The effects of population density and malnutrition on the dynamics of whooping cough.

Liverpool, a seaport in NW England, suffered severely from lethal infectious diseases in the second half of the 19th century: the population was densely crowded and malnourished and life expectancy was low. Time-series analysis shows that the epidemics of whooping cough (i) had an interepidemic interval of 2.9 years, 1863-85, which lengthened to 3.4 years, 1885-1900 (ii) were strongly coherent with wheat prices (P < 0.001) and (iii) also correlated with cycles of seasonal weather conditions. It is suggested from mathematical modelling that the epidemics in this compromised population were maintained (i.e. the system was driven) by an oscillation of malnutrition and by seasonal weather conditions. A model that incorporates both the dynamics of whooping cough and the demographic characteristics of the population is presented. It has been shown to replicate the dynamics of the epidemics and has been used to predict the changes with time of (i) the force of the infection and (ii) the proportion of those infected with whooping cough who died.     

Obstacles and Opportunities for Multi-disciplinary Working in Drug Misuse: a case study

This paper examines the lack of congruence between national policy documents and local practice in multi-disciplinary working with drug users, by reporting on a case study within one English county. It gives an analysis of the roles and responsibilities of generic service providers and a minority of specialists, based on 100 interviews and questionnaires with representatives from professional groups involved with drug issues. The respondents worked with a range of young people and adults. Whilst professionals worked well within broad disciplines such as health or education, they did not operate as well across disciplinary boundaries. Many of the respondents were unsure about the specific role of their own profession, and which group they should target for drug interventions. There was a lack of clarity about what approach was appropriate to their traditional target group in terms of drugs, and consequently many did not utilize their established approach for that group. When the reasons for the lack of co-working were examined, it was found that there were many misconceptions among professionals concerning what other professional groups actually did in response to drugs. The authors clarify the reasons for the apparent confusion and highlight the possibility that a traditional generic approach and target group may not provide an appropriate match in terms of drug intervention. They make recommendations for overcoming these obstacles to multi-disciplinary working and consider the implications for training.     

VASOCONSTRICTION IN THE RENAL VASCULAR BED DURING EXERCISE: STUDIES IN CONTROL AND HEART FAILURE RABBITS

1. The effects of graded treadmill exercise on renal blood flow (RBF) were examined in seven rabbits, in which congestive heart failure (CHF) was produced by the administration of doxorubicin, 1 mg/kg, twice weekly for 8 weeks, and in seven controls. A third group of five rabbits underwent doxorubicin treatment with the addition of surgical section of the left renal sympathetic nerve. 2. During submaximal exercise, there was a small reduction in RBF in controls, which was greatly exaggerated in CHF. 3. In both control and heart failure rabbits, there was a precipitous fall in RBF as exercise fatigue developed. 4. Renal sympathectomy ablated these changes in RBF during exercise. 5. It is concluded that in heart failure there is an exaggerated, sympathetically mediated, diversion of blood flow away from the kidney. The onset of exercise fatigue in both normal and heart failure rabbits is accompanied by a marked intensification of this process.     

Circulating Pancreatic Polypeptide in Patients with Adenocarcinoma of the Bile Duct

Using radioimmunoassay methods, the blood of patients with pancreatic tumors was screened for circulating polypeptide hormones. This screening discovered pancreatic polypeptide in abnormally high concentration in the serum of six of seven patients with adenocarcinomas of the bile duct. the assay appears to be very sensitive finding excessive residual pancreatic polypeptide production after palliative resections. Serum pancreatic polypeptide assays warrant evaluation as an aid in the diagnosis and management of patients with bile duct tumors.     

Drinking and driving among rural youth

Data concerning rural youth drinking and driving practices werecollected from 622 junior and senior high school students innorthwest Ohio, utilizing an ex post facto cross-sectional survey-researchdesign. The results suggested that 69% of the sample had usedalcohol at least once. With regard to quantity of alcohol use,about 27% reported drinking four or more drinks at a sitting.Approximately 19% of the sample had driven under the influenceof alcohol and 35% had ridden in a car with an intoxicated school-agedriver; 35% had refused a ride from a friend who was intoxicated,while 43% had tried to stop a drunk friend from driving. Nosignificant differences were found between males and femalesregarding drinking and driving but grade level was a significantmoderating factor. As grade level increased, the frequency ofeach alcohol-related behavior increased substantially (P <0.01). This paper presents prevalence data concerning drinkingand driving among rural youth as well as recommendations forcommunity health education program development.     

Finding a place for needle exchange programs

Using the concepts of stigma, NIMBY and place, this paper examines the difficulties of finding a place for needle exchange programs (NEPs). Data were drawn from semi-structured interviews with NEP staff (Ontario, Canada) that focused on operational policies and routines. An iterative, inductive analytic process was used. NEPs, their staff and clients are not always welcome additions to organizations or communities because of concerns about the ‘dangerousness’ of clients and the potential contamination of communities and workplaces by stigmatized individuals and their artefacts (e.g. contaminated injection equipment). Public parks where a lot of drug ‘action’ takes place are good destinations for outreach workers but these places are contentious sites for NEP activities, particularly when residents do not perceive a need for the program and/or want to redefine their neighbourhoods. Issues of ‘place’ are further complicated when service delivery is mobile. Finding a place within organizations is difficult for NEPs because of concerns about the diversion of limited financial and spatial resources to ‘non-core’ activities and ‘undesirable’ clients. Workers respond to these challenges by contesting the social and spatial boundaries of who is an acceptable client or neighbour and refuting the perceived ‘differentness’ of injection drug users. Implementation of an unpopular service involves a delicate balancing act of interests, understanding of the dynamics of particular communities and a willingness to reinvent and redefine programs. The sociospatial stigmatization of injection drug use has had a negative impact on NEPs, and perhaps limits HIV prevention efforts.     

The hereditary spectrum of pancreatic cancer: the Edmonton experience.

OBJECTIVE: Pancreatic cancer is known to aggregate in some families and has been associated with a wide variety of cancer syndromes. The authors describe their experience with pancreatic cancer and the range of associated cancer syndromes. METHODS: The charts of all patients seen for concern of a hereditary cancer syndrome in the Cancer Genetics Clinic at the University of Alberta between 1995 and 2002 were reviewed. RESULTS: Forty families reported a personal or family history of pancreatic cancer in the context of a possible hereditary cancer syndrome. Three additional families reported a history of pancreatitis. Twenty-four (56%) of those families were suspected of having a hereditary breast and ovarian cancer syndrome. A further seven (16%) were suspected of having hereditary nonpolyposis colon cancer. Only three (7%) were believed to be at risk for a site-specific pancreatic cancer syndrome. Another three (7%) were suspicious for hereditary pancreatitis. The remaining family histories were suggestive of Li-Fraumeni syndrome, von Hippel-Lindau syndrome or a nonspecific cancer predisposition. CONCLUSIONS: With such a wide variety of hereditary cancer syndromes associated with pancreatic cancer, an accurate assessment of the family history is essential to determine the most appropriate cancer screening for at-risk family members and to guide any molecular testing that may be offered.     

Conditional estimation of sensitivity and specificity from a phase 2 biomarker study allowing early termination for futility

Development of a disease screening biomarker involves several phases. In phase 2 its sensitivity and specificity is compared with established thresholds for minimally acceptable performance. Since we anticipate that most candidate markers will not prove to be useful and availability of specimens and funding is limited, early termination of a study is appropriate, if accumulating data indicate that the marker is inadequate. Yet, for markers that complete phase 2, we seek estimates of sensitivity and specificity to proceed with the design of subsequent phase 3 studies. We suggest early stopping criteria and estimation procedures that adjust for bias caused by the early termination option. An important aspect of our approach is to focus on properties of estimates conditional on reaching full study enrollment. We propose the conditional‐UMVUE and contrast it with other estimates, including naïve estimators, the well‐studied unconditional‐UMVUE and the mean and median Whitehead‐adjusted estimators. The conditional‐UMVUE appears to be a very good choice. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.