Using probabilistic and decision-theoretic methods in treatment and prognosis modeling

Causal probabilistic networks, also called Bayesian networks, allow both qualitative knowledge about the structure of a problem and quantitative knowledge, derived from case databases, expert opinion and literature to be exploited in the construction of decision support systems for diagnosis, treatment and prognosis. This mixing of qualitative and quantitative knowledge will be illustrated, using the selection of antibiotics for a subset of patients with severe infections. The subset consists of patients where bacteria or fungi have been found in the blood. A simple pathophysiological model of infection is used to calculate a prognosis, dependent on the choice of antibiotics. A decision-theoretic approach is used to balance the therapeutic benefit of antibiotic treatment against the cost of antibiotics in the form of direct monetary cost, side effects and ecological cost. A retrospective trial on patients with bacteria or fungi in the blood stemming from the urinary tract indicates that with this approach, it may be possible to suggest balanced choices of antibiotics that not only achieve greater therapeutic benefit, but also reduce the cost of therapy.     

Genetic structure of population of Bacillus cereus and B. thuringiensis isolates associated with periodontitis and other human infections

The genetic diversity and relationships among 35 Bacillus cereus and Bacillus thuringiensis isolates recovered from marginal and apical periodontitis in humans and from various other human infections were investigated using multilocus enzyme electrophoresis. The strains were isolated in Norway, except for three strains isolated from periodontitis patients in Brazil. The genetic diversity of these strains was compared to that of 30 isolates from dairies in Norway and Finland. Allelic variation in 13 structural gene loci encoding metabolic enzymes was analyzed. Twelve of the 13 loci were polymorphic, and 48 unique electrophoretic types (ETs) were identified, representing multilocus genotypes. The mean genetic diversity among the 48 genotypes was 0.508. The genetic diversity of each source group of isolates varied from 0.241 (periodontal infection) to 0.534 (dairy). Cluster analysis revealed two major groups separated at a genetic distance of greater than 0.6. One cluster, ETs 1 to 13, included solely isolates from dairies, while the other cluster, ETs 14 to 49, included all of the human isolates as well as isolates from dairies in Norway and Finland. The isolates were serotyped using antiflagellar antiserum. A total of 14 distinct serotypes were observed. However, little association between serotyping and genotyping was seen. Most of the strains were also analyzed with pulsed-field gel electrophoresis, showing the presence of extrachromosomal DNA in the size range of 15 to 600 kb. Our results indicate a high degree of heterogeneity among dairy strains. In contrast, strains isolated from humans had their genotypes in one cluster. Most strains from patients with periodontitis belonged to a single lineage, suggesting that specific clones of B. cereus and B. thuringiensis are associated with oral infections.     

Lysine 322 in the human IgG3 C(H)2 domain is crucial for antibody dependent complement activation

The classical complement activation cascade of the immune system is initiated by multivalent binding of its first component, C1q, to the Fc region of immunoglobulins in immune complexes. The C1q binding site on mouse IgG2b has been shown to contain the amino acids Glu 318, Lys 320 and Lys 322 in the C(H)2 domain (Duncan, A.R., Winter, G.,1988. The binding site for C1q on IgG. Nature 322 738-740). Identical or closely related motifs are found on all IgGs in all species, and the binding site has therefore been thought to be universal. However, the results from another study indicate that the site is different in human IgG1 molecules (Morgan, A., Jones, N.D., Nesbitt, A.M., et al., 1995. The N-terminal end of the C(H)2 domain of chimeric human IgG1 anti-HLA-DR is necessary for C1q, Fc gamma RI and Fc gamma RIII binding. Immunology 86 319-324). To determine the site(s) responsible for complement activation in anti-NIP-mouse/human IgG3 antibodies, we have mutated amino acids Lys 276, Tyr 278, Asp 280, Glu 318, Lys 320 and Lys 322 in two beta-strands in the C(H)2 domains of human IgG3. In addition, we mutated the Glu 333, which resides in close proximity to the postulated C1q-binding site of mouse IgG2b, as well as Leu 235 in the lower hinge region. All mutants were tested in Antibody Dependent Complement Mediated Lysis (ADCML)(4) assays, where the antigen concentration on target cells was varied and human serum was complement source. Only the mutants that lacked the positively charged side chain of lysine in position 322 showed strong reduction in ADCML, particularly at low antigen density on target cells. Alanine scanning of positions 318 and 320 did not affect ADCML, contrary to what was observed for mouse IgG2b. Neither did a leucine to glutamic acid mutation in position 235 have the effect that has been reported for human IgG1. These results suggest that the complement binding site on human IgG3 molecules is different from that found on mouse IgG2b, and possibly on human IgG1 as well. Thus the contact site may not be conserved.     

Evaluation of a communication and stress management training programme for infertile couples

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates a patient education programme focussed on improving communication and stress management skills among couples in fertility treatment. METHODS: In total, 37 couples completed the intervention. Two teachers conducted all the five courses offered. The effectiveness regarding communication and infertility-related stress was assessed by questionnaires immediately before (time T1) and after the intervention (time T2). Seeking of information and professional support was assessed at a 12-month follow-up (time T3); response rates were: T1, 93.2%; T2, 85.1%; T3, 74.3%. Data were compared at baseline (T1) and at the 12-month follow-up (T3) with a prospective cohort of Danish people in fertility treatment. RESULTS: There were no differences in infertility-related stress at base line between the two groups studied. We estimated the bi-directional changes in communication, e.g., changes from talking often to talking less frequently and vice versa. More intervention participants started to talk often with their partner about infertility and its treatment after the intervention compared to those who stopped to talk often. Women and men changed occurrence, frequency and content of communication with close other people. Among women marital benefit increased significantly. Infertility-related stress was not reduced significantly. Significantly more intervention participants than in the comparison group had contacted support groups, a psychologist and/or agencies for adoption at the 12-month follow-up. CONCLUSION: The intervention resulted in important perceived improvement in the participants' competence to actively manage changes in marital communication and in communication in different social arenas. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: We recommend fertility clinics to develop and evaluate different interventions for those fertility couples who ask for more psychosocial support.     

Isolation ofPasteurella multocida in a patient with spontaneous peritonitis and liver cirrhosis

A case of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis caused by Pasteurella multocida in a 12 year old boy with previously undiscovered cirrhosis of the liver is reported. This case is discussed and related to eight published cases of spontaneous peritonitis caused by Pasteurella multocida in adults, seven with cirrhosis of the liver and/or alcohol abuse, and one with systemic lupus erythematosus complicated by membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis. It would appear that spontaneous bacterial peritonitis caused by Pasteurella multocida is not confined to adults with a history of alcohol abuse or cirrhosis of the liver, but can also affect children with non-alcoholic cirrhosis of the liver.     

Differentiation of foot-and-mouth disease virus infected animals from vaccinated animals using a blocking ELISA based on baculovirus expressed FMDV 3ABC antigen and a 3ABC monoclonal antibody

Summary. A blocking ELISA that differentiated foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDV) infected animals from vaccinated animals was developed which uses baculovirus expressed FMDV 3ABC non-structural protein as antigen and monoclonal antibody against FMDV 3ABC non-structural protein as capture and detector antibody. Sera from naive, vaccinated and infected cattle, sheep and pigs were examined. The specificity of the test was high. Non-specific reactions observed in particular in sera of cattle and sheep could be removed by filtration and inactivation. Positive reactions were obtained for sera from cattle infected with all seven serotypes of FMDV. The test detected antibodies from days 7 or 9 following experimental infection of non-vaccinated cattle and sheep, and in cattle strong positive reactions persisted for up to 395 days after infection. In vaccinated cattle that became carriers after challenge with homologous FMDV, positive reactions were obtained in all but one case. In some of these cattle the antibody response was detected late in comparison to the non-vaccinated infected cattle. The test gave results that compared favourably with two commercial ELISAs when used to test sera from cattle, pigs and sheep collected after experimental or natural infection. The blocking ELISA based on recombinant FMDV 3ABC antigen and a monoclonal antibody to 3ABC is a promising tool for FMD control and eradication campaigns, where vaccination has been carried out.     

Significant expression of IGFBP2 in breast cancer compared with benign lesions

BACKGROUND/AIM: Insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and IGF binding proteins (IGFBPs) play a role in the normal development of breast tissue, and possibly in breast cancer aetiology. IGFBP2, one of six members of the IGFBP superfamily, acts as regulator of the IGFs and has pleiotropic effects in normal and neoplastic tissues. Because IGFs have mitogenic effects on mammary epithelia, this study investigated IGFBP2 expression in mammary tissues of different benign and malignant entities. METHODS: Immunohistochemistry was used to study correlations between the presence and intensity of IGFBP2 staining and tumour type and grade, in addition to steroid hormone receptor status, in 120 breast specimens. Expression was measured by quantitative colour video image analysis and semiquantitative evaluation, and the measurements correlated well (r = 0.92; p<0.05). RESULTS: Both methods found no significant expression of IGFBP2 in normal glandular cells and hyperplasia (group I). Atypical hyperplasia showed a slightly increased cytoplasmic expression of IGFBP2, and carcinoma in situ showed a distinctive, membrane associated and cytoplasmic expression (group II). Infiltrating carcinomas strongly expressed cytoplasmic IGFBP2 (group III). There were significant differences between group I and II, and between group II and III. There were no significant differences between invasive lobular and invasive ductal carcinoma, or between grades I, II, and III within these entities. There was no significant correlation between IGFBP2 immunostaining and oestrogen or progesterone receptor positivity within the malignant group. CONCLUSIONS: IGFBP2 mitogenic signals of autocrine/paracrine regulatory mechanisms may be responsible for the growth of breast carcinomas and IGFBP2 may be an independent indicator of malignancy.     

Erholungsfähigkeit der Niere nach zwei- oder dreistündiger Ischämie und Resektion der gesunden Niere,kontrolliert während einer neunmonatigen Erholungszeit

Zusammenfassung Die linke Kaninchenniere wurde einer ischämischen Belastung von 2 oder 3 Std ausgesetzt und die rechte Niere 21 Tage nach der Belastung entfernt. Während einer neunmonatigen Erholungszeit bestimmten wir im Katheterharn Gefrierpunktsdepression, Eiweiß, Glucose, Harnstoff, Ammoniak, Natrium, Kalium, Chlor und im Plasma den Rest-N. Das Experiment wurde durch einen Konzentrierungsversuch abgeschlossen und die Nieren nach Tötung der Tiere histologisch untersucht.Die Nierenfunktion erholt sich in wenigen Tagen nach der Resektion der gesunden Niere vollständig ohne Ausfälle von Einzelfunktionen. Gefrierpunktsdepression und Konzentrierungsversuch zeigen eine fast normale Anpassungsbreite der belasteten Nieren. Es kommt in keinem Fall zur Retention harnpflichtiger Substanzen. Anzeichen für die Ausbildung einer Schrumpfniere sind nicht vorhanden.Die histologische Untersuchung der Nieren zeigt bis auf den Ausfall einzelner Nephrone einen nahezu normalen Befund. Die Erholung der Nierenzellen ist morphologisch und funktionell vollständig, obwohl der Schwund an RNS bei gleicher Belastung 40–45% beträgt.Außer der für die Niere früher festgestellten Unabhängigkeit der Erholungsfähigkeit von der anaeroben Glykolyse übersteht der Informationsbestand der Niere unter Erhaltung des Bauplans ebenfalls einen absoluten Sauerstoffmangel von 3 Std ohne Schaden.Mit 3 TextabbildungenDer Deutschen Forschungsgemeinschaft danken wir für großzügige Förderung unserer Untersuchungen.Auszugsweise vorgetragen auf der 28. Tagung der Deutschen Physiologischen Gesellschaft, Juni 1963 in Köln.     

Adherence-Facilitating Behaviors of a Multidisciplinary Pediatric Rheumatology Staff

Investigated the behaviors of pediatric rheumatology healthcare providers that were expected to be related to patient orparent adherence. Medical charts of 108 patients ages 1 to 20years diagnosed with Juvenile Rheumatoid Arthritis were examined.The 473 outpatient visits over 15 months yielded a total of2,578 treatment recommendations, but only 1,390 adherence-facilitatingbehaviors by medical staff were documented. Providing informationabout how often to perform the recommendation was the most commonstaff behavior. In contrast, care providers rarely indicatedthat they addressed their patients' concerns and barriers toimplementing the recommendations, or employed behavior modificationstrategies to increase adherence. Implications of these findingsfor development of programs designed to increase treatment adherencein children with chronic diseases requiring time-consuming,intrusive medical regimens are discussed.