BACKGROUND: Several instruments can be used to identify patients with an unfavourable course of low back pain in general practice. However, it is unclear which instrument is the predictor of outcome. AIM: To compare the predictive performance (that is, calibration and discrimination) of risk estimation by GPs with assessments using the Orebro Musculoskeletal Pain Screening Questionnaire, the Low Back Pain Perception Scale (LBPPS), and a prediction rule developed for this purpose. Design of study: A prospective cohort study with 1-year follow-up. SETTING: General practice in The Netherlands. METHOD: The outcome 'unfavourable course of low back pain' was defined as having no clinically important improvement at minimally 50% of the measurements at 6, 13, 26, and 52 weeks. Logistic regression analyses were used to study associations between potential predictors and outcome. RESULTS: In total, 60 GPs recruited 314 patients to the study (16 patients were excluded from analysis due to missing data on the course of low back pain). Over a third of patients (112/298) showed an unfavourable course of low back pain on follow-up. Risk estimation by GPs, the Orebro questionnaire, the LBPPS, and the prediction rule had discriminative ability (area under the curve) of 0.59 (95% CI [confidence intervals] = 0.52 to 0.66); 0.61 (95% CI = 0.54 to 0.67); 0.59 (95% CI = 0.52 to 0.66); and 0.75 (95% CI = 0.69 to 0.81) respectively. The prediction rule included history of low back pain, self-perceived risk to develop chronic low back pain, no solicitous responses of the patient's partner (as reported by the patient), frequent walking at work, and 'pain catastrophising'. CONCLUSION: Although the prediction rule performed best with regard to calibration and discrimination, it needs to be externally validated. Risk estimation by GPs performs as well as other instruments and, at present, seems to be the best available option. 相似文献
We sought to evaluate whether residency application statements regarding expected career paths are accurate predictors of early postresidency career paths. We evaluated 162 residents who completed a categorical medicine residency at Georgetown University Hospital between 1990 and 1998 to determine if their stated career plans (generalist practice, subspecialization, or undecided) at application predicted activity immediately after residency. Of 130 residents with defined postresidency plans at application, most 78 (60%) followed those career paths after graduation; 18 (67%) of 27 pursued their initial interest in generalist practice, and 60 (58%) of 103 pursued their stated interest in subspecialty training. We also noted a movement of residents toward generalism (79 [49%] of 162), despite low initial interest (27 [17%] of 162). 相似文献
Purpose of ReviewWith increased understanding of the biomechanical function of the acetabular labrum, more attention has been directed towards surgical techniques that preserve or restore normal joint anatomy. While labral repair has been shown to produce superior outcomes to labral debridement, repair is not always possible in the setting of severe labral intrasubstance tearing or deficiency. These patients were previously left without suitable arthroscopic treatment options.Recent FindingsLabral reconstruction is an emerging procedure that has been shown to offer promising outcomes for traditionally difficult-to-treat hip pathology. Short- and mid-term follow-up studies have consistently demonstrated significant improvement in patient-reported outcomes, function, and patient satisfaction postoperatively, often despite less favorable preoperative characteristics.SummaryLabral reconstruction is a viable arthroscopic treatment option that has been shown to reliably produce clinically meaningful results in patients with severe labral pathology that is not amenable to repair/refixation or augmentation. 相似文献
Purpose: To assess the effect of pupil dilation on measures of retinal vessel caliber.
Design: Observational study with self-comparisons
Methods: Retinal photographs were taken for both eyes of 25 subjects before and after pupil dilation. Three photographic graders, masked to pupil dilation status, measured the same set of images using a computer-assisted, semi-automatic method. We compared means (standard deviations) of retinal arteriolar caliber equivalent (CRAE) and retinal venular caliber equivalent (CRVE) of the same eyes between pre- and post-dilation images. We assessed concordance correlation coefficients (CC), Bland Altman limits-of-agreements, and used linear mixed models to assess CRAE and CRVE measures associated with pupil dilation (influencing image quality), graders (observers) and right-left eye variation.
Results: We found high CCs for CRAE (0.82-0.94) and CRVE (0.87-0.94) between pre- and post-dilation images of the same eyes across the graders. Bland Altman plots showed that mean differences ranged from 0.55-3.42μm for CRAE and 1.56-2.29μm for CRVE. After adjusting for right-left eye random variation, a significant fixed effect of dilation was evident in mean CRAE in two of the three graders. There was no significant fixed effect of dilation in mean CRVE across all graders. In models including data of both eyes’ measures from pre- and post-dilation images by three graders, the fixed effect for dilation status contributed significantly to CRAE and CRVE variances whereas random effects for graders and dilation status contributed minimally.
Conclusions: Contrary to our hypothesis, we found a systematic effect of pupil dilation on retinal vessel caliber measures. 相似文献