Surge Capacity Associated with Restrictions on Nonurgent Hospital Utilization and Expected Admissions during an Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the Toronto Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Outbreak

Background Current influenza pandemic models predict a surge in influenza‐related hospitalizations in affected jurisdictions. One proposed strategy to increase hospital surge capacity is to restrict elective hospitalizations, yet the degree to which this measure would meet the anticipated is unknown. Objectives To compare the reduction in hospitalizations resulting from widespread nonurgent hospital admission restrictions during the Toronto severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak with the expected increase in admissions resulting from an influenza pandemic in Toronto. Methods The authors compared the expected influenza‐related hospitalizations in the first eight weeks of a mild, moderate, or severe pandemic with the actual reduction in the number of hospital admissions in Toronto, Ontario, during the first eight weeks of the SARS‐related restrictions. Results Influenza modeling for Toronto predicts that there will be 4,819, 8,032, or 11,245 influenza‐related admissions in the first eight weeks of a mild, moderate, or severe pandemic, respectively. In the first eight weeks of SARS‐related hospital admission restrictions, there were 3,654 fewer hospitalizations than expected in Toronto, representing a modest 12% decrease in the overall admission rate (a reduction of 1.40 admissions per 1,000 population). Therefore, influenza‐related admissions could exceed the reduction in admissions resulting from restricted hospital utilization by 1,165 to 7,591 patient admissions, depending on pandemic severity, which corresponds to an excess of 0.44 to 2.91 influenza‐related admissions per 1,000 population per eight weeks, and an increase of 4% to 25% in the overall number of admissions, when compared with nonpandemic conditions. Conclusions Pandemic modeling for Toronto suggests that influenza‐related admissions would exceed the reduction in hospitalizations seen during SARS‐related nonurgent hospital admission restrictions, even in a mild pandemic. Sufficient surge capacity in a pandemic will likely require the implementation of other measures, including possibly stricter implementation of hospital utilization restrictions.     

Safety assessment of high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) as an ingredient added to cigarette tobacco

A tiered testing strategy has been developed to evaluate the potential for new ingredients, tobacco processes, and technological developments to alter the biological activity that results from burning tobacco. A series of studies was initially conducted with cigarettes containing 3% high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) as an alternate tobacco casing material to corn syrup/invert sugar, including determination of selected mainstream cigarette smoke (MS) constituent yields, Ames assay, sister chromatid exchange (SCE) assay in Chinese hamster ovary (CHO) cells, a 30-week dermal tumor-promotion evaluation of cigarette smoke condensate (CSC) in SENCAR mice, and a 13-week subchronic inhalation study of MS in Sprague-Dawley rats. A second series of studies was conducted with cigarettes containing 3%, 4% and 5% HFCS including MS chemistry, Ames assay, SCE assay in CHO cells, and a neutral red cytotoxicity assays. Collectively, mainstream smoke chemistry, genotoxicity, dermal tumor-promotion, and inhalation toxicity studies demonstrated no differences between cigarettes with 3% HFCS and cigarettes with 3% corn syrup/invert sugar. Also, mainstream smoke chemistry and genotoxicity of cigarettes with 4% and 5% HFCS were not different from cigarettes with 3% HFCS. In conclusion, the addition of up to 5% HFCS to cigarette does not alter the mainstream smoke chemistry or biological activity of mainstream smoke or mainstream smoke condensate as compared to cigarettes with 3% corn syrup/invert sugar with regard to the parameters investigated and presented.     

Anin vitro electrophysiological study of the colon from patients with idiopathic chronic constipation

Preparations of the circular muscle layer from the sigmoid colon resected from patients with idiopathic chronic constipation were compared, at an electrophysiological level using the sucrose-gap technique, with preparations of the same region of the intestine resected from patients with rectal carcinoma. Non-adrenergic, non-cholinergic inhibitory neuromuscular transmission, represented by inhibitory junction potentials, was present in preparations from both groups. However, the inhibitory response in preparations from constipated patients had a slower or longer time-course than in those from cancer patients. Also, rebound activity following inhibitory transmission was observed in 34% of preparations from constipated patients but was observed in 67% of preparations from cancer patients. Preparations from both groups displayed the same patterns of spontaneous activity and the same proportion of each group was quiescent. The threshold for generation of action potentials and the passive resistance of the smooth muscle membrane were the same in both groups. However, quiescent preparations from constipated patients were less likely to discharge trains of action potentials when the smooth muscle membrane was depolarized than were preparations from cancer patients. These changes in transmission processes and excitability in tissue from constipated patients are discussed in relation to altered states of colonic motility found in people with idiopathic chronic constipation.     

Charge and size selectivity of proteinuria in children with idiopathic nephrotic syndrome

 Experimental studies have pointed to charge selectivity as an important determinant of glomerular permeability to macromolecules. Loss of glomerular basement membrane (GBM) polyanion has been proposed as a cause of the selective proteinuria in minimal change nephrotic syndrome (MCNS). However, the presence of less-anionic albumin in urine than plasma from MCNS and focal and segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) patients has been interpreted both as evidence for partial maintenance of charge selectivity and for involvement of other pathogenic mechanisms. The exact role of charge selectivity in the pathogenesis of nephrotic proteinuria remains controversial. We have examined the clearance of endogenous proteins of differing size and charge in children with idiopathic nephrotic syndrome (NS). Chromatofocusing was used to determine the isoelectric points (pIs) of albumins in paired plasma and urine samples from patients with FSGS (n = 6) and MCNS (n = 6). Charge selectivity was assessed by comparing the pIs of the fractions with the highest albumin concentration (modal pI) in plasma and urine. The difference between the modal pIs was defined as the delta modal pI. Charge selectivity was also assessed from the albumin/transferrin and IgG4/IgG1 clearance ratios; size selectivity from the IgG1/albumin and IgG1/transferrin as well as the IgG4/albumin and IgG4/transferrin clearances. In children with FSGS, the mean (± SD) delta modal pI was  – 0.05 ± 0.16, and in MCNS  – 0.05 ± 0.11. Neither value differed significantly from zero. The albumin/transferrin clearance ratio showed no significant difference between FSGS and MCNS, but the IgG4/IgG1 clearance ratio was significantly higher in MCNS (P<0.05). Size selectivity was significantly reduced in FSGS compared with MCNS (for IgG1/transferrin P<0.01 and for IgG1/albumin P<0.05). For IgG4/transferrin and IgG4/albumin, P was <0.05. In conclusion, there was no evidence for residual charge selectivity in idiopathic NS associated with either MCNS or FSGS during nephrotic-range proteinuria. There was a significant loss of GBM size selectivity in children with FSGS with heavy proteinuria compared with children with MCNS with heavy proteinuria. Received August 7, 1996; received in revised form and accepted December 16, 1996     

Effect of intravenous sedation on the outcome of transvaginal oocyte retrieval: a comparative study of propofol- and methohexital-based techniques

This study retrospectively compares patients who underwent outpatient transvaginal follicle aspiration with either a propofol- or methohexital-based intravenous sedation technique. Data collected from patient charts (n = 212) over a 46-month period were analyzed to determine the effects of each sedation technique on procedure and recovery times, number of retrieved ova, as well as rates of nausea, fertilization, cleavage, pregnancy, and delivery. All patients were included in the study, regardless of age or diagnosis. procedure time was lower in the propofol group (51 t 18 min) than in the methohexital group (61 I 20 min) (p > 0.01). Patients in the methohexital group (139 2 51 min) spent more time in the recovery room than did those in the propofol group (71 ? 34 min) (p > 0.01). The nausea rates were significantly lower in the propofol group compared with the methohexital group (1.9% vs. 14.4%, respectively) (p > 0.02). Fertilization rate in the propofol group was 77.7% and was 62.9% in the methohexital group (p > 0.01). The numbers of retrieved ova and the cleavage rates were similar in both groups. The rate of pregnancy in patients sedated with propofol (46.1%) was higher than the methohexital group (26.9%) (p > 0.02). Delivery rate was 38.5% in the propofol group and 20.6% in the methohexital group (p > 0.02). In summary, propofol intravenous sedation for transvaginal follicle aspiration was associ- ated with an improved outcome. Pregnancy and delivery rates were higher while nausea, an unpleasant side effect, was sharply reduced.     

A multicenter clinical trial of gadolite oral suspension as a contrast agent for MRI

The purpose of this study was to assess the effectiveness and safety of Gadolite Oral Suspension as a gastrointestinal (GI) contrast agent for MRI in a phase II and two phase III multicenter clinical trials. Gadolite was administered to 306 patients with known or suspected abdominal and/or pelvic disease. MRI with T1- and T2-weighted sequences was performed before and after ingestion. Efficacy was evaluated by having two masked readers rate the certainty of their MR diagnosis (0 = uncertain, 1 = probable, 2 = definite) on randomly presented pre- and post-Gadolite Oral Suspension enhanced images. Principal investigators also evaluated the images and established the final diagnosis. Vital signs, clinical chemistries, and adverse events were documented. Blood and urine samples were analyzed for gadolinium content to determine whether Gadolite Oral Suspension was absorbed systemically. Certainty in MR diagnosis increased significantly (P < .001) for both blinded readers between pre- and post-Gadolite images (.49–1.18 for reader 1; .46–1.53 for reader 2). Sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy also increased for both masked readers. No gadolinium was detected in blood or urine samples. There were no serious adverse events and no apparent drug-related trends in mean vital signs or laboratory values. Gadolite is a highly effective, safe, and well tolerated contrast agent for clinical use with MRI.     

Amphetamine affects the extinction of self-stimulation differently in prefrontal cortex and posterior hypothalamus of rats

The effects of amphetamine on the extinction of intracranial self-stimulation (ICSS) and on postextinction ICSS performance were examined in rats implanted with electrodes either in medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC) or in the posterior hypothalamus-ventral tegmental area (PH-VTA). Lever-pressing for ICSS was allowed to stabilize in daily 15-minute sessions before each animal was exposed to 5 minutes of extinction (responding without reward). Animals were administered either 0.25 mg/kg d-amphetamine or saline before baseline, extinction and postextinction sessions. After amphetamine treatment, the number of lever presses during extinction was higher in mPFC animals and lower in PH-VTA animals compared with saline-treated controls. Rates did not change immediately after extinction but, one day later, rates had increased in all saline-treated animals (both PH-VTA and mPFC animals) and had decreased in all amphetamine-treated animals. These findings demonstrated that the effects of amphetamine on the extinction of ICSS were different in cortical and hypothalamic sites, possibly because of regional differences in stimulus-evoked reinforcement and inhibitory processes.