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The aim of this study was to create and measure the predictive validity of a screening instrument that identifies older people who are at risk for developing a need for long-term care within a year. This was an observational study, with participants allocated to either a derivation cohort or a validation cohort, in the United States. A nationally representative sample of older community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries (n = 6,538) participated in the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey. Questions addressed sociodemographic, functional, health-related, and utilization characteristics in 1991 and 1992, linked to records of Medicare payments for health services during 1991-1992. In the derivation cohort, 14 self-reported characteristics were significant predictors of developing a need for long-term care within 1 year. In the validation cohort, these 14 characteristics identified a high-risk subgroup (18%) that, during the following year, developed a need for long-term care at six times the rate of the low-risk majority. This brief survey instrument identifies a high-risk minority of older people that will, during the following year, develop a need for long-term care at six times the rate of the low-risk majority. This instrument may be useful for targeting at-risk subgroups of older populations to receive interventions designed to preserve functional independence and avert the need for long-term care.  相似文献   
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Disseminated tuberculosis usually occurs in immunocompromised hosts. Involvement of bone marrow, liver, and spleen is infrequent. A previously healthy 15-year-old boy presented with body weight loss, prolonged fever, neck lymphadenopathy, pancytopenia, and hepatosplenic microabscesses within the recent month and was transferred to our hospital. Bone marrow studies showed hypocellular marrow. Based on his clinical manifestations, hemophagocytic syndrome was initially suspected. Pancytopenia resolved after administration of intravenous immunoglobulin but caseous necrosis and/or positive acid-fast stain were subsequently demonstrated in the lymph node biopsy and sputum. Cultures from these 2 specimens grew Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Fever continued in a low-grade pattern even under antituberculous therapy with rifampin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide and ethambutol. Five months after admission, fever subsided after splenectomy and liver wedge resection. Microscopic examinations of both the liver and spleen showed mycobacteria-related granulomatous inflammation and caseating necrosis. This report suggests that tuberculosis infection should be considered in the differential diagnosis in patients with prolonged fever, pancytopenia and hepatosplenic abscesses.  相似文献   
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BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: This study was designed to investigate the effects of 6 months of nocturnal nasal positive pressure ventilation (NNPPV) on respiratory muscle function and exercise capacity in patients with chronic respiratory failure. METHODS: A prospective, randomized, controlled design was used. Twenty-nine patients with chronic respiratory failure were enrolled and allocated to either the NNPPV (n = 14) or control group (n = 15). Patients in the NNPPV group received bi-level positive pressure ventilation via nasal mask for 6 consecutive months. Arterial blood gas, respiratory muscle assessment and 6-minute walk test (6MWT) were performed before and after the 6-month NNPPV intervention. Respiratory muscle function was assessed using the variables of maximal inspiratory pressure (Pimax), maximal expiratory pressure (Pemax), and maximum voluntary ventilation (MVV). RESULTS: Subjects in the NNPPV group showed a significant improvement in blood gas exchange and increased 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) compared to baseline and the control group. The 6MWD was significantly increased from 257.1 +/- 114.1 to 345.2 +/- 109.9 m (34.3%) in the NNPPV group. NNPPV also significantly improved MVV and Pimax relative to baseline. MVV was significantly increased from 19.2 +/- 6.5 to 22.3 +/- 7.1 L/min (16.1%) in the NNPPV group (p < 0.05). Furthermore, there was a significant correlation between the magnitude of MVV improvement and 6MWD change. CONCLUSION: The 6-month NNPPV treatment significantly decreased the partial pressure of carbon dioxide and improved daytime respiratory muscle function, thus contributing to exercise-capacity increase in patients with chronic respiratory failure.  相似文献   
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BACKGROUND: High tibial osteotomy (HTO) is a well-established treatment for unicompartmental gonarthrosis of the knee, but its durability and complications remain controversial. We previously introduced a novel dome-shaped HTO, and the long-term follow-up results using this technique are analyzed in this study. METHODS: We treated 25 varus knees in 22 patients with medial gonarthrosis, using a specially designed calibrated cutting jig along with rigid external fixation and early joint motion postoperatively. A total of 16 patients (19 knees) completed the study protocol and were followed up for 13-16 years (mean, 15 years). RESULTS: The surgery attempted to obtain 8 degrees valgus; the actual postoperative alignment averaged 12.4 degrees valgus, which decreased significantly to 7.8 degrees valgus after 5 years. The outcome as assessed by the Hospital for Special Surgery knee score was excellent or good in 18 knees at 5 years postoperatively, and in 13 knees at the final follow-up, showing a significant deterioration with time. Loss of correction with time was not correlated with the postoperative alignment achieved: at 5 years, loss greater than 2 degrees was found in 12 knees, but their mean corrected angle (11.8 degrees valgus) was not significantly different from that of the others (13.3 degrees valgus). Nor was the loss of correction correlated with the knee scores. The mean amount of joint motion after surgery did not change significantly with time: 124 degrees preoperatively and 114 degrees at the final follow-up. The patellar position also did not change from preoperative values during postoperative follow-up: mean Insall-Salvati index was 0.88 before and 0.90 5 years after surgery, neither showing patella baja. CONCLUSION: Dome-shaped HTO is a durable time-buying procedure for patients with unicompartmental medial gonarthrosis, and can avoid subsequent development of patella baja that may complicate further prosthetic arthroplasty.  相似文献   
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Bi-directional interactions between visual areas in the awake behaving cat   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
The study of the cooperativity among cortical areas is essential to our understanding of brain functioning. Here we investigated the relative contributions of top-down and bottom-up directed interactions between area 17 and area 7 of the cat visual system. Bipolar local field potentials were recorded while the animals performed a go/no-go task or were in a quiet resting state. The data were analyzed by applying measures of interaction based on the Wiener-Granger causality concept. We found that during the visual task top-down directed interactions were of a similar magnitude as the bottom-up component. Second, interareal couplings tended to increase in conditions requiring a discriminative effort. Third, during behaviors not dominated by visual processing non-directed interactions increased.  相似文献   
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