Power calculation for cohort studies with improved estimation of expected numbers of deaths

Summary This paper focuses on improving the accuracy of sample size calculations for cohort studies by careful calculation of the expected number of deaths in the population, taking into account either prior information or realistic assumptions about variables which may affect the mortality or incidence. Sometimes small changes in the assumptions can dramatically alter the expected numbers and may necessitate modifications in the design of the study. Possible modification include extension of the follow-up time, and recognition that the real strength of the study may lie in the potential for pooling several similar studies. The problem will be discussed with reference to two examples of occupational cohort studies where differing prior information was available.

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Zusammenfassung Diese Arbeit beschäftigt sich mit der Genauigkeit der Berechnung des Stichprobenumfangs in Kohortenstudien, wenn detaillierte Berechnungen für die erwartete Zahl der Verstorbenen berücksichtigt werden. Dies kann entweder durch die Ausnutzung vorhandener Informationen oder durch realistische Annahmen über die Faktoren, die Mortalität oder Inzidenz beeinflussen, geschehen. Schon kleine Unterschiede in diesen Annahmen kann die erwartete Zahl der Verstorbenen erheblich verändern und es notwendig machen, das Design einer Studie zu verändern. Solche Modifikationen bestehen z.B. in der Verlängerung der Follow-up Zeit der Studie oder in der Einsicht, dass es nötig ist, Daten aus mehreren Studien zusammenzufassen. Die Probleme werden anhand von zwei Beispielen aus dem Bereich der Berufsepidemiologie diskutiert.

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Résumé Cet article concerne la précision des estimations de taille d'échantillons pour les études de cohortes. Le calcul précis du nombre de décès attendus dans la population prend en compte les variables susceptibles d'affecter la mortalité ou l'incidence, provenant soit d'une connaissance préalable, soit d'hypothèses réalistes. De modestes changements d'hypothèses peuvent parfois altérer de façon substantielle les nombres attendus et nécessiter des modifications dans le protocole de l'étude. Parmi les modifications possibles, il faut citer la prolongation du temps de suivi de l'étude ainsi que le constat que la valeur réelle de l'étude pourrait reposer sur la possibilité de mise en commun de plusieurs études similaires. Le problème est discuté à l'aide de deux exemples d'études de cohortes professionnelles pour lesquelles différentes informations préalables sont disponibles.

     

A comparison of tympanic thermometer readings to pulmonary artery catheter core temperature recordings

The purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy of FirstTemp (Intelligent Medical Systems, Carlsbad, CA) tympanic thermometer readings compared with core body temperatures obtained via pulmonary artery catheter (PAC). Five measurements were obtained on 19 cardiovascular surgery patients. Tympanic thermometer measurements tended to be higher than PAC measurements. However, most of the differences were not clinically significant. Differences found between right and left ear measurements were most likely due to poor measurement technique. When the correct technique is used, nurses can be confident that tympanic temperature readings are clinically accurate.     

Characterization of the major 68 kDa heat shock protein in a rat transformed astroglial cell line.

The heat shock response in a transformed astrocyte line was compared with nontransformed astrocytes. The synthesis of HSP 68, the major inducible heat shock protein (HSP 68) was induced by a non-lethal 45 degrees C, 10 min heat shock. Although the incorporation of [35S]methionine into HSP 68 suggested that similar amounts of protein were being synthesized after heat shock, Western immunoblotting demonstrated striking differences in the HSP immunostaining between the two cell types. By one- and 'two-dimensional gel electrophoresis the major 68 kDa heat shock protein (HSP 68) was similar in both cell types. However, HSP 68 from heat shocked, transformed astrocytes did not immunostain with the monoclonal antibody, C-92, which is specific for the major inducible heat shock protein of HeLa cells. In contrast HSP 68 from heat shocked, nontransformed astrocytes immunostained quite well. A polyclonal antibody raised against the inducible 72 kDa heat shock protein of HeLa cells immunostained the HSP 68 from both astrocytes and transformed astrocytes. Analysis of the mRNA from the two cell types after heat shock revealed two bands of approximately 2.5 and 2.8 kb in astrocytes but only a single 2.5 kb band in the heat shocked transformed astroglia. These results suggest that structural differences in the HSP 68 may be present in the transformed astrocytes compared to the normal astrocytes.     

Differentiation of a primitive neuroectodermal tumor into a benign ganglioglioma

We describe a case of cerebellar neuroblastoma with histologic documentation of maturation into a ganglioglioma sixteen months later. Only chemotherapy was administered following the initial surgery and the child is well and disease-free three years following her final surgical procedure. The outcome of this patient supports previous hypotheses that the cerebellar neuroblastoma may be a less malignant tumor than its other primitive neuroectodermal posterior fossa counterparts. Furthermore, this case suggests a role for second-look surgery in the management of selected pediatric brain tumors.     

Pharmacological profile of the novel P2T-purinoceptor antagonist, FPL 67085 in vitro and in the anaesthetized rat in vivo.

1. We measured the ratio of ETA and ETB sub-types in the media (containing mainly smooth muscle) of human cardiac arteries (aorta, pulmonary and coronary), internal mammary arteries and saphenous veins. 2. In saturation experiments, [125I]-endothelin-1 ([125I]-ET-1) bound with high affinity to the media of each vessel (n = 3 individuals or homogenate preparations +/- s.e. mean): coronary artery, KD = 0.14 +/- 0.02 nM, Bmax = 71.0 +/- 21.0 fmol mg-1 protein; pulmonary artery, KD = 0.85 +/- 0.25 nM, Bmax = 15.2 +/- 10.3 fmol mg-1 protein; aorta, KD = 0.51 +/- 0.02 nM, Bmax = 9.4 +/- 4.4 fmol mg-1 protein; internal mammary artery. KD = 0.34 +/- 0.31 nM, Bmax = 2.0 +/- 0.5 fmol mg-1 protein and saphenous vein, KD = 0.28 +/- 0.05 nM, Bmax = 52.8 +/- 1.0 fmol mg-1 protein. In each vessel, over the concentration-range tested, Hill slopes were close to unity and a one site fit was preferred to a two site model. 3. In competition binding assays, the ETA selective ligand, BQ123 inhibited the binding of 0.1 nM [125I]-ET-1 to the media in a biphasic manner. In each case, a two site fit was preferred to a one or three site model: coronary artery, KDETA = 0.85 +/- 0.03 nM, KDETB = 7.58 +/- 2.27 microM, ratio = 89:11%; pulmonary artery, KDETA = 0.27 +/- 0.05 nM, KDETB = 24.60 +/- 5.34 microM, ratio = 92:8%; aorta, KDETA = 0.80 +/- 0.40 nM, KDETB = 2.67 +/- 2.60 microM ratio = 89:11%; saphenous vein, KDETA = 0.55 +/- 0.17 nM, KDETB = 14.4 +/- 0.26 microM, 85:15% (n = 3 individuals or homogenate preparations +/- s.e. mean). BQ123 showed up to 18000 fold selectivity for the ETA over the ETB sub-type. The ETA-selective ligand, [125I]-PD151242 labelled 85% of the receptors detected by a fixed concentration of [125I]-ET-1 in media of internal mammary artery, measured by quantitative autoradiography. In contrast, the density of ETB receptors detected with [125I]-BQ3020 was 7.0 +/- 1.5 amol mm-2, representing about 8% of [125I]-ET-1.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)