A prediction rule for clinical diagnosis of severe acute respiratory syndrome.

A prospective study was undertaken to identify clinical, radiographical, haematological and biochemical profiles of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) patients. A prediction rule, which demarcates low from high risk patients for SARS in an outbreak situation was developed. A total of 295 patients with unexplained respiratory illnesses, admitted to Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China, in March to July 2003, were evaluated for clinical, radiological, haematological and alanine transaminase (ALT) data daily for 3 days after hospitalisation. In total, 44 cases were subsequently confirmed to have SARS by RT-PCR (68.2%) and serology (100%). The scoring system of attributing 11, 10, 3, 3 and 3 points to the presence of independent risk factors, namely: epidemiological link, radiographical deterioration, myalgia, lymphopenia and elevated ALT respectively, generated high and low-risk (total score 11-30 and 0-10, respectively) groups for SARS. The sensitivity and specificity of this prediction rule in positively identifying a SARS patient were 97.7 and 81.3%, respectively. The positive and negative predictive values were 47.8 and 99.5%, respectively. The prediction rule appears to be helpful in assessing suspected patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome at the bedside, and should be further validated in other severe acute respiratory syndrome cohorts.     

Arterial stiffness and vascular load in heart failure

Vascular load is an important determinant of ventricular function. This is particularly true of the failing heart, which is exquisitely load-sensitive. Vascular load comprises 2 major components: resistive load, which arises primarily at the arteriolar resistance vessels, and pulsatile load, which is primarily determined by aortic stiffness and early return of reflected waves from the periphery to the heart. Assessment of pulsatile load is gaining increasing prominence as evidence grows of a significant pathophysiologic role for arterial stiffness in cardiovascular disease, including heart failure. Assessment of arterial stiffness and vascular load is reviewed here. The importance of optimal ventricular-vascular coupling to maximize the efficiency of cardiac ejection is discussed. Current knowledge of arterial stiffness, vascular load, and ventricular-vascular coupling in systolic heart failure and in heart failure with a normal ejection fraction ("diastolic failure") is described. Reducing aortic stiffness may form an important future therapeutic target in patients with heart failure.     

Pentaglobin in steroid-resistant severe acute respiratory syndrome.

SETTING: The treatment of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is at best controversial, although there is considerable anecdotal experience to show the benefits of corticosteroid therapy for selected patients. Some patients deteriorate relentlessly despite treatment with antibiotic, corticosteroid and mechanical ventilation. OBJECTIVE: To attempt to determine the clinical efficacy of pentaglobin, an IgM-enriched immunoglobulin preparation, on 12 severe SARS patients who continued to deteriorate despite corticosteroid and ribavirin therapy. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of daily quantitative and radiographic data on the cohort in a regional teaching hospital. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: There was significant improvement in radiographic scores, when compared with day 1, on days 5, 6 and 7 (P < 0.05) after commencement of pentaglobin treatment. Similarly, there was significant improvement in oxygen requirement, when compared with day 1, on days 6 and 7 (P < 0.05) after commencement of pentaglobin treatment. There were no reported adverse events attributable to pentaglobin administration. Ten patients made an uneventful recovery after treatment. One elderly man died from cardiorespiratory arrest despite clinical and radiological improvement, and another patient is making good progress. Pentaglobin is safe and probably effective in the treatment of steroid-resistant SARS. A double-blind placebo-controlled study should therefore be considered.     

Cardiomegaly on chest x-ray: prognostic implications from a ten-year cohort study of elderly subjects: a report from the Bronx Longitudinal Aging Study.

This report is from a 10-year cohort study of community-dwelling elderly men and women. Mean age at the time of entry into the study was 79 years. Annual chest x-ray studies were performed, and data are presented regarding prevalence, incidence, and prognosis of cardiomegaly. Cardiomegaly was defined as a transverse diameter of the cardiac silhouette greater than or equal to 50% of the transverse diameter of the chest (increased cardiothoracic ratio). At the time of entry into the study 110 subjects (23%) had cardiomegaly. After 10 years, 51% of the subjects with cardiomegaly at baseline died compared with 33% of the subjects without cardiomegaly (mortality rate = 9.1 vs 4.8/100 person-years respectively; p = 0.014). Cardiovascular disease incidence was also higher for those with preexisting cardiomegaly at baseline (rate 9.1 vs 6.1/100 person-years; p = 0.0001). According to the Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, age, cardiomegaly, diabetes, and prior evidence of myocardial infarction were independent predictors for death in this cohort. Similarly, the best predictive variables for cardiovascular disease were age, diabetes, prior evidence of myocardial infarction, and cigarette smoking. Of the 359 subjects without cardiomegaly at baseline, 108 (30%) showed evidence of new cardiomegaly, and their risk of cardiovascular disease was 1.8 times that of subjects whose test results were negative for cardiomegaly throughout the study (p = 0.003). Thus cardiomegaly, as defined by an increased cardiothoracic ratio on x-ray films, irrespective of cause, is associated with a poor prognosis in very elderly men and women.     

Elevated levels of transforming growth factor-beta(1) in serum of patients with stable bronchiectasis

Bronchiectasis is a chronic inflammatory and infective airway disease characterized by irreversible dilatation of the bronchi and persistent purulent sputum. Transforming growth factor-beta(1) (TGF-beta(1)) has been found to be increased in the lungs or bronchoalveolar lavage fluid of patients with inflammatory lung diseases. However, little is known on the serum TGF-beta(1) levels in patients with bronchiectasis. We aimed to determine the serum TGF-beta(1) concentrations in 95 patients with stable bronchiectasis (63 women; mean+/-sd age, 58.9+/-14.1 years) and 68 control subjects (23 women; 48.9+/-12.8 years) by ELISA, and to correlate with clinical parameters. The serum TGF-beta(1) levels were significantly higher in bronchiectatic patients compared with control subjects (median [range], 1812.5 pg/ml [1226.4-4114.5 pg/ml] vs. 1342.4 pg/ml [940.3-2371.7 pg/ml]; P<0.001). There was, however, no correlation between serum TGF-beta(1) levels with FEV(1) (% predicted), FVC (% predicted), 24h sputum volume, the number of bronchiectatic lung lobes or total white blood cell count (P>0.05). Our findings support previous indications that TGF-beta(1) may contribute to bronchiectatic airway inflammation. Further studies on the potential mechanisms and pathogenesis implications of this elevation should also be pursued in future.     

Anemia of the Belgrade rat: evidence for defective membrane transport of iron

The mechanisms underlying the impaired utilization of transferrin-bound iron by erythroid cells in the anemia of the Belgrade laboratory rat were investigated using reticulocytes from homozygous anemic animals and transferrin labeled with 59Fe and 125I. The results were compared with those obtained using reticulocytes from phenylhydrazine-treated rats and iron-deficient rats. Each step in the iron uptake mechanism was investigated, ie, transferrin-receptor interaction, transferrin endocytosis, iron release from transferrin, and transferrin exocytosis. Although there were quantitative differences, no fundamental difference was found in any of the abovementioned aspects of cellular function when the reticulocytes from Belgrade rats were compared with those from iron-deficient animals. The basic defect in the Belgrade reticulocytes must therefore reside in subsequent steps in iron uptake, after it is released from transferrin within endocytotic vesicles, ie, in the mechanism by which it is transferred across the lining membrane of the vesicles into the cell cytosol. Sodium dodecyl sulfate-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (SDS-PAGE) of reticulocyte ghosts extracts demonstrated a prominent protein band of mol wt 69,000 that was absent or present only in low concentration extracts from the other two types of reticulocytes. This may be a result of the genetic defect.     

Prevalence, incidence and prognosis of recognized and unrecognized myocardial infarction in persons aged 75 years or older: The Bronx Aging Study

The prevalence, incidence and prognosis of recognized and unrecognized Q-wave myocardial infarction (MI) was assessed in an 8-year prospective study of 390 community-based subjects (age 75 to 85 years at entry, mean 79 years). Subjects were studied at baseline and with annual follow-up electrocardiographic (ECG) exams. At baseline, 7.9% had a history of MI without ECG evidence, 6.4% had ECG evidence of Q-wave MI without clinical history, 4.1% had both clinical history and ECG evidence and 81.5% had neither history nor ECG evidence (control subjects). After an average follow-up period of 76.2 months, the total mortality rate was 5.9/100 person-years for subjects with some evidence of MI at baseline versus 3.9 in the control group (p = 0.059). The incidence of cardiovascular disease in subjects with evidence of MI was 8.8/100 person-years versus 4.7 among control subjects (p = 0.002). During the follow-up period, 115 new Q-wave MIs occurred (50 unrecognized, rate 2.4/100; 65 recognized, rate 3.2/100). There was no difference in mortality and morbidity outcome between subjects with recognized and unrecognized MIs. Those with only a history of MI at baseline had a threefold greater risk of a new MI (recognized and unrecognized) than the control group (p = 0.003). Unrecognized Q-wave MI is a common occurrence in the "old old" with subsequent morbidity and mortality prognosis comparable to that of recognized MI. History of MI alone in this age group is also associated with an increased risk of MI, suggesting the need for better diagnostic markers of myocardial ischemia in the old.