Simulation model of renal replacement therapy: predicting future demand in England.

BACKGROUND: The demand for renal replacement therapy (RRT) in England has risen steadily, although from a lower base than many other developed countries. Predicting the future demand for RRT and the impact of factors such as the acceptance rate, transplant supply and patient survival, is required in order to inform the planning of such services. METHODS: A discrete event simulation model estimates the future demand for RRT in England in 2010 for a range of scenarios. The model uses current prevalence and current and projected future acceptance rates, survival rates and the transitions between modalities to predict future patient numbers. National population and mortality data, published literature and data from the UK Renal Registry and UK Transplant, are used to estimate unmet need for RRT, the impact of changing demography and incidence of Type 2 diabetes, patient haemodialysis (HD) survival and transplant supply. RESULTS: By 2010 the predicted prevalence will have increased from about 30,000 in 2000 to between 42 and 51,000 (900-1000 p.m.p.), an average annual growth of 4.5-6%. Changing transplant supply has a small effect on overall numbers but changes the proportion of patients with functioning graft by up to 8%. Even with an optimistic increase in transplant supply (11% p.a. for 5 years), numbers on HD will continue to rise substantially, especially in the elderly. The factors most influencing future patient numbers are the acceptance rate and dialysis survival. CONCLUSION: This model predicts a substantial growth in the RRT population to 2010 to a rate approaching 1000 p.m.p., particularly in the elderly and those on HD, with a steady state not being reached for at least 25 years.     

Congenital self-healing reticulohistiocytosis. Report of a case with 7-year follow-up and a review of the literature

A case of congenital self-healing reticulohistiocytosis in an otherwise healthy newborn boy is presented. Histological, immunohistochemical, and ultrastructural findings are described and the nosologic position of this entity is discussed.     

Catheterization of synthetic vascular grafts

One hundred nine percutaneous catheterizations of synthetic vascular grafts in 89 patients who had angiographic procedures were reviewed to determine the risk of major complications. Ninety-six of the catheterizations were inserted into the inguinal portion of aortofemoral grafts. There were no instances of hematoma, graft infection, aneurysm formation, suture line disruption, or embolic events distal to the puncture site. One local thrombus developed within a vascular graft that was corrected by a simple thrombectomy performed with a surgical catheter. One puncture site required 2 hours of compression to maintain hemostasis. Because of the extremely low risk of complications from catheterization of synthetic vascular grafts, it is the preferred route for angiographic procedures when the native femoral arterial route is unavailable.     

Passenger seating position and the risk of passenger death in traffic crashes: a matched cohort study

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the association of passenger seating position with the risk of death for passengers in traffic crashes. Design, setting, PARTICIPANTS: Matched cohort analysis of data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Fatality Analysis Reporting System regarding 56 644 passengers in 23 308 passenger cars, light trucks, vans, and sport utility vehicles that crashed during 1990-2001. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The adjusted risk ratio (aRR) for death of a rear seat passenger compared with a front seat passenger within 30 days of a crash. RESULTS: The aRR for all passengers in the rear seat in a crash was 0.79 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.82). This estimate varied by age, restraint use, and the presence of a front passenger airbag (p<0.001). For restrained passengers in cars with a front passenger airbag, the aRR was 0.62 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.81) for children 0-12 years, 0.96 (95% CI 0.88 to 1.06) for passengers 13-29 years, 1.03 (95% CI 0.93 to 1.15) for passengers 30-59 years, and 1.06 (95% CI 0.90 to 1.26) for passengers 60 years or older. The rear seat was associated with more protection in cars without front airbags and more protection for unrestrained passengers compared with restrained passengers. CONCLUSIONS: Previous studies have reported that the rear seat was safer for persons of all ages; thus seating a young child in the rear has often meant that older children and adults had to assume an increased risk of death by sitting in the front. These results suggest that when front passenger airbags are present and passengers are restrained, putting adults in front and children in back enhances child safety without sacrificing adult safety.     

Five Percent Lidocaine Cream Applied Simultaneously to the Skin and Mucosa of the Lips Creates Excellent Anesthesia for Filler Injections

Background. Injection of filler substances into the lips is painful, and many patients also find the injection of local or regional anesthesia into the lips painful.
Objective. To develop a highly effective and painless form of anesthesia to facilitate injection of filler substances into the lips.
Methods. Five percent lidocaine cream was applied simultaneously to the skin, vermilion, and mucosa of the lips (with the use of a barrier to keep the cream in contact with the mucosa and out of the rest of the mouth) for 20 to 30 minutes.
Results. Profound anesthesia of the lips was reliably produced, with no complications.
Conclusions. This "anesthetic cream block" is easier to perform and better tolerated than injectable anesthetics. Use of this technique is likely to expand the range of physicians who perform filler injections on the lips and will probably also expand the range of patients who wish to have filler injections done on their lips and who (because they had little or no discomfort) are willing to return for additional filler injections in the future.     

Angiolymphoid hyperplasia with eosinophilia of the orbit associated with obstructive airway disease

Two patients with angiolymphoid hyperplasia with eosinophilia isolated to the orbit had eyelid swelling, a superior orbital mass, and histories of intermittent obstructive airway disease. One patient later developed a transient peripheral blood eosinophilia as high as 36%. One lesion recurred 38 months postoperatively and responded to systemic corticosteroid therapy.     

Lithium and haloperidol differentially alter the dynorphin A (1-8) and enkephalin levels in the neurointermediate lobe of rat pituitary

Repeated administration of the antimanic drug lithium (4 mEq/kg/day for 2, 4 or 6 days, i.p.) to rats produced a progressive decline and eventual depletion of dynorphin-A (1-8) (DYN) concentration whereas Met5-enkephalin (ENK) was only marginally decreased in the neurointermediate lobe of the pituitary (NIL). Administration of a neuroleptic haloperidol neither affected ENK and DYN levels nor influenced lithium-induced changes. The study reveals that lithium produces a preferential perturbation in the dynorphin system relative to the enkephalin system. These results taken together with other evidence, indicate that dynorphin is possibly coreleased with vasopressin following lithium administration and provide a pharmacological support to the previously described colocalization and corelease of these endogenous peptides in the NIL.     

Ameloblastoma with multiple delayed recurrences: a case report

The ameloblastoma is a tumor arising predominantly in the mandible from odontogenic epithelium, and is locally invasive. It is rarely malignant; but even when benign, it causes gross local destruction and expansion of tissue. Growth is persistent, and recurrence may occur more than a decade after presumed total resection. Surgical resection should include a reasonable margin of healthy tissue whenever possible. Late patient presentation due to a paucity of symptoms, and insiduous tumor growth patterns render complete removal of the ameloblastoma difficult. Follow-up examinations should span a prolonged period, exceeding 10-15 years.