Validation of PATHFx 2.0: An open-source tool for estimating survival in patients undergoing pathologic fracture fixation

Treatment decisions in patients with metastatic bone disease rely on accurate survival estimation. We developed the original PATHFx models using expensive, proprietary software and now seek to provide a more cost-effective solution. Using open-source machine learning software to create PATHFx version 2.0, we asked whether PATHFx 2.0 could be created using open-source methods and externally validated in two unique patient populations. The training set of a well-characterized, database records of 189 patients and the bnlearn package within R Version 3.5.1 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing), was used to establish a series of Bayesian belief network models designed to predict survival at 1, 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Each was externally validated in both a Scandinavian (n = 815 patients) and a Japanese (n = 261 patients) data set. Brier scores and receiver operating characteristic curves to assessed discriminatory ability. Decision curve analysis (DCA) evaluated whether models should be used clinically. DCA showed that the model should be used clinically at all time points in the Scandinavian data set. For the 1-month time point, DCA of the Japanese data set suggested to expect better outcomes assuming all patients will survive greater than 1 month. Brier scores for each curve demonstrate that the models are accurate at each time point. Statement of Clinical Significance: we successfully transitioned to PATHFx 2.0 using open-source software and externally validated it in two unique patient populations, which can be used as a cost-effective option to guide surgical decisions in patients with metastatic bone disease.     

Application of the adverse outcome pathway framework to genotoxic modes of action

In May 2017, the Health and Environmental Sciences Institute's Genetic Toxicology Technical Committee hosted a workshop to discuss whether mode of action (MOA) investigation is enhanced through the application of the adverse outcome pathway (AOP) framework. As AOPs are a relatively new approach in genetic toxicology, this report describes how AOPs could be harnessed to advance MOA analysis of genotoxicity pathways using five example case studies. Each of these genetic toxicology AOPs proposed for further development includes the relevant molecular initiating events, key events, and adverse outcomes (AOs), identification and/or further development of the appropriate assays to link an agent to these events, and discussion regarding the biological plausibility of the proposed AOP. A key difference between these proposed genetic toxicology AOPs versus traditional AOPs is that the AO is a genetic toxicology endpoint of potential significance in risk characterization, in contrast to an adverse state of an organism or a population. The first two detailed case studies describe provisional AOPs for aurora kinase inhibition and tubulin binding, leading to the common AO of aneuploidy. The remaining three case studies highlight provisional AOPs that lead to chromosome breakage or mutation via indirect DNA interaction (inhibition of topoisomerase II, production of cellular reactive oxygen species, and inhibition of DNA synthesis). These case studies serve as starting points for genotoxicity AOPs that could ultimately be published and utilized by the broader toxicology community and illustrate the practical considerations and evidence required to formalize such AOPs so that they may be applied to genetic toxicity evaluation schemes. Environ. Mol. Mutagen. 61:114–134, 2020. © 2019 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

MRI T2-Hyperintense Signal Structures in the Cervical Spinal Cord: Anterior Median Fissure versus Central Canal in Chiari and Control—An Exploratory Pilot Analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE:Cervical spine axial MRI T2-hyperintense fluid signal of the anterior median fissure and round hyperintense foci resembling either the central canal or base of the anterior median fissure are associated with a craniocaudad sagittal line, also simulating the central canal. On the basis of empiric observation, we hypothesized that hyperintense foci, the anterior median fissure, and the sagittal line are seen more frequently in patients with Chiari malformation type I, and the sagittal line may be the base of the anterior median fissure in some patients.MATERIALS AND METHODS:Saggital line incidence and the incidence/frequency of hyperintense foci and anterior median fissure in 25 patients with Chiari I malformation and 25 contemporaneous age-matched controls were recorded in this prospective exploratory study as either combined (hyperintense foci+anterior median fissure in the same patient), connected (anterior median fissure extending to and appearing to be connected with hyperintense foci), or alone as hyperintense foci or an anterior median fissure. Hyperintense foci and anterior median fissure/patient, hyperintense foci/anterior median fissure ratios, and anterior median fissure extending to and appearing to be connected with hyperintense foci were compared in all, in hyperintense foci+anterior median fissure in the same patient, and in anterior median fissure extending to and appearing to be connected with hyperintense foci in patients with Chiari I malformation and controls.RESULTS:Increased sagittal line incidence (56%), hyperintense foci (8.5/patient), and anterior median fissure (4.0/patient) frequency were identified in patients with Chiari I malformation versus controls (28%, 3.9/patient, and 2.7/patient, respectively). Increased anterior median fissure/patient, decreasing hyperintense foci/anterior median fissure ratio, and increasing anterior median fissure extending to and appearing to be connected with hyperintense foci/patient were identified in Chiari subgroups. A 21%–58% increase in observed anterior median fissure extending to and appearing connected to hyperintense foci in the entire cohort and multiple sagittal line subgroups compared with predicted occurred.CONCLUSIONS:In addition to the anticipated increased incidence/frequency of sagittal line and hyperintense foci in patients with Chiari I malformation, an increased incidence and frequency of anterior median fissure and anterior median fissure extending to and appearing to be connected with hyperintense foci/patient were identified. We believe an anterior median fissure may contribute to a saggital line appearance in some patients with Chiari I malformation. While thin saggital line channels are usually ascribed to the central canal, we believe some may be due to the base of the anterior median fissure, created by pulsatile CSF hydrodynamics.

Axial MR imaging of the cervical spine frequently demonstrates hyperintense, linear, anatomically, sagittally-oriented T2 fluid signal of the anterior median fissure (AMF) and hyperintense foci (HIF) resembling the central canal or the base of the AMF.^1-3 These axial T2 findings may be associated with a channel-like T2-hyperintense craniocaudad line on images parallel to the sagittal plane (a sagittal line [SL]), simulating the central canal (Fig 1).^4,5 A previous analysis of HIF, AMF, and a thin SL in a population without Chiari I malformation provided not only a baseline for their identification but also a confirmation of a relationship between not only the AMF and HIF but also their relationship to the SL.¹ It found the following:

1. HIF were greater in number than AMFs, but AMFs increase in the presence of increasing HIF, suggesting an anatomic relationship.
2. SLs were associated with greater numbers of both HIF and AMF/patient (pt.) versus no SL, 6.7 versus 2.7/pt. and 3.3 versus 2.0/pt., respectively. SL presence correlated more closely to HIF than to AMF presence within the entire 358-patient group.
3. When HIF and AMF were classified as combined (concurrent HIF and AMF, with ≥1 of each both present in the same patient [HIF+AMF]) or continuous (AMF appearing to extend to and join an HIF [AMF>HIF]), HIF and AMF/pt. each differed numerically and patients with an SL had more combined HIF+AMF and continuous AMF>HIF than patients without an SL.
4. In patients with both SL and combined HIF+AMF (a circumstance allowing the possibility of a relationship of all 3 structures), HIF become proportionally fewer compared with AMFs. In patients with an SL actually exhibiting continuous AMF>HIF, the HIF/AMF ratio decreased further.

Open in a separate windowFIG 1.A patient with Chiari I with 19 HIF up to 3 mm in diameter, 1 AMF, no AMF>HIF, and an SL of various hyperintensity and diameter from C4 through T1, consistent with hydromyelia.While it is expected that manifestations of the central canal as an SL and HIF are more frequent in patients with Chiari syndrome type I,⁶ past experience leads us to hypothesize that AMFs are also seen more frequently in patients with Chiari I malformation and that the SL or channel may represent the base of a wide AMF, rather than the central canal, in some patients (Figs 1 and ​and2).2). Therefore, we performed an exploratory prospective analysis of HIF, AMF, and SL in patients with Chiari I malformation to examine their relationships.Open in a separate windowFIG 2.Postdecompressive craniectomy patient with Chiari I with 9 HIF, 4 AMFs, 1 AMF>HIF, and sharp and hyperintense SLs at C6–C7 and less hyperintense, sharp, and defined SLs at C2–C6.     

Prenatal Substance Use and Perceptions of Parent and Partner Use Using the 4P’s Plus Screener

Maternal and Child Health Journal - Background Prenatal substance use screening is recommended. The 4 P’s Plus screener includes questions on perceived problematic substance use in parents...