Robustness of case-control studies of genetic factors to population stratification: magnitude of bias and type I error.

Case-control studies of genetic factors are prone to a special form of confounding called population stratification, whenever the existence of one or more subpopulations may lead to a false association, be it positive or negative. We quantify both the bias (in terms of confounding risk ratio) and the probability of false association (type I error) in the most unfavorable situation in which only one high-risk subpopulation is hidden within the studied population, considering different scenarios of population structuring and varying sample sizes. In accord with previous work, we find that the bias is likely to be small in most cases. In addition, we show that the same applies to the associated type I error whenever the subpopulation is small in proportion. For instance, when the hidden subpopulation makes up 5% of the entire population, with an allelic frequency of 0.25 (versus 0.10) and a disease rate that is double, then the estimated bias is 1.07 and the type I error associated with a sample of 500 cases and 500 controls is 8% (instead of 5%). We also show that the type I error is substantially greater for a rare allele (frequency of 0.1) than for a common allele (frequency of 0.5) and analyze the pattern of increase of vulnerability to stratification bias with sample size. Based on our findings, we may therefore conclude that with moderate sample sizes the type I error associated with population stratification remains very limited in most realistic scenarios.     

Identification of High-Risk Groups among Node-Positive Patients with Stage IB and IIA Cervical Carcinoma

The purpose of the present study was to identify a subset of high-risk patients among surgically treated node-positive patients with stage IB and IIA cervical carcinoma. From 1982 through 1991, 334 patients underwent radical hysterectomy for FIGO stage IB and IIA cervical carcinoma. In 68 patients pathological analysis of the surgical specimen revealed positive pelvic nodes. In this group, a Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to examine the prognostic significance of clinicopathological variables. Only for adenocarcinoma (P= 0.002) and parametrium infiltration (P= 0.003) was evidence of an association with prognosis found. Based on these two factors, patients with positive pelvic nodes were categorized into a low-risk group (squamous cell carcinoma without parametrium infiltration,N= 33) and a high-risk group (squamous cell carcinoma with parametrium infiltration or adenocarcinoma,N= 34). The 5-year disease-specific survival in the low-risk group was 94% compared with 60% in the high-risk group (P= 0.003). For patients in the high-risk group, there is an urgent need for alternative adjuvant treatment to improve outcome.     

HPV circulating tumor DNA to monitor the efficacy of anti‐PD‐1 therapy in metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal: A case report

Squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal (SCCA) is a rare HPV‐associated cancer with limited sensitivity to standard chemotherapy. In a phase 2 study, nivolumab, an anti PD‐1 immune checkpoint inhibitor, demonstrated significant efficacy as single‐agent therapy in metastatic SCCA patients. Nevertheless, imaging assessment by standard RECIST criteria of the efficacy of immune therapy can be difficult in some patients due to tumor immune cell infiltration, and biomarkers of treatment efficacy are needed. We have previously developed a quantitative droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) technique to detect HPV circulating tumor DNA (HPV ctDNA), with excellent sensitivity and specificity. Here, we report, for the first time, the kinetics of HPV ctDNA during therapy in a patient with metastatic SCCA, who obtained sustained partial response to single‐agent nivolumab. We observed an early and very significant decrease of HPV ctDNA during therapy from the baseline level of 3713 copies/ml plasma to 564 copies/ml plasma at 4 weeks, and 156 copies/ml at 6 weeks, followed by a plateau. This observation provides proof‐of‐concept that HPV ctDNA can be used as a noninvasive early dynamic biomarker to monitor the efficacy of new immunotherapy agents.     

Travel-Associated Rabies in Pets and Residual Rabies Risk,Western Europe

In 2015, countries in western Europe were declared free of rabies in nonflying mammals. Surveillance data for 2001–2013 indicate that risk for residual rabies is not 0 because of pet importation from countries with enzootic rabies. However, the risk is so low (7.52 × 10⁻¹⁰) that it probably can be considered negligible.     

Impact de l’utilisation de valves bidirectionnelles sur la qualité des séances en hémodialyse chronique

Luer access valves are medical devices used to reduce infectious risks by securing repetitive handling in chronic hemodialysis using central catheter. Their impact on the effectiveness of a hemodialysis session still remains poorly studied. This in vivo study aims to evaluate its effectiveness. Tego^® and Q-Syte^® valves were used in alternation for each patient for four weeks (428 hemodialysis sessions). The two-luer access valves have led to a significant increase in the dysfunction of the hemodialysis sessions (51.8% compared to the usual care (39.3%) (P = 0.012). The analysis by sub-category suggests a heterogeneous behavior of the two devices. The Q-Syte^® valve showed significantly more dysfunction than the Tego^® valve or the absence of valve. However, both valve systems tested can maintain the performance of the hemodialysis session as they don’t change the dose of dialysis. This study highlights that an evaluation of each device must be performed prior to their use to assess the risk-benefit balance.     

Differences between hospitals in attainment of parathyroid hormone treatment targets in chronic kidney disease do not reflect differences in quality of care

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Transparency in quality of care (QoC) is stimulated and hospitals are compared and judged on the basis of indicators of performance on specific treatment targets. In patients with chronic kidney disease, QoC differed significantly between hospitals. In this analysis we explored additional parameters to explain differences between centers in attainment of parathyroid hormone (PTH) treatment targets. METHODS: Using MASTERPLAN baseline data, we selected one of the worst (center A) and one of the best (center B) performing hospitals. Differences between the two centers were analyzed from the year prior to start of the MASTERPLAN study until the baseline evaluation. Determinants of PTH were assessed. RESULTS: 101 patients from center A (median PTH 9.9 pmol/l, in 63 patients exceeding recommended levels) and 100 patients from center B (median PTH 6.5 pmol/l, in 32 patients exceeding recommended levels), were included. Analysis of clinical practice did not reveal differences in PTH management between the centers. Notably, hyperparathyroidism resulted in a change in therapy in less than 25% of patients. In multivariate analysis kidney transplant status, MDRD-4, and treatment center were independent predictors of PTH. However, when MDRD-6 (which accounts for serum urea and albumin) was used instead of MDRD-4, the center effect was reduced. Moreover, after calibration of the serum creatinine assays treatment center no longer influenced PTH. CONCLUSIONS: We show that differences in PTH control between centers are not explained by differences in treatment, but depend on incomparable patient populations and laboratory techniques. Therefore, results of hospital performance comparisons should be interpreted with great caution.