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71.

Introduction

Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is an uncommon cancer with a poor prognosis and heterogeneous survival. Surgery for MPM is offered in some specialist centers to highly selected patients. A previously described classification and regression tree (CART) model stratified survival in unselected MPM patients using routinely collected clinical data. This study aimed to examine the performance of this CART model on a highly selected surgical population.

Methods

Data were collected from subjects undergoing cytoreductive surgery for MPM from specialist centers in Hyõgo, Japan, and Sydney, Australia, between 1991 and 2016. The CART model was applied using the combination of clinical variables to stratify subjects into risk groups (1 through 4); survival characteristics were then compared.

Results

Two hundred eighty-nine cases were included (205 from Australia, 84 from Japan). Overall median survival was 34.6 (interquartile range: 17.5–56.1) months; median age was 63.0 (interquartile range: 57.0–67.8) years, and 83.0% (n = 240) were male. There were no clinically meaningful differences between the two cohorts. Survival across the four risk groups was significantly different (p < 0.0001); the model stratified survival well with a Harrell's concordance statistic of 0.62 (95% confidence interval: 0.57–0.66) at 36 months. The group with the longest survival (median, 82.5 months) had: no weight loss, hemoglobin > 153 g/L and serum albumin > 43 g/L at time of referral to the surgical center.

Conclusions

Using routinely available clinical variables, the CART model was able to stratify surgical patients into risk groups with statistically different survival characteristics with fair to good performance. Presence of weight loss, anemia, and low albumin should confer caution when considering surgical therapy for MPM.  相似文献   
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Background MMR proficient (pMMR) colorectal cancer (CRC) is usually unresponsive to immunotherapy. Recent data suggest that ibrutinib may enhance the anti-tumour activity of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. In this study, we evaluated the safety and efficacy of ibrutinib plus pembrolizumab in refractory metastatic CRC.Methods This was a phase 1/2 study in patients with refractory metastatic pMMR CRC. The primary endpoints for phases 1 and 2 were maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and disease control rate, respectively. The secondary endpoints were safety, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).Results A total of 40 patients were enrolled. No dose-limiting toxicity was observed, and MTD was not identified. The highest tested dose of ibrutinib, 560 mg once daily, was combined with a fixed dose of pembrolizumab 200 mg every 3 weeks for the phase 2 portion. The most common grade 3/4 treatment-related adverse events were anaemia (21%), fatigue (8%) and elevated alkaline phosphatase (8%). Among 31 evaluable patients, 8 (26%) achieved stable disease, and no objective response was observed. The median PFS and OS were 1.4 and 6.6 months, respectively.Conclusion Ibrutinib 560 mg daily plus pembrolizumab 200 mg every 3 weeks appears to be well tolerated with limited anti-cancer activity in metastatic CRC.ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT03332498.Subject terms: Cancer immunotherapy, Colorectal cancer  相似文献   
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The East Siberian Arctic Shelf holds large amounts of inundated carbon and methane (CH4). Holocene warming by overlying seawater, recently fortified by anthropogenic warming, has caused thawing of the underlying subsea permafrost. Despite extensive observations of elevated seawater CH4 in the past decades, relative contributions from different subsea compartments such as early diagenesis, subsea permafrost, methane hydrates, and underlying thermogenic/ free gas to these methane releases remain elusive. Dissolved methane concentrations observed in the Laptev Sea ranged from 3 to 1,500 nM (median 151 nM; oversaturation by ∼3,800%). Methane stable isotopic composition showed strong vertical and horizontal gradients with source signatures for two seepage areas of δ13C-CH4 = (−42.6 ± 0.5)/(−55.0 ± 0.5) ‰ and δD-CH4 = (−136.8 ± 8.0)/(−158.1 ± 5.5) ‰, suggesting a thermogenic/natural gas source. Increasingly enriched δ13C-CH4 and δD-CH4 at distance from the seeps indicated methane oxidation. The Δ14C-CH4 signal was strongly depleted (i.e., old) near the seeps (−993 ± 19/−1050 ± 89‰). Hence, all three isotope systems are consistent with methane release from an old, deep, and likely thermogenic pool to the outer Laptev Sea. This knowledge of what subsea sources are contributing to the observed methane release is a prerequisite to predictions on how these emissions will increase over coming decades and centuries.

The East Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS) is the world’s largest and shallowest shelf sea system, formed through inundation of northeast Siberia during sea level transgression in the early Holocene. The ESAS holds substantial but poorly constrained amounts of organic carbon and methane (CH4). These carbon/methane stores are contained in unknown partitions as gas hydrates, unfrozen sediment, subsea permafrost, gas pockets within and below the subsea permafrost, and as underlying thermogenic gas (13). Methane release to the atmosphere from these compartments could potentially have significant effects on the global climate (4, 5), yet there are large uncertainties regarding the size and the vulnerability toward remobilization of these inaccessible and elusive subsea carbon/methane pools. Conceptual development and modeling have predicted that warming of the ESAS system by a combination of geothermal heat and climate-driven Holocene heat flux from overlying seawater, recently further enhanced by Anthropocene warming, may lead to thawing of subsea permafrost (6, 7). Subsea permafrost drilling in the Laptev Sea, in part at the same sites as 30 y ago, has recently confirmed that the subsea permafrost has indeed come near the point of thawing (8). In addition to mobilization of the carbon/methane stored within the subsea permafrost, its degradation can also lead to the formation of pathways for gaseous methane from underlying reservoirs, allowing further methane release to the overlying water column (3, 9).Near-annual ship-based expeditions to the ESAS over the past two decades have documented widespread seep locations with extensive methane releases to the water column (3, 10). Methane levels are often found to be 10 to 100 times higher than the atmospheric equilibrium and are particularly elevated in areas of strong ebullition from subsea gas seeps (“methane hotspots”). Similarly, elevated dissolved methane concentrations in bottom waters appear to be spatially related to the thermal state of subsea permafrost as deduced from modeling results and/or geophysical surveys (7, 9). Currently, we lack critical knowledge on the quantitative or even relative contributions of the different subsea pools to the observed methane release, a prerequisite for robust predictions on how these releases will develop. An important distinction needs to be made between pools that release methane gradually, such as methane produced microbially in shallow sediments during early diagenesis or in thawing subsea permafrost, versus pools with preformed methane that may release more abruptly once pathways are available, such as from disintegrating methane hydrates and pools of thermogenic (natural) gas below the subsea permafrost. Multidimensional isotope analysis offers a useful means to disentangle the relative importance of these different subsea sources of methane to the ESAS: Stable isotope data (δ13C-CH4 and δD-CH4) provide useful information on methane formation and removal pathways, and the radiocarbon content of methane (Δ14C-CH4) helps to determine the age and methane source reservoir (see SI Appendix, text S1 for details on these isotope systematics and typical isotopic signatures for the ESAS subsea system).Here, we present triple-isotope–based source apportionment of methane conducted as part of the Swedish–Russian–US investigation of carbon–climate–cryosphere interactions in the East Siberian Arctic Ocean (SWERUS-C3) program. To this end, the distribution of dissolved methane, its stable carbon and hydrogen isotope composition, as well as natural radiocarbon abundance signature, were investigated with a focus on the isotopic fingerprint of methane escaping the seabed to pinpoint the subsea sources of elevated methane in the outer Laptev Sea.  相似文献   
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