Weekly Nowcasting of New COVID-19 Cases Using Past Viral Load Measurements

The rapid spread of the coronavirus disease COVID-19 has imposed clinical and financial burdens on hospitals and governments attempting to provide patients with medical care and implement disease-controlling policies. The transmissibility of the disease was shown to be correlated with the patient’s viral load, which can be measured during testing using the cycle threshold (Ct). Previous models have utilized Ct to forecast the trajectory of the spread, which can provide valuable information to better allocate resources and change policies. However, these models combined other variables specific to medical institutions or came in the form of compartmental models that rely on epidemiological assumptions, all of which could impose prediction uncertainties. In this study, we overcome these limitations using data-driven modeling that utilizes Ct and previous number of cases, two institution-independent variables. We collected three groups of patients (n = 6296, n = 3228, and n = 12,096) from different time periods to train, validate, and independently validate the models. We used three machine learning algorithms and three deep learning algorithms that can model the temporal dynamic behavior of the number of cases. The endpoint was 7-week forward number of cases, and the prediction was evaluated using mean square error (MSE). The sequence-to-sequence model showed the best prediction during validation (MSE = 0.025), while polynomial regression (OLS) and support vector machine regression (SVR) had better performance during independent validation (MSE = 0.1596, and MSE = 0.16754, respectively), which exhibited better generalizability of the latter. The OLS and SVR models were used on a dataset from an external institution and showed promise in predicting COVID-19 incidences across institutions. These models may support clinical and logistic decision-making after prospective validation.     

Evaluation of the effect of extra-amniotic normal saline infusion alone or in combination with dexamethasone for the induction of labor

AIM: To compare the effect of extra-amniotic normal saline solution infusion on its own, and in combination with dexamethasone on the ripening of the cervix and induction of labor. METHODS: A double-blind randomized clinical trial study was performed at Akbar Abadi Teaching Hospital in Tehran, Iran, between March 2002 and March 2003 on 84 pregnant women at a gestational age of 40 weeks or more, and with a Bishop score 相似文献   

Can Finite Element Method Obtain SVET Current Densities Closer to True Localized Corrosion Rates?

In this paper, the finite element method was used to simulate the response of the scanning vibrating electrode technique (SVET) across an iron–zinc cut-edge sample in order to provide a deeper understanding of the localized corrosion rates measured using SVET. It was found that, if the diffusion layer was neglected, the simulated current density using the Laplace equation fitted the experimental SVET current density perfectly. However, the electrolyte was not perturbed by a vibrating SVET probe in the field, so a diffusion layer existed. Therefore, the SVET current densities obtained from the local conductivity of the electrolyte would likely be more representative of the true corrosion rates than the SVET current densities obtained from the bulk conductivity. To help overcome this difference between natural conditions and those imposed by the SVET experiment, a local electrolyte corrected conductivity SVET (LECC-SVET) current density was introduced, which was obtained by replacing the bulk electrolyte conductivity measured experimentally by the local electrolyte conductivity simulated using the Nernst−Einstein equation. Although the LECC-SVET current density did not fit the experimental SVET current density as perfectly as that obtained from the Laplace equation, it likely represents current densities closer to the true, unperturbed corrosion conditions than the SVET data from the bulk conductivity.     

Revolutionary Impact of Nanodrug Delivery on Neuroscience

Brain research is the most expanding interdisciplinary research that is using the state of the art techniques to overcome limitations in order to conduct more accurate and effective experiments. Drug delivery to the target site in the central nervous system (CNS) is one of the most difficult steps in neuroscience researches and therapies. Taking advantage of the nanoscale structure of neural cells (both neurons and glia); nanodrug delivery (second generation of biotechnological products) has a potential revolutionary impact into the basic understanding, visualization and therapeutic applications of neuroscience. Current review article firstly provides an overview of preparation and characterization, purification and separation, loading and delivering of nanodrugs. Different types of nanoparticle bioproducts and a number of methods for their fabrication and delivery systems including (carbon) nanotubes are explained. In the second part, neuroscience and nervous system drugs are deeply investigated. Different mechanisms in which nanoparticles enhance the uptake and clearance of molecules form cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) are discussed. The focus is on nanodrugs that are being used or have potential to improve neural researches, diagnosis and therapy of neurodegenerative disorders.     

Effect of Lavender cream with or without footbath on sleep quality and fatigue in pregnancy and postpartum: a randomized controlled trial

Sleep disturbance and fatigue are frequent complaints during pregnancy and postpartum. We assessed the effectiveness of Lavender cream and footbath on sleep quality and fatigue in pregnancy and postpartum. In this trial, 141 women with sleep disturbance at 25–28 weeks gestation were recruited from public health centers in Tabriz, Iran, from May 2013 until January 2014 and randomized into one of three groups receiving: Lavender and footbath, Lavender alone, or placebo cream. Sleep quality was assessed using the Pittsburgh sleep quality index at the 4th and 8th weeks after intervention and the 6th week postpartum. Fatigue was assessed with the multidimensional assessment of fatigue scale at the 6th week after intervention and the 6th week postpartum. Repeated measures ANOVA and ANCOVA were used. Compared with the placebo group, the global sleep quality score post-intervention in pregnancy and the postpartum were significantly lower in the Lavender and footbath and the Lavender cream only groups. Fatigue in both intervention groups was significantly improved only at the 6th week postpartum. No statistically significant differences were observed between the two intervention groups. Lavender cream with or without footbath may improve sleep quality in pregnancy and postpartum.     

Dietary supplement use among Iranian adults: a study in northern Iran

This study aimed to investigate dietary supplement use among Iranian adults in northern Iran. A cross-sectional study was undertaken on randomly selected men and women in Guilan province, northern Iran. The study population was parents of children and adolescents studying in schools. Totally, 1,425 women and 676 men were studied and data on age, body weight, height, educational level, and supplement use was gathered using a self-administrated questionnaire. These data showed that supplement use was related to sex, body mass index, and educational levels in both sexes. Most common supplements used in this population were Iron, calcium, multivitamin/multiminerals and fish oils. These results showed that 13.3, 3.4, 2.2, and 1.1 % of the study men used iron, calcium, multivitamin/multimineral, and fish oil, respectively. In women, 27.1, 10.7, 5.1, and 5.5 % used Iron, calcium, multivitamin/multimineral, and fish oil, respectively. More educated men and women and those with more healthy weight were more likely to use any dietary supplement than the less educated and overweight/obese men and women. This study showed that iron was the most common dietary supplement in this study middle aged Iranians. Using the other supplements was mostly related to age, educational level, and body weight status in this population. These data indicated that dietary supplement use was inversely related to some health-related behaviors and socioeconomic factors.     

Catheter direct thrombolysis: Role of actilyse in treatment of acute deep venous thrombosis

Purpose

To evaluate the short and long term efficiency of catheter directed thrombolysis using recombinant tissue type plasminogin activator (r-TPA; Actilyse), in treating acute deep venous thrombosis of the lower limb.

Material and methods

Twenty-eight patients with acute lower limb deep venous thrombosis underwent treatment by direct intra clot injection of thrombolytic therapy; Actilyse.

Result

Thrombus lysis was completed in 23 (82.2%) of 28 patients, partial in 4 (14.3%) patients and not achieved in one (3.5%) patient. There was no major complication. There was no rethrombosis or post thrombotic syndrome in any of the treated 23 patients over the follow up period of one year.

Conclusion

The treatment of acute lower limb deep venous thrombosis using recombinant tissue type plasminogin activator (r-TPA; Actilyse), is safe, effective and achieves significantly better short and long term clinical outcome for patients.     

A critical review of modern and emerging absorbent dressings used to treat exuding wounds

Wound management has progressed significantly over the last five decades. This emanates from a greater understanding of wound healing, technological progression and improved clinical and scientific research. There are currently a plethora of absorbent dressings on the wound care market which claim to have the ability to manage exudates whilst encouraging healing. However, it is becoming clear, from analysing randomised controlled trials, that some of these absorbent dressings are not meeting their expectations when applied in a clinical setting. Many clinicians now feel that there should be more focus, not only on a dressing's ability to manage exudate efficiently, but on a dressing's ability to proactively encourage healing and thus exudate reduction will ensue. This paper proposes to critically review modern and emerging absorbent wound care dressings used to manage exuding wounds and discuses some advances in this area.