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151.

Background

Patient aggression is a common problem in acute psychiatric wards and calls for preventive measures. The timely use of preventive measures presupposes a preceded risk assessment. The Norwegian Brøset-Violence-Checklist (BVC) is one of the few instruments suited for short-time prediction of violence of psychiatric inpatients in routine care. Aims of our study were to improve the accuracy of the short-term prediction of violence in acute inpatient settings by combining the Brøset-Violence-Checklist (BVC) with an overall subjective clinical risk-assessment and to test the application of the combined measure in daily practice.

Method

We conducted a prospective cohort study with two samples of newly admitted psychiatric patients for instrument development (219 patients) and clinical application (300 patients). Risk of physical attacks was assessed by combining the 6-item BVC and a 6-point score derived from a Visual Analog Scale. Incidents were registered with the Staff Observation of Aggression Scale-Revised SOAS-R. Test accuracy was described as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCROC).

Results

The AUCROC of the new VAS-complemented BVC-version (BVC-VAS) was 0.95 in and 0.89 in the derivation and validation study respectively.

Conclusion

The BVC-VAS is an easy to use and accurate instrument for systematic short-term prediction of violent attacks in acute psychiatric wards. The inclusion of the VAS-derived data did not change the accuracy of the original BVC.  相似文献   
152.
GRADE requires guideline developers to make an overall rating of confidence in estimates of effect (quality of evidence—high, moderate, low, or very low) for each important or critical outcome. GRADE suggests, for each outcome, the initial separate consideration of five domains of reasons for rating down the confidence in effect estimates, thereby allowing systematic review authors and guideline developers to arrive at an outcome-specific rating of confidence. Although this rating system represents discrete steps on an ordinal scale, it is helpful to view confidence in estimates as a continuum, and the final rating of confidence may differ from that suggested by separate consideration of each domain.An overall rating of confidence in estimates of effect is only relevant in settings when recommendations are being made. In general, it is based on the critical outcome that provides the lowest confidence.  相似文献   
153.
Increased life expectancy has led to a higher prevalence of calcific aortic valve disease. Both ends of the disease spectrum—sclerosis of the aortic valve without hemodynamic obstruction and the late stage of aortic valve stenosis (AS)—have been associated with increased morbidity and mortality. This raises the question of the prognostic contribution of atherosclerotic diseases and other comorbidities as opposed to the hemodynamic effect of obstructive AS. Hence, the evaluation of asymptomatic patients with mild or moderate AS without comorbidities is of major interest. In the Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis study, with the exception of hypertension, comorbidities were excluded, thus allowing an analysis of the effect of pure AS as well as the effect of hypertension on the progression and outcome of AS.  相似文献   
154.
BackgroundThe broader cost consequences of diseases may be of interest for a wide range of stakeholders. We aimed to estimate all relevant societal costs of cancer and to provide insight into the relative magnitude of the different cost categories.MethodWe used data from eight different health and work-related registries in Norway. Direct, indirect, and intangible costs (value of lost life years) were estimated over a period of one year with a combination of a top-down and a bottom-up costing approach.ResultsThe indirect costs (EUR 1,997 million per year) are almost as high as direct costs (EUR 2,154 million), and the value of lost life years and quality of life represents the greatest cost related to cancer (EUR 18,200 million). In addition, cancer is associated with other costs which are commonly omitted from cost-of-illness analyses, including informal nursing (EUR 306 million), patient time costs (EUR 85 million), and excess costs of using public funds (EUR 439 million). Breast and cervical cancer had relatively high work absenteeism costs, while pancreatic and lung cancer had relatively high production costs due to premature deaths.DiscussionDirect health care costs represent small proportions of the total societal costs of cancer. Costs commonly omitted in cost-of-illness analyses represent a significant cost and should be measured and valued in these analyses.  相似文献   
155.
    
A data set concerning cardiac arrests treated by the Emergency Medical Service in Trondheim during a nine year period is analysed. The relationship between the occurrence of cardiac arrest and covariates related to weather and season is examined. The covariate order method is used in the analysis of the data. It is explained how this method can be extended to recurrent event data, and the practical usefulness and flexibility of the method is demonstrated in these analyses. In the analyses a significant relationship between outdoor air temperature, or factors closely related to outdoor air temperature, and the occurrence of cardiac arrest is found. The incidence of cardiac arrest decreases with increasing temperature. Further a significant effect of snowfall is also found, with increased intensity of cardiac arrest on days with snowfall. A more borderline significant effect of precipitation is also identified.  相似文献   
156.
    
When it comes to clinical survival trials, regulatory restrictions usually require the application of methods that solely utilize baseline covariates and the intention‐to‐treat principle. Thereby, much potentially useful information is lost, as collection of time‐to‐event data often goes hand in hand with collection of information on biomarkers and other internal time‐dependent covariates. However, there are tools to incorporate information from repeated measurements in a useful manner that can help to shed more light on the underlying treatment mechanisms. We consider dynamic path analysis, a model for mediation analysis in the presence of a time‐to‐event outcome and time‐dependent covariates to investigate direct and indirect effects in a study of different lipid‐lowering treatments in patients with previous myocardial infarctions. Further, we address the question whether survival in itself may produce associations between the treatment and the mediator in dynamic path analysis and give an argument that because of linearity of the assumed additive hazard model, this is not the case. We further elaborate on our view that, when studying mediation, we are actually dealing with underlying processes rather than single variables measured only once during the study period. This becomes apparent in results from various models applied to the study of lipid‐lowering treatments as well as our additionally conducted simulation study, where we clearly observe that discarding information on repeated measurements can lead to potentially erroneous conclusions. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
157.
    
Objectives. Angiography by selective catheterization is the reference standard for coronary bypass graft patency assessment but carries a risk of serious complications. We have investigated whether 16-slice multidetector spiral computed tomography (MDCT) can substitute for selective angiography. Design. Two to three years after coronary artery bypass grafting, 45 patients with a total of 156 bypasses (100 single and 28 sequential grafts) were examined with both MDCT and conventional selective angiography on the same day. The bypasses were classified as patent, stenotic or occluded. Results. The likelihood ratio for MDCT-detected occlusion was 40, reflecting a fairly high combined sensitivity and specificity. However, 24% of the distal anastomoses could not be evaluated by MDCT, mainly because of respiratory movements, artifacts due to metal clips, and small vessel dimensions. Moreover, seven out of 117 bypasses (6%) deemed evaluable by MDCT were wrongly classified by this method. Conclusions. At present, 16-slice MDCT cannot replace selective angiography for assessment of coronary bypass graft patency since 24% of bypasses could not be evaluated by this method, and an error rate of 6% is unacceptable.  相似文献   
158.
    
Mediastinitis is treated with either vacuum‐assisted closure (VAC) or traditional closed drainage (TCD) with irrigation. The aim of the study was to determine the effect of the two treatments on mortality and re‐infection rate in a source population, using 21 314 consecutive patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) from January 1997 to October 2010. Median observation time was 2·9 years in the VAC group and 8·0 years in the TCD group. The epidemiological design was of an exposed (VAC, n = 64) versus non‐exposed (TCD, n = 66) cohort with two endpoints: (1) mortality and (2) failure of sternal wound healing or re‐infection. The crude effect of treatment technique versus endpoint was estimated by univariate analysis. Stratification analysis by the Mantel–Haenszel method was performed to quantify confounders and to pinpoint effect modifiers. Adjustment for confounders was performed using Cox regression analysis. Mediastinitis was diagnosed 6–105 (median 14) days after primary operation in the VAC group and 13 (5–29) days in the TCD group. There was no difference between groups in long‐term survival. Failure of sternal wound healing or re‐infection occurred less frequently in the VAC group (6%) than in the TCD group (21%; relative risk = 0·29, 95% CI = 0·06–0·88, P = 0·01). There are concerns for increase in right ventricle rupture in VAC compared with TCD. There was no difference in survival after VAC therapy and TCD therapy of post‐CABG mediastinitis. Failure of sternal wound healing or re‐infection was more common after TCD therapy.  相似文献   
159.
    
Mediastinitis after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) gives a longstanding chronic inflammation and has a detrimental negative effect on long‐term survival. For this reason, we aimed to study the effect of mediastinitis on graft patency after CABG. The epidemiologic design was of an exposed (mediastinitis, n = 41) versus non‐exposed (non‐mediastinitis, controls, n = 41) cohort with two endpoints: (i) obstruction of saphenous vein grafts (SVG) and (ii) obstruction of the internal mammary artery (IMA) grafts. The graft patency was evaluated with coronary CT‐angiography examination at a median follow‐up of 2·7 years. The number of occluded SVG in the mediastinitis group was 18·9% versus 15·5% in the control group. Using generalized estimating equations model with exchangeable matrix, and confounding effect of ischaemic time and patients age, we found no significant association between presence of mediastinitis and SVG obstruction [rate ratio (RR) = 0·96, 95% CI (0·52–2·67), P = 0·697]. The number of occluded IMA grafts was 10·5% in the mediastinitis group and 2·4% in the control group. Using the Poisson regression model, we estimated RR = 5·48, 95% CI (1·43–21·0) and P = 0·013. There was a significant association between mediastinitis and IMA graft obstruction, when controlling for the confounding effect of ischaemic time, body mass index, presence of diabetes mellitus and the number of diseased vessels. Presence of mediastinitis increases the risk of IMA graft obstruction. This may confirm the importance of inflammation as a major contributor to the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis and explain the negative effect of mediastinitis on a long‐term survival.  相似文献   
160.
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