a novel inhibitor of aromatase that was shown to cause effective suppression of plasma oestradiol levels in postmenopausal patients. In four patients receiving oral doses of PyG (500 mg) twice daily for 3–4 days, oestradiol levels fell to 31.1%±6.3% of baseline values within 48 h and remained suppressed during treatment. Of a further six patients who received oral PyG (1 g) as a single dose, five had quantifiable oestradiol levels. Oestradiol suppression was sustained for 36 h and recovery correlated with a fall of PyG concentrations below a threshold value of ca. 2 g/ml. The pharmacokinetics of PyG were non-linear and, when fitted to the integrated Michaelis-Menten equation, yielded good parameter estimates forC _o (21.7±1.82 g/ml),K _m (2.66±0.68 g/ml) and V_max (0.86±0.06 g ml^–1 h^–1). On subsequent repeated dosing with PyG, both theK _m (4.31±0.48 g/ml) and the V_max (1.83±0.13 g ml^–1 h^–1) values increased and recovery from oestradiol suppression was more rapid, indicating that PyG induces its own metabolism.Abbreviations PyG 3-ethyl-3-(4-pyridyl)piperidine-2,6-dione - AG aminoglutethimide - CSCC cholesterol side-chain cleavage - HPLC high-performance liquid chromatography - AUC area under the concentration versus time curve This study was supported in part by grants to the Institute of Cancer Research (Royal Cancer Hospital) from the Cancer Research Campaign and Medical Research Council     

The “Scandinavian Star” ferry disaster 1990 -a challenge to forensic odontology

Summary With 158 victims, the fire on board the Scandinavian Star was one of the world's worst ferry disasters. A team of identification experts, including dentists, were employed to secure evidence for identification and to remove the victims from the ferry. Four parallel teams, each with 2 dentists, examined and autopsied the victims at the Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Oslo. Using the INTERPOL Disaster Victim Identification forms and aided by computers, all victims were identified within 17 days. Dental identity could be established in 107 cases (68%).     

Hydrophobic membrane interaction of etidocaine,bupivacaine and 2-chloroprocaine

Summary It has been suggested that local anesthetics may block sodium conductance through nervous membranes also by hydrophobic interaction, e.g., by expanding the membrane. Decreased anisotropy (fluidization) and depressed phase transition temperatures have been shown by relatively high local anesthetic concentrations. We studied the dose dependence of the effect of three clinically used local anesthetics, with different lipid solubility, on lipid fluidity parameters of four different model membranes. With stearic acid spin labels in dipalmitoyl lecithin vesicles etidocaine (1–5 mM) had the clearest fluidizing effect followed by bupivacaine (5 mM); 2-chloroprocaine was without effect on lipid fluidity. In synaptic plasma membranes a fluidizing effect near the hydrophilic part of the lipid bilayer was similar with etidocaine and bupivacaine (5–10 mM); 2-chloroprocaine had no effect. Bupivacaine at 125 and 250 M had a small ordering effect, which was not seen at a more hydrophobic site of the membrane. Etidocaine had the strongest fluidizing effect at the latter site of the synaptic plasma membranes. In erythrocyte ghost membranes, probed by stearic acid spin labels near the hydrophilic end, none of local anesthetics affected fluidity at 24° C, while at 37° C etidocaine (1–5 mM) and bupivacaine (5 mM) had a fluidizing effect. Dimyristoyl lecithin vesicles were probed by cis-and trans-parinaric acid. Etidocaine and bupivacaine (5–10 mM) clearly depressed the phase transition temperature evaluated from fluorescence intensity scans. The effect was most marked with bupivacaine (1–10 mM) when dis-parinaric acid was used. While isolated mammalian nerves are blocked by local anesthetic concentrations below 100 M, this study shows that the clinically used local anesthetics increase fluidity and depress phase transition temperature only at 10–100 times higher concentrations at physiological pH. This kind of hydrophobic membrane interaction may not be important for the nerve blocking effect.     

Steady-state kinetics of imipramine in patients

Steady-state plasma level kinetics were studied in 76 patients given imipramine (IP) 150 to 225 mg/day for 2–5 weeks. IP was given in three divided doses at 8.00 a.m., 1.00 p.m. and 5.00 p.m. Plasma concentrations of IP and its active metabolite desipramine (DMI) were determined by quantitative in situ thin-layer chromatography. The plasma levels of IP and DMI showed pronounced flucutations throughout the day with a ratio of about 2 between highest and lowest level. Patients with steady-state levels of IP and/or DMI below 50 g/l reached this within 1 week of treatment. Patients with higher steady-state levels reached steady-state concentrations within 2–3 weeks. There were some intraindividual fluctuations in plasma levels from week to week after steady state had been reached (coefficient of variation: 10–20%). Interindividually, the steady-state levels corrected to a dose of 3.5 mg/kg per day varied considerably: IP: 6–356 g/l, DMI: 24–659 g/l and IP+DMI: 58–809 g/l. The steady-state plasma levels showed a skew distribution that became normal by logarithmic transformation. The IP/DMI ratio ranged from 0.07 to 5.5 with a median value of 0.47. Compared to data from amitriptyline treated patients the IP/DMI ratios had significantly lower median value and larger variation than the corresponding plasma level ratios of amitriptyline/nortriptyline. Several statistically significant differences in steady-state levels between age groups were found. For IP: Women aged 30–39 had lower levels than women aged 20–29, 40–49, and 50–59, and men aged 50–59 and 60–65; men aged 30–39 had lower levels than men aged 60–65. For DMI: Women aged 30–39 had lower levels than women aged 50–59.     

Method for Dissection of Mesenteric Metastases in Mid-gut Carcinoid Tumors

With adequate medical management the midgut carcinoid tumor generally is an indolent malignancy associated with substantial life expectancy and appreciable life quality, even in the presence of liver metastases and significant tumor burden. Abdominal complications may occur in this entity of carcinoids owing to entrapment of intestines and encasement of mesenteric vessels by mesenteric metastases and associated marked mesenteric fibrosis. This may be the cause of abdominal pain, disabling diarrhea, weight loss to the extent of malnutrition, and eventually the risk of death with acute or chronic intestinal obstruction or intestinal gangrene. Operative removal of the mesentericointestinal lesion is often indicated to prevent or treat these complications but may be technically difficult when mesenteric metastases extend in the vicinity of major vessels in the mesenteric root. At laparotomy 56 patients with advanced midgut carcinoids underwent removal of the mesenteric tumor with a method for preserving the mesenteric vessels. This was feasible by mobilizing and releasing the right colon and mesenteric root from posterior adhesions, identifying the mesenteric artery below the pancreas, and free-dissecting this artery on the tumor capsule in the mobilized mesentery. Dissection was successful even with tumors initially judged inoperable unless tumor growth completely surrounded the mesenteric vessels or extended retroperitoneally. One patient was subjected to distal intestinal artery bypass. Symptom relief was been substantial and often of long duration after mesenteric tumor removal in patients who prior to surgery often had threatening intestinal ischemia. Patients with advanced midgut carcinoids may benefit markedly from dissectional removal of mesenteric tumors, which (conceivably better than conventional wedge resection) preserves the length of the remaining intestine.