Conditional estimation of sensitivity and specificity from a phase 2 biomarker study allowing early termination for futility

Development of a disease screening biomarker involves several phases. In phase 2 its sensitivity and specificity is compared with established thresholds for minimally acceptable performance. Since we anticipate that most candidate markers will not prove to be useful and availability of specimens and funding is limited, early termination of a study is appropriate, if accumulating data indicate that the marker is inadequate. Yet, for markers that complete phase 2, we seek estimates of sensitivity and specificity to proceed with the design of subsequent phase 3 studies. We suggest early stopping criteria and estimation procedures that adjust for bias caused by the early termination option. An important aspect of our approach is to focus on properties of estimates conditional on reaching full study enrollment. We propose the conditional‐UMVUE and contrast it with other estimates, including naïve estimators, the well‐studied unconditional‐UMVUE and the mean and median Whitehead‐adjusted estimators. The conditional‐UMVUE appears to be a very good choice. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Work disability in adults with cystic fibrosis and its relationship to quality of life.

With increasing numbers of cystic fibrosis (CF) patients surviving to adulthood, issues related to vocation inevitably arise and warrant specific attention. We examined the percentage of participants with CF currently working and explored risk factors for work disability among adults with CF. METHOD: We recruited 50 consecutive patients from an adult cystic fibrosis service. Demographic, employment history, illness severity indicators and CF-attributed work disability factors were evaluated. Demographic risk factors for work disability using the illness severity measures of FEV(1), S-K score, CRDQ, and recent hospitalisation as independent variables were determined. RESULTS: Factorial analysis of a disability index (DI) indicated no dependency on FEV(1) or S-K score, but dependency on quality of life indices (p<0.05), age (p<0.05) and hospital admission rate (p<0.05). Hours worked per week were dependent on quality of life (p<0.01) (mastery of disease domain), fewer hospital admissions (p<0.01) and age (p<0.05). Sixty-eight percent of the sample reported that CF resulted in significant impediments to employment. However, few had sought vocational guidance (6%). CONCLUSION: Determinants of workforce participation shows that hours worked and perceived disability are more dependent on mastery of disease, age, and time in hospital, than on clinical severity scores. Health professionals may assist productivity through career counselling or tailored programs.     

Über Antagonisten der Phlorrhizinwirkung

Ohne Zusammenfassung     

Immediate and delayed cord clamping in infants born between 24 and 32 weeks: a pilot randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: This pilot study's aim was to establish feasibility of a protocol for delayed cord clamping (DCC) versus immediate cord clamping (ICC) at preterm birth and to examine its effects on initial blood pressure and other outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: A randomized controlled trial recruited 32 infants between 24 and 32 weeks. Immediately before delivery, mothers were randomized to ICC (cord clamped at 5 to 10 seconds) or DCC (30- to 45-second delay in cord clamping) groups. RESULTS: Intention-to-treat analyses revealed that the DCC group were more likely to have higher initial mean blood pressures (adjusted OR 3.4) and less likely to be discharged on oxygen (adjusted OR 8.6). DCC group infants had higher initial glucose levels (ICC=36 mg/dl, DCC=73.1 mg/dl; p=0.02). CONCLUSION: The research design is feasible. The immediate benefit of improved blood pressure was confirmed and other findings deserve consideration for further study.     

CNS 7056: A Novel Ultra-short-acting Benzodiazepine

Background: A new benzodiazepine derivative, CNS 7056, has been developed to permit a superior sedative profile to current agents, i.e., more predictable fast onset, short duration of sedative action, and rapid recovery profile. This goal has been achieved by rendering the compound susceptible to metabolism via esterases. The authors now report on the profile of CNS 7056 in vitro and in vivo.

Methods: The affinity of CNS 7056 and its carboxylic acid metabolite, CNS 7054, for benzodiazepine receptors and their selectivity profiles were evaluated using radioligand binding. The activity of CNS 7056 and midazolam at subtypes ([alpha]1[beta]2[gamma]2, [alpha]2[beta]2[gamma]2, [alpha]3[beta]2[gamma]2, [alpha]5[beta]2[gamma]2) of the [gamma]-aminobutyric acid type A (GABAA) receptor was evaluated using the whole cell patch clamp technique. The activity of CNS 7056 at brain benzodiazepine receptors in vivo was measured in rats using extracellular electrophysiology in the substantia nigra pars reticulata. The sedative profile was measured in rodents using the loss of righting reflex test.

Results: CNS 7056 bound to brain benzodiazepine sites with high affinity. The carboxylic acid metabolite, CNS 7054, showed around 300 times lower affinity. CNS 7056 and CNS 7054 (10 [mu]m) showed no affinity for a range of other receptors. CNS 7056 enhanced GABA currents in cells stably transfected with subtypes of the GABAA receptor. CNS 7056, like midazolam and other classic benzodiazepines, did not show clear selectivity between subtypes of the GABAA receptor. CNS 7056 (intravenous) caused a dose-dependent inhibition of substantia nigra pars reticulata neuronal firing and recovery to baseline firing rates was reached rapidly. CNS 7056 (intravenous) induced loss of the righting reflex in rodents. The duration of loss of righting reflex was short (< 10 min) and was inhibited by pretreatment with flumazenil.     

Cognitive and neuroimaging predictors of instrumental activities of daily living.

Impaired ability to conduct daily activities is a diagnostic criterion for dementia and a determinant of healthcare services utilization and caregiver burden. What predicts decline in instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) is not well understood. This study examined measures of episodic memory, executive function, and MRI brain volumes in relation to baseline IADLs and as predictors of rate of IADL change. Participants were 124 elderly persons with cognitive function between normal and moderate dementia both with and without significant small vessel cerebrovascular disease. Random effects modeling showed that baseline memory and executive function (EXEC) were associated with baseline IADL scores, but only EXEC was independently associated with rate of change in IADLs. Whereas hippocampal and cortical gray matter volumes were significantly associated with baseline IADL scores, only hippocampal volume was associated with IADL change. In a model including cognitive and neuroimaging predictors, only EXEC independently predicted rate of decline in IADL scores. These findings indicate that greater executive dysfunction at initial assessment is associated with more rapid decline in IADLs. Perhaps executive function is particularly important with respect to maintaining IADLs. Alternatively, executive dysfunction may be a sentinel event indicating widespread cortical involvement and poor prognosis.     

Pretransplant survival is shorter in HIV-positive than HIV-negative subjects with end-stage liver disease.

Despite improved survival after liver transplantation (OLTX) in HIV-positive individuals treated with highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), some transplant candidates do not survive to OLTX. To determine if pretransplant outcome is related to severity of liver disease and/or HIV infection, we prospectively evaluated 58 consecutive HIV-positive candidates seen at a single center from 1997-2002. Of the 58, 15 (25.9%) were transplanted, whereas 21 (36.2%) died before OLTX, a median one month of evaluation, with more than half of those (12 of 21, 57.1%) dying from infection. By contrast, of 1,359 HIV-negative candidates, 860 (63.3%) were transplanted, whereas 211 (15.5%) died before OLTX (P < 0.001). The cumulative survival following initial evaluation was significantly shorter among HIV-positive than HIV-negative candidates (880 vs. 1,427 days, P = 0.035, Breslow) but was not related to the initial pretransplant MELD score (16 vs. 15), INR (1.5 vs. 1.5), creatinine (1.3 vs. 1.3 mg/dL), or total bilirubin (6.6 vs. 5.7 mg/dL), respectively, all P > 0.05. Among untransplanted HIV-positive candidates, the 21 who died did not differ from the 22 surviving in initial MELD (15 vs. 13), CD4 (230 vs. 327/microL), HIV load (both < 400 copies/mL), HAART intolerance (10/21, 47.6% vs. 10/22, 45.4%), or HCV infection (16/21, 76.2% vs. 16/22, 72.3%), all P > 0.05. Further, the 21 did not differ from the 15 transplanted in pre-OLTX CD4, HIV load, or MELD score, all P > 0.05. In conclusion, pretransplant survival appears shorter in HIV-positive OLTX candidates and is unrelated to severity of liver or HIV disease. Further study is warranted to determine risk factors for poorer pretransplant outcomes.     

Effects of sex and age on bone microstructure at the ultradistal radius: a population-based noninvasive in vivo assessment.

In a population-based cross-sectional study, we examined effects of sex and age on bone microstructure at the wrist using high-resolution 3-D pQCT. Compared with women, men had thicker trabeculae in young adulthood and had less microstructural damage with aging. These findings may contribute to the virtual immunity of men to age-related increases in wrist fractures. INTRODUCTION: Although changes in bone microstructure contribute to fracture risk independently of BMD, it has not heretofore been possible to assess this noninvasively in population-based studies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used high-resolution 3-D pQCT imaging (voxel size, 89 mum) to define, in a random sample of women (n = 324) and men (n = 278) 21-97 years of age, sex and age effects on bone microstructure at the wrist. RESULTS: Relative to young women (age, 20-29 years), young men had greater trabecular bone volume/tissue volume (BV/TV; by 26%, p = 0.001) and trabecular thickness (TbTh; by 28%, p < 0.001) but similar values for trabecular number (TbN) and trabecular separation (TbSp). Between ages 20 and 90 years, cross-sectional decreases in BV/TV were similar in women (-27%) and in men (-26%), but whereas women had significant decreases in TbN (-13%) and increases in TbSp (+24%), these parameters had little net change over life in men (+7% and -2% for TbN and TbSp, respectively; p < 0.001 versus women). However, TbTh decreased to a greater extent in men (-24%) than in women (-18%; p = 0.010 versus men). CONCLUSIONS: Whereas decreases with age in trabecular BV/TV are similar in men and women, the structural basis for the decrease in trabecular volume is quite different between the sexes. Thus, over life, women undergo loss of trabeculae with an increase in TbSp, whereas men begin young adult life with thicker trabeculae and primarily sustain trabecular thinning with no net change in TbN or TbSp. Because decreases in TbN have been shown to have a much greater impact on bone strength compared with decreases in TbTh, these findings may help explain the lower life-long risk of fractures in men, and specifically, their virtual immunity to age-related increases in distal forearm fractures.     

The role of computer tuition in community health: A grounded theory approach

This study describes the impact computer training has on the health outcomes of older adults at a community center and its implications for influencing computer training practices. Our objective is to understand and link this group's self-reports of their health arising from attending lessons to improve the content and delivery of computer tuition.