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C J Mode H E Gollwitzer M A Salsburg C K Sleeman 《IMA journal of mathematics applied in medicine and biology》1989,6(3):179-203
A nonlinear stochastic model of an AIDS epidemic with recruitment of infectives, susceptibles, and AIDS cases into a randomly mixing population of male homosexuals was formulated and studied from a methodological point of view through intensive computer experimentation. Probability generating functions were used to formulate a model for the monthly probability that a susceptible individual becomes infected with HIV, under the assumption that the probability of infection per sexual contact varies as a function of the duration of infection. A method for taking into account the use of condoms to prevent infection with HIV was also introduced. Nonlinear difference equations, resembling deterministic epidemic models, were embedded in the stochastic population process by iterating an initial conditional expectation. Examples of Monte Carlo experiments are presented, illustrating that solutions of these nonlinear difference equations are not always good measures of central tendency for variations in the sample functions of the process. Two important substantive conclusions drawn from the Monte Carlo experiments were that efforts should be made to collect quantitative information on the probability of infection per sexual contact as a function of duration of infection and the frequency of condom use within and among risk categories in a population. 相似文献
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Therapie der Arthrofibrose nach Kniegelenkendoprothetik 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Arthrofibrosis is one of the most common complications after total knee arthroplasty with an overall incidence of approximately 10%. Nevertheless, published data are rare and clinical trials mostly include small and heterogeneous patient series resulting in controversial conclusions. Clinically, arthrofibrosis after knee arthroplasty is defined as (painful) stiffness with scarring and soft tissue proliferation. Differentiation between local (peripatellar) and generalized fibrosis is therapeutically relevant. Histopathology typically shows subsynovial fibrosis with synovial hyperplasia, chronic inflammatory infiltration, and excessive and unregulated proliferation of collagen and fibroblasts. Diagnostic strategies are based on the exclusion of differential causes for painful knee stiffness, and especially the exclusion of low-grade infections represents a diagnostic challenge. Early and intensive physiotherapy combined with sufficient analgesia should be initiated as a basic therapy. The next therapeutic steps for persisting arthrofibrosis include closed manipulation and open arthrolysis. Arthroscopic interventions should be limited to local fibrosis. Revision arthroplasty represents a rescue surgery, often associated with recurrence of fibrosis. Prevention of arthrofibrosis by sufficient analgesia and early physiotherapy remains the best treatment option for painful stiffness after knee arthroplasty. 相似文献
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Hip arthroscopy represents an important component in the treatment of diseases of the hip joint and is nowadays an indispensible tool in modern hip-preserving surgery. This article provides a review of the basic technical principles, typical indications and complications of hip arthroscopy. Furthermore, current developments as well as possibilities and limitations of the arthroscopic technique are reviewed. 相似文献
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