Cost-effectiveness of screening smokers and ex-smokers for lung cancer in the Netherlands in different age groups

Objective

We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of screening smokers and ex-smokers for lung cancer in the Netherlands.

Methods

A Markov model was used to evaluate the health effects and costs of lung cancer screening from the healthcare perspective. The effects and costs of ten screening scenarios with different start and stop ages of screening were examined across a lifetime horizon in a cohort of 100,000 smokers and ex- smokers 50 years and older.

Results

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of screening smokers and ex-smokers aged 50–60 years, 50–70 years, and 50 years and older are below the cost-effectiveness threshold of € 20,000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Screening 50–60-year-old smokers and ex-smokers was the most cost-effective scenario with an ICER of € 14,094 per QALY gained. However, screening smokers and ex-smokers 50 years and older yielded the highest QALYs and resulted in an ICER of € 16,594 per QALY, which is below the threshold of € 20,000 per QALY. All screening scenarios compared to no screening resulted in CERs between the € 14,000 and € 16,000 per QALY gained. The efficiency frontier showed that screening smokers and ex-smokers in the age groups 70 years and older, 60–70 years, 60 years and older are excluded by extended dominance by no screening, screening smokers and ex-smokers aged 50–60 years and 50–70 years.

Conclusion

This study showed that lung cancer screening is cost-effective in the Netherlands.

     

Safe Upper Limits of Serum Cobalt and Chromium Levels for a Metal-on-Metal Total Hip Bearing: A 10-Year Follow-Up Study

BackgroundLong-term survival of metal-on-metal (MoM) prostheses and the development of adverse reaction to metal debris (ARMD) around these bearings are still unclear. Serum levels of cobalt (Co) and chromium (Cr) are used as a screening tool to anticipate failure in MoM bearings and detect ARMD.MethodsOne hundred sixty primary large head MoM prostheses were followed up for 10 years. To estimate the revision risk, the cumulative incidence function (CIF) was used. Subdistribution hazard modeling was used to investigate the associations between cumulative incidence of revision for ARMD and Co levels, Cr levels, gender, age, head size, and cup inclination. Furthermore, the safe upper limits (SULs) for Co and Cr were determined.ResultsUnivariate analyses showed an increased risk in revision for ARMD in females (subdistribution hazard ratio [sdHR] 3.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-11.7, P = .049) and cup inclination angles over 45° (sdHR 4.70, 95% CI 1.63-13.58, P = .004). In addition, a higher last measured Co level (sdHR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.07, P < .001) and last measured Cr level (sdHR 1.21, 95% CI 1.14-1.29, P < .001) were associated with a higher probability of revision for ARMD. We determined our bearing-specific SULs at 4.1 parts per billion (ppb) and 4.2 ppb for Co and Cr, respectively.ConclusionGuidelines regarding follow-up and surveillance should include a complete clinical assessment with bearing-specific SULs of serum metal ion levels. For the M2a-Magnum MoM bearing we advise an SUL for Co and Cr levels of 4.1 and 4.2 ppb, respectively.     

A Validated Risk Prediction Model for Bone Fragility in Children With Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia

Although bone fragility may already be present at diagnosis of pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), routine performance of dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in every child is not universally feasible. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a risk prediction model for low lumbar spine bone mineral density (LS BMD Z-score ≤ −2.0) at diagnosis, as an important indicator for fracture risk and further treatment-related BMD aggravation. Children with ALL (4–18 years), treated according to the Dutch Childhood Oncology Group protocol (DCOG-ALL9; model development; n = 249) and children from the Canadian Steroid-Associated Osteoporosis in the Pediatric Population cohort (STOPP; validation; n = 99) were included in this study. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to develop the prediction model and to confirm the association of low LS BMD at diagnosis with symptomatic fractures during and shortly after cessation of ALL treatment. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess model performance. The prediction model for low LS BMD at diagnosis using weight (β = −0.70) and age (β = −0.10) at diagnosis revealed an AUC of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.63–0.78) in DCOG-ALL9 and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.63–0.84) in STOPP, and resulted in correct identification of 71% of the patients with low LS BMD. We confirmed that low LS BMD at diagnosis is associated with LS BMD at treatment cessation (OR 5.9; 95% CI, 3.2–10.9) and with symptomatic fractures (OR 1.7; 95% CI, 1.3–2.4) that occurred between diagnosis and 12 months following treatment cessation. In meta-analysis, LS BMD at diagnosis (OR 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1–2.4) and the 6-month cumulative glucocorticoid dose (OR 1.9; 95% CI, 1.1–3.2) were associated with fractures that occurred in the first year of treatment. In summary, a prediction model for identifying pediatric ALL patients with low LS BMD at diagnosis, as an important indicator for bone fragility, was successfully developed and validated. This can facilitate identification of future bone fragility in individual pediatric ALL patients. © 2021 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).     

ABO-incompatible kidney transplantation in perspective of deceased donor transplantation and induction strategies: a propensity-matched analysis

Kidney transplant candidates are blood group incompatible with roughly one out of three potential living donors. We compared outcomes after ABO-incompatible (ABOi) kidney transplantation with matched ABO-compatible (ABOc) living and deceased donor transplantation and analyzed different induction regimens. We performed a retrospective study with propensity matching and compared patient and death-censored graft survival after ABOi versus ABOc living donor and deceased donor kidney transplantation in a nationwide registry from 2006 till 2019. 296 ABOi were compared with 1184 center and propensity-matched ABOc living donor and 1184 deceased donor recipients (matching: recipient age, sex, blood group, and PRA). Patient survival was better compared with deceased donor [hazard ratio (HR) for death of HR 0.69 (0.49–0.96)] and non-significantly different from ABOc living donor recipients [HR 1.28 (0.90–1.81)]. Rate of graft failure was higher compared with ABOc living donor transplantation [HR 2.63 (1.72–4.01)]. Rejection occurred in 47% of 140 rituximab versus 22% of 50 rituximab/basiliximab, and 4% of 92 alemtuzumab-treated recipients (P < 0.001). ABOi kidney transplantation is superior to deceased donor transplantation. Rejection rate and graft failure are higher compared with matched ABOc living donor transplantation, underscoring the need for further studies into risk stratification and induction therapy [NTR7587, www.trialregister.nl ].     

Adherence to event‐driven HIV PrEP among men who have sex with men in Amsterdam,the Netherlands: analysis based on online diary data, 3‐monthly questionnaires and intracellular TFV‐DP

IntroductionEvent‐driven pre‐exposure prophylaxis (edPrEP) with oral tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)/emtricitabine (FTC) is highly effective for preventing HIV acquisition in men who have sex with men (MSM) and is preferred over daily PrEP by some MSM. However, it is largely unknown how well MSM adhere to edPrEP. We then aimed to assess PrEP protection during CAS among MSM using edPrEP and participating in the Amsterdam PrEP demonstration project (AMPrEP).MethodsWe analysed data from participants enrolled in AMPrEP who were taking edPrEP. We measured adherence through (1) a mobile application in which sexual behaviour and PrEP‐use were recorded daily, (2) three‐monthly self‐completed questionnaires and (3) dried blood spot (DBS) samples collected around six, twelve and twenty‐four months after PrEP initiation. We assessed the proportion of days with condomless anal sex (CAS) acts that were protected by PrEP, per partner type (i.e. steady partners, known casual partners, unknown casual partners), and the proportion of three‐month periods during which PrEP was correctly used. Intracellular TFV‐diphosphate (TFV‐DP) concentrations were determined from DBS. Good adherence was defined as at least one tablet before and one tablet within 48 hours after a CAS act.ResultsBetween 11 September 2015 and 6 October 2019, 182 of 376 MSM (48.4%) used edPrEP for at least one three‐month period. Of the 8224 CAS days that were reported in the app during edPrEP‐use, we observed good protection for most CAS days involving steady partners (n = 1625/2455, 66.9%), known casual partners (n = 3216/3472, 92.6%) and unknown casual partners (n = 2074/2297, 90.3%). Men reported consistently correct PrEP‐use in 851 (81.4%) of the 1046 three‐month periods of edPrEP‐use. The median TFV‐DP concentration was 591 fmol/sample (interquartile range = 270 to 896).ConclusionsAdherence to edPrEP was high as determined from the online app and questionnaire. DBS measurements were consistent with two to three tablets per week on average.     

Prognostic relevance of mutations and copy number alterations assessed with targeted next generation sequencing in IDH mutant grade II glioma

Prognosis of recurrent glioblastoma (GBM) is poor with 6-month progression-free survival (PFS6) ranging from 9 to 48% depending on the treatment regimen and use of anti-angiogenic therapies. We sought to study vorinostat (VOR), a histone deacetylase inhibitor, in combination with bevacizumab (BEV) and daily metronomic temozolomide (TMZ) in a Phase I/II trial in recurrent high-grade gliomas (HGGs). This was a Phase I/II open-label, single-arm study in recurrent HGG patients. Phase I primary endpoint was to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of VOR with BEV and daily TMZ. Phase II primary endpoint was PFS6. Regimen was BEV 10 mg/kg iv every 2 weeks, TMZ 50 mg/m² po daily, and VOR 200 or 400 mg po alternating 7 days on then 7 days off throughout a 28-day cycle. Phase I portion enrolled nine subjects with three receiving VOR 200 mg and 6 receiving VOR 400 mg. With no dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs) at 200 mg and one DLT (thrombocytopenia, Grade 3) at 400 mg, the MTD was 400 mg. Phase II portion enrolled 39 GBM subjects, and PFS6 was 53.8% (95% CI 37.2–67.9%). Of note, 14 subjects had received prior BEV and all had received prior 5-day TMZ. Combination therapy with VOR, BEV, and daily TMZ was well tolerated and safe. While PFS6 was not statistically improved beyond historical controls, it is important to note that this was a heavily pretreated GBM population and further consideration is warranted in a less pretreated group.