Power calculation for cohort studies with improved estimation of expected numbers of deaths

Summary This paper focuses on improving the accuracy of sample size calculations for cohort studies by careful calculation of the expected number of deaths in the population, taking into account either prior information or realistic assumptions about variables which may affect the mortality or incidence. Sometimes small changes in the assumptions can dramatically alter the expected numbers and may necessitate modifications in the design of the study. Possible modification include extension of the follow-up time, and recognition that the real strength of the study may lie in the potential for pooling several similar studies. The problem will be discussed with reference to two examples of occupational cohort studies where differing prior information was available.

---

Zusammenfassung Diese Arbeit beschäftigt sich mit der Genauigkeit der Berechnung des Stichprobenumfangs in Kohortenstudien, wenn detaillierte Berechnungen für die erwartete Zahl der Verstorbenen berücksichtigt werden. Dies kann entweder durch die Ausnutzung vorhandener Informationen oder durch realistische Annahmen über die Faktoren, die Mortalität oder Inzidenz beeinflussen, geschehen. Schon kleine Unterschiede in diesen Annahmen kann die erwartete Zahl der Verstorbenen erheblich verändern und es notwendig machen, das Design einer Studie zu verändern. Solche Modifikationen bestehen z.B. in der Verlängerung der Follow-up Zeit der Studie oder in der Einsicht, dass es nötig ist, Daten aus mehreren Studien zusammenzufassen. Die Probleme werden anhand von zwei Beispielen aus dem Bereich der Berufsepidemiologie diskutiert.

---

Résumé Cet article concerne la précision des estimations de taille d'échantillons pour les études de cohortes. Le calcul précis du nombre de décès attendus dans la population prend en compte les variables susceptibles d'affecter la mortalité ou l'incidence, provenant soit d'une connaissance préalable, soit d'hypothèses réalistes. De modestes changements d'hypothèses peuvent parfois altérer de façon substantielle les nombres attendus et nécessiter des modifications dans le protocole de l'étude. Parmi les modifications possibles, il faut citer la prolongation du temps de suivi de l'étude ainsi que le constat que la valeur réelle de l'étude pourrait reposer sur la possibilité de mise en commun de plusieurs études similaires. Le problème est discuté à l'aide de deux exemples d'études de cohortes professionnelles pour lesquelles différentes informations préalables sont disponibles.

     

A comparison of tympanic thermometer readings to pulmonary artery catheter core temperature recordings

The purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy of FirstTemp (Intelligent Medical Systems, Carlsbad, CA) tympanic thermometer readings compared with core body temperatures obtained via pulmonary artery catheter (PAC). Five measurements were obtained on 19 cardiovascular surgery patients. Tympanic thermometer measurements tended to be higher than PAC measurements. However, most of the differences were not clinically significant. Differences found between right and left ear measurements were most likely due to poor measurement technique. When the correct technique is used, nurses can be confident that tympanic temperature readings are clinically accurate.     

Differentiation of a primitive neuroectodermal tumor into a benign ganglioglioma

We describe a case of cerebellar neuroblastoma with histologic documentation of maturation into a ganglioglioma sixteen months later. Only chemotherapy was administered following the initial surgery and the child is well and disease-free three years following her final surgical procedure. The outcome of this patient supports previous hypotheses that the cerebellar neuroblastoma may be a less malignant tumor than its other primitive neuroectodermal posterior fossa counterparts. Furthermore, this case suggests a role for second-look surgery in the management of selected pediatric brain tumors.     

Symptomatic treatment in the fragile X-associated tremor/ataxia syndrome.

There is no established treatment for the neurological features of the recently discovered fragile X-associated tremor/ataxia syndrome (FXTAS). Fifty-six patients with FXTAS completed a questionnaire to determine whether any medications had been effective for neurological symptoms. Of 11 subjects with definite FXTAS, 8 (70%) were on medications for their neurological symptoms, whereas most subjects with possible or probable FXTAS, 31 (70%) of 45 subjects, were not on medications. Although no therapy was uniformly effective for intention tremor, ataxia, Parkinsonism, memory loss, or anxiety, some subjects with intention tremor or Parkinsonism reported improvement with medications frequently used in other movement disorders. Overall, all 22 subjects on medications reported improvement in one or more symptoms. Lack of insight, recall bias, and cognitive impairment may have resulted in an underestimation of the beneficial effect of medical therapy. This study suggests that patients with FXTAS can derive improvement from medication treatment for some of their symptoms.     

Plasticity of human motion processing mechanisms following surgery for infantile esotropia

Monocular oscillatory-motion visual evoked potentials (VEPs) were measured in prospective and retrospective groups of infantile esotropia patients who had been aligned surgically at different ages. A nasalward-temporal response bias that is present prior to surgery was reduced below pre-surgery levels in the prospective group. Patients in the retrospective group who had been aligned before 2 yr of age showed lower levels of response asymmetry than those who were aligned after age 2. The data imply that binocular motion processing mechanisms in infantile esotropia patients are capable of some degree of recovery, and that this plasticity is restricted to a critical period of visual development.