Likelihood ratios for mixed stains when the number of donors cannot be agreed

Suppose that part of the prosecution's evidence in some crime case is analysis of a blood stain, and that the traits E discovered in the stain suggest multiple donors. Then the prosecution will probably allege some specific inculpatory hypothesis H₀ about the sources of the stain, and P {E | H₀} can be calculated. It is desirable to use this as the numerator of a likelihood ratio. However, in general the obvious denominator P {E | H₀} cannot be calculated, so unless the defense is sufficiently obliging as to stipulate to a specific choice among the potentially infinite number of more or less exculpatory alternative hypotheses, the desired likelihood ratio can't be evaluated. We show that nonetheless, in most cases there is an adequate inequality.     

Apathetic hyperthroidism

Among the psychosyndromes least well known to be associated with an endocrinopathy is apathetic hyperthyroidism. This condition is characterized by apathy, lethargy, severe "senile depression" and often a high output cardiac failure occurring as the presenting problem.1,2,9 The depressive component of the clinical picture may occur without cardiac complications. Such depressions in the elderly, while refractory to treatment with antidepressant drugs, often respond dramatically to the correction of the underlying endocrine dysfunction.4 It is therefore important to consider "thyroid melancholia" in the differential diagnosis of such cases. Given this high index of suspicion, the diagnosis can be fairly easily made.     

Interleukin 2 and the treatment of leukemia and lymphoma

As evidence has accumulated that allogeneic bone marrow transplantation provides therapeutic benefit by means of a graft versus malignancy effect, there has been a corresponding increase in interest in inducing or enhancing such an effect after chemotherapy and/or autologous bone marrow transplantation. Administration of Interleukin-2 may be one way of achieving this aim. Recent studies have shown the cytokine is tolerated after ABMT/chemotherapy in immunomodulatory doses and that the MHC unrestricted cytotoxic effector mechanisms induced can indeed discriminate between normal and malignant tissue. As always, larger scale randomized studies will be required before the therapeutic efficacy of this approach can been assessed.     

Determination of glomerular size-selectivity in the normal rat with Ficoll.

Diffusion studies in vitro indicate that Ficoll behaves more like an ideal spherical molecule than does dextran, suggesting that Ficoll would be a better probe of glomerular pore size than the commonly used dextran. To examine the differences between these macromolecules in vivo, the fractional clearances of tritiated Ficoll and dextran were measured over a wide range of molecular sizes (Stokes-Einstein radius, rs, from 19 to 65 A) in normal euvolemic Munich-Wistar rats. Whole-kidney and single-nephron hemodynamic conditions were characterized through a combination of clearance and micropuncture measurements. The fractional clearance, or sieving coefficient (theta), for dextran significantly exceeded that of Ficoll at all molecular sizes examined, theta for dextran being approximately 10 times that for Ficoll for rs greater than 30 A. Thus, the results with Ficoll imply a more size-restrictive barrier than do the results with dextran. The values of theta for Ficoll approximated previously reported values for uncharged globular proteins. Although theta for Ficoll at rs = 35 A was much smaller than the corresponding value for dextran, it was still approximately 30 times greater than typical values of the filtrate-to-plasma concentration ratio reported for serum albumin (a polyanion) in the rat, in agreement with the concept that glomerular charge-selectivity normally plays an important role in the prevention of albuminuria. Three membrane-pore models were compared in their ability to represent the dextran and Ficoll sieving data. A lognormal pore-size distribution in parallel with a nonselective "shunt" pathway was found to be more effective than either an isoporous membrane with a shunt or a purely lognormal distribution. On the basis of these laboratory results and computations, Ficoll may be preferred over dextran in future studies of glomerular size-selectivity.     

Mast cell activity in experimental allergic encephalomyelitis

The number and functional reactivity of peritoneal mast cells (MCs) were evaluated in rats with experimental allergic encephalomyelitis (EAE). Cells were counted following staining with toluidine blue and activation was measured by B-hexosaminidase (B-hex) release. The number of detectable MCs and their capacity to release B-hex decreased significantly by 40 and 65%, respectively, as compared with normal controls just prior to the onset of clinical signs. These values returned to normal on clinical recovery. Preliminary data on MC counts performed on histological sections of rat brains with EAE suggested a similar pattern of response, i.e., an early decrease prior to disease onset with subsequent normalization on recovery. In an attempt to modify the course of EAE, rats were treated with the MC stabilizing agent nedocromil or with the MC activating agent, compound 48/80. Nedocromil induced a slight delay in the onset of EAE, but only when administered at the time of EAE induction. Compound 48/80 did not seem to affect the clinical course of the disease. Our results suggest that MCs are involved in the pathogenesis of EAE and may contribute to the induction of the disease rather than to the effector phase and its clinical expression.     

The heterogeneity of leukemic reticuloendotheliosis, "hairy cell leukemia". Evidence for its monocytic origin.

The presence of B, T, and monocyte markers were studied on the spleen and peripheral blood mononuclear cells from two patients with leukemic reticuloendotheliosis. A high proportion of cells from both patients bore a receptor for cytophilic antibody, both in suspension and frozen tissue section. Cells in suspension lacked surface immunoglobulins or a receptor for sheep red blood cells. These results favor the evidence that "hairy cells" are monocytic in origin.     

Salicylate enhances necrosis and apoptosis mediated by the mitochondrial permeability transition.

Onset of the mitochondrial permeability transition (MPT) causes both necrotic and apoptotic cell death in cultured hepatocytes. Salicylate lowers the threshold for onset of the MPT. In this study, our aim was to determine whether nontoxic concentrations of salicylate potentiate MPT-mediated cell killing. In necrotic killing models to rat hepatocytes, salicylate (1 mM) enhanced calcium ionophore (Br-A23187)- and tert-butylhydroperoxide (t-BuOOH)-induced cell death, which was blocked or delayed by cyclosporin A (CsA, 2 microM), a specific inhibitor of the MPT. In hepatocyte apoptosis induced by tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha), salicylate accelerated cell killing after low-dose TNF-alpha (1 ng/ml), which by itself induced little apoptosis. Salicylate enhancement of apoptosis was associated with onset of the MPT and accelerated caspase 3 activation. Salicylate also augmented killing of MCF-7 human breast tumor cells by etoposide and PLC/PRF/5 human hepatoma cells by tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (TRAIL). In conclusion, salicylate potentiates both necrotic and apoptotic cell killing by promoting onset of the MPT. Enhancement by salicylate of MPT-dependent apoptosis may play a role in protection by aspirin and other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs against colon, lung, and breast cancer.     

Gene amplification in esophageal adenocarcinomas and Barrett's with high-grade dysplasia.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to determine the frequency and overall contribution of specific gene amplification events in the formation of Barrett's adenocarcinomas. The relationship of gene amplification to clinical-pathological variables and its potential usefulness as a marker for early cancer detection were also examined. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We used quantitative PCR and Southern blot analysis to screen 87 cases of Barrett's adenocarcinoma for the presence or absence of 13 distinct gene amplification events. Gene amplification was then examined for correlation with other amplification events and clinical variables (survival, stage, nodal involvement, tumor invasion, smoking history, and gender). Additionally, 22 specimens of Barrett's with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) were examined for the presence of gene amplification. RESULTS: One or more amplification events were present in 50 of 87 (57%) adenocarcinomas. The ERBB2 gene was amplified in 19 of 87 (21.8%), CCNE1 in 11 of 87 (12.6%), GATA4 in 9 of 87 (10.3%), KRAS in 9 of 87 (10.3%), EGFR in 7 of 87 (8.0%), CCND1 in 6 of 87 (6.8%), HNF3alpha in 5 of 87 (5.7%), PIK3CA in 5 of 87 (5.7%), C-MYC in 4 of 87 (4.6%), DYRK2 in 2 of 87 (2.3%), and AIB1, AKT1, and IGF1R were amplified in 0 of 87 (0%) of the tumors. CCND1 amplification was found to correlate negatively with survival (P < 0.05). In addition, the ERBB2 amplicon positively correlated (P < 0.05) with GATA4 amplification. Increased copy number of the ERBB2 (1 of 22), GATA4 (1 of 22), KRAS (2 of 22), C-MYC (1 of 22), CCNE1 (2 of 22), and CCND1 (2 of 22) genes was also observed in one or more Barrett's adenocarcinomas with HGD. CONCLUSIONS: The high frequency of gene amplification in esophageal adenocarcinomas and HGD indicates the important role of these events in esophageal adenocarcinoma development. Additionally, these results underscore the possible usefulness of early detection approaches and chemotherapeutic strategies (ErbB2 and cyclin D1) targeted against amplified gene products.