A generic model for the assessment of disease epidemiology: the computational basis of DisMod II

Reliable and comparable analysis of risks to health is key for preventing disease and injury. Causal attribution of morbidity and mortality to risk factors has traditionally been conducted in the context of methodological traditions of individual risk factors, often in a limited number of settings, restricting comparability.     

Breast-conserving therapy for Paget disease of the nipple: a prospective European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer study of 61 patients

BACKGROUND: The purpose of the current study was to assess the outcome of breast-conserving therapy by means of a cone excision and radiotherapy in patients with Paget disease of the nipple without associated invasive breast carcinoma. METHODS: Between 1987 and 1998, 61 eligible patients were registered in the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Study 10873. The majority of patients (97%) presented without an associated palpable mass. At histologic examination, the majority (93%%) of patients had an underlying ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS); in the remaining 7%, only Paget disease was found. Treatment was comprised of a complete excision of the nipple-areolar complex including the underlying breast tissue with tumor free margins, followed by external irradiation to the whole breast (50 gray in 25 fractions). The primary endpoint was local recurrence. RESULTS: At a median follow-up of 6.4 years, 4 of the 61 patients developed a recurrence in the treated breast (1 patient with DCIS and 3 patients with invasive disease). One patient with an invasive local recurrence died of disseminated breast carcinoma. The 5-year local recurrence rate was 5.2% (95% confidence interval, 1.8-14.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Breast-conserving therapy is a feasible alternative for patients with Paget disease and a limited extent of underlying DCIS. To achieve good local control, treatment should be comprised of a complete excision of the nipple-areolar complex including the underlying disease, followed by irradiation to the whole breast.     

52Fe for additional marrow ablation before bone marrow transplantation

The effectiveness of bone marrow transplantation (BMT) for malignant blood diseases remains limited by the inability of the preparative regimen to eliminate the disease without causing toxicity to normal organs. We have used 52Fe to deliver radiotherapy selectively to the BM. Fourteen patients with hematologic malignancies received 52Fe before a conventional BMT conditioning regimen. The median 52Fe dose was 58 mCi (range, 32 to 85 mCi). As evaluated by quantitative scanning, the median percentage of 52Fe taken up by the BM was 82% (range, 36% to 90%). This resulted in a median radiation-absorbed dose to the BM of 632 rad (range, 151 to 1,144 rad). The median uptake of 52Fe by the liver was 18% (range, 10% to 64%) and the median radiation- absorbed dose to the liver was 239 rad (range, 82 to 526 rad). The median whole body radiation-absorbed dose was 46 rad (range, 22 to 68 rad). No untoward effects were noted after the injections of 52Fe. The patients recovered hematopoiesis without toxicity in excess of that expected with conventional conditioning alone. The median follow-up was 8 months and three patients have relapsed. 52Fe should provide a way to boost the radiation dose to marrow-based diseases before marrow transplantation without increasing toxicity.     

黄河流域11个地区51个干休所离退休干部认知障碍及老年痴呆危险因素分析

目的:调查兰州部队辖区黄河流域老年痴呆及认知障碍的患病率并分析其危险因素。方法:应用《长谷川智力量表》(22～30.5分为轻度异常,10.5～21.5分为痴呆前期,≤10分为痴呆期)和《临床记忆量表》(≤80分为异常),对黄河流域11个地区51个干休所16538人群中2944名60岁以上人员进行调查。采用挨家挨户一对一的的方法开展调查检测,只有2个量表评分均为异常才列为病例组,同时对一般情况、驻地海拔高度、家族遗传史、既往病史、生活习惯等5个方面30个危险因素进行调查,并应用SPSS10.0软件包将调查结果进行多元回归分析。结果:2944名受试者全部完成测试进入结果分析。①老年痴呆的患病率分别为痴呆0.71%,痴呆前期2.11%,轻度异常28.46%,总患病率为31.28%。②多元回归分析结果:脑萎缩(t=-6.304)、重大生活事件(t=-5.328)、高龄(t=-5.415)、无喝茶嗜好(t=-3.802)、脑梗死(t=-3.343)、女性(t=-2.604)、冠心病(t=2.496)、低文化程度(t=1.973)、职业(t=1.965)、高海拔地区(t=1.957)与老年痴呆相关(P均<0.05)。结论:①黄河流域老年痴呆及认知障碍发生与脑萎缩、重大生活事件、高龄、无喝茶嗜好、脑梗死、女性、冠心病、低文化程度、职业、高海拔地区等10种危险因素有关。②结果显示痴呆发病率较低,而痴呆前期及轻度异常发病率较高,所以应重视痴呆前期及轻度异常患者的干预治疗。     

The role of pancreatic venous sampling in the localization of occult insulinomas

The palpation and enucleation of occult insulinomas (less than 15 mm) can be a difficult surgical problem even with good arteriographic localization. In the authors' limited experience, confirmation of arteriographic findings by pancreatic venous sampling provided little additional localizing information. However, if arteriography is negative or equivocal, venous sampling can indicate the segment of pancreas to be "blindly" resected if the adenoma is not palpable. Venous sampling may be misleading in polyendocrine syndromes because of the frequency of multiple adenomas and variable hormone production.     

Estimating health care delivery system value for each US state and testing key associations

ObjectiveTo estimate health care systems'' value in treating major illnesses for each US state and identify system characteristics associated with value.Data sourcesAnnual condition‐specific death and incidence estimates for each US state from the Global Burden Disease 2019 Study and annual health care spending per person for each state from the National Health Expenditure Accounts.Study designUsing non‐linear meta‐stochastic frontier analysis, mortality incidence ratios for 136 major treatable illnesses were regressed separately on per capita health care spending and key covariates such as age, obesity, smoking, and educational attainment. State‐ and year‐specific inefficiency estimates were extracted for each health condition and combined to create a single estimate of health care delivery system value for each US state for each year, 1991–2014. The association between changes in health care value and changes in 23 key health care system characteristics and state policies was measured.Data collection/extraction methodsNot applicable.Principal findingsUS state with relatively high spending per person or relatively poor health‐outcomes were shown to have low health care delivery system value. New Jersey, Maryland, Florida, Arizona, and New York attained the highest value scores in 2014 (81 [95% uncertainty interval 72‐88], 80 [72‐87], 80 [71‐86], 77 [69‐84], and 77 [66‐85], respectively), after controlling for health care spending, age, obesity, smoking, physical activity, race, and educational attainment. Greater market concentration of hospitals and of insurers were associated with worse health care value (p‐value ranging from <0.01 to 0.02). Higher hospital geographic density and use were also associated with worse health care value (p‐value ranging from 0.03 to 0.05). Enrollment in Medicare Advantage HMOs was associated with better value, as was more generous Medicaid income eligibility (p‐value 0.04 and 0.01).ConclusionsSubstantial variation in the value of health care exists across states. Key health system characteristics such as market concentration and provider density were associated with value.