Association of achalasia and pulmonary Mycobacterium fortuitum infection

A case of achalasia complicated by Mycobacterium fortuitum pulmonary infection and empyema is reported. This association has been documented in the medical literature. Possible mechanisms explaining this association are discussed.     

Profile for estimating risk of heart failure.

CONTEXT: We devised a risk appraisal function to assess the hazard of heart failure in persons who are predisposed by coronary disease, hypertension, or valvular heart disease. OBJECTIVE: To provide general practitioners and internists with a cost-effective method to select people at high risk who are likely to have impaired left ventricular systolic function and may therefore require further evaluation and aggressive preventive measures. METHODS: The routinely measured risk factors used in constructing the heart failure profile include age, electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy, cardiomegaly on chest x-ray film, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, vital capacity, diabetes mellitus, evidence of myocardial infarction, and valvular disease or hypertension. Based on 486 heart failure cases during 38 years of follow-up, 4-year probabilities of failure were computed using the pooled logistic regression model for each sex; a simple point score system was employed. A multivariate profile was also produced without the vital capacity or chest x-ray film because these may not be readily available in some clinical settings. RESULTS: Using the risk factors that make up the multivariate risk formulation-derived from ordinary office procedures-the probability of developing heart failure can be estimated and compared with the average risk for persons of the same age and sex. Using this risk profile, 60% of events in men and 73% in women occurred in subjects in the top quintile of multivariate risk. CONCLUSIONS: Using this multivariate risk formulation, it is possible to identify high-risk candidates for heart failure who are likely to have a substantial yield of positive findings when tested for objective evidence of presymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction. The risk profile may also identify candidates who are at high risk for heart failure because of multiple, marginal risk factor abnormalities that might otherwise be overlooked.     

Risk factors for long-term coronary prognosis after initial myocardial infarction: the Framingham Study

The role of standard coronary heart disease risk factors in predicting the long-term risk of recurrent coronary events in survivors of myocardial infarction is examined. Of 697 subjects (464 males and 233 females) who experienced an initial myocardial infarction during 30 years of follow-up in the Framingham Study, 459 returned for a baseline examination and were followed for up to 32 years (mean = 9.7 years) for incident reinfarction or coronary death. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the relation of postinfarction risk factors with reinfarction and coronary death. Age-adjusted analyses showed the risk of reinfarction to be positively associated with blood pressure and serum cholesterol. Risk of coronary death was strongly associated with blood sugar level, systolic blood pressure, serum cholesterol, heart rate, diabetes, and interim reinfarction. In multivariable analyses, systolic pressure, serum cholesterol, and diabetes were predictive of reinfarction; relative weight was inversely associated with reinfarction. Systolic pressure, serum cholesterol, and the prevalence of diabetes persisted as independent predictors of coronary death. When adjustments were made for the effects of these variables, women were at only half the risk of coronary death compared with men. Higher baseline risk factors in women compared with men may obscure an important survival advantage in women. In persons recovered from an initial myocardial infarction, standard risk factors, particularly systolic pressure, serum cholesterol, and diabetes, remain important determinants of coronary prognosis over many years and warrant attention in preventing subsequent events.     

Impact of national guidelines for cholesterol risk factor screening. The Framingham Offspring Study

Recently published guidelines from the National Cholesterol Education Program were applied to 792 men and 853 women aged 30 to 69 years who participated in Framingham Offspring examination 3 from 1983 to 1987. Using nationally recommended algorithms, cholesterol levels are desirable in 50% of men and women, borderline in 12% of men and 30% of women, and elevated in 35% of men and 19% of women. Assuming that diet reduces low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels 20%, 10%, or 5%, rates of lipid medication use are projected as 2%, 5%, or 10%, respectively. Applying 6-year estimates of coronary risk derived from the original Framingham cohort to their offspring, the nationally recommended algorithm lacks specificity in women younger than 40 years and in both men and women older than 60 years. This study suggests that effective diet probably will be the cornerstone of current guidelines, and individuals aged 40 to 60 years might benefit most.     

Epidemiological aspects of heart failure

Epidemiologic data based on general population surveillance examining the prevalence, incidence, and outlook of cardiac failure are sparse. The Framingham Study has followed a cohort representative of the general population biennially for three decades and provides such information. Four hundred eighty-five men and women developed first evidence of overt cardiac failure over 30 years. Between the ages of 35 to 64, the annual incidence of heart failure was 3 per 1000 and increased to 10 per 1000 at ages 65 to 94 years. There was a slight male predominance attributed to their greater propensity to coronary heart disease. Most cardiac failure was associated with long-standing hypertension or the presence of coronary heart disease. Risk of cardiac failure was increased two- to six-fold in persons with coronary heart disease; angina conferred half the risk of myocardial infarction. Silent or unrecognized infarctions predisposed equally as typically symptomatic ones; valvular deformity was a less common cause of cardiac failure. Cardiac failure proved to be an extremely lethal condition with a prognosis little better than cancer. The 6-year mortality rate was 82 per cent for men and 67 per cent for women corresponding to a death rate four- to eight-fold greater than that of persons the same age. Cardiovascular mortality was increased six- to nine-fold, stroke four- to seven-fold in men and women, respectively. Approximately 55 per cent of deaths in men and 73 per cent in women were due to cardiovascular causes, and 43 per cent and 44 per cent, respectively, to coronary disease. Sudden death was a common mode of exitus.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Proteinuria as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease and mortality in older people: a prospective study

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of proteinuria in older people is not well defined. We examined the associations between proteinuria and incident coronary heart disease, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in older people.SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Casual dipstick proteinuria was determined in 1,045 men (mean [+/- SD] age 68 +/- 7 years) and 1,541 women (mean age 69 +/- 7 years) attending the 15th biennial examination of the Framingham Heart Study. Participants were divided by grade of proteinuria: none (85.3%), trace (10.2%), and greater-than-trace (4.5%). Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to determine the relations of baseline proteinuria to the specified outcomes, adjusting for other risk factors, including serum creatinine level.RESULTS: During 17 years of follow-up, there were 455 coronary heart disease events, 412 cardiovascular disease deaths, and 1,214 deaths. In men, baseline proteinuria was associated with all-cause mortality (hazards ratio [HR] = 1.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0 to 1.7 for trace proteinuria; HR = 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.8 for greater-than-trace proteinuria; P for trend = 0.02). In women, trace proteinuria was associated with cardiovascular disease death (HR = 1. 6, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.4), and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.4, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.7).CONCLUSION: Proteinuria is a significant, although relatively weak, risk factor for all-cause mortality in men and women, and for cardiovascular disease mortality in women.     

Incidence of hypertension in the Framingham Study.

Incidence and trends in incidence of definite hypertension were analyzed based on 30 years follow-up of 5,209 subjects in the Framingham Heart Study cohort. Based on pooling of 15 two-year periods, hypertension incidence per biennium increased with age in men from 3.3 per cent at ages 30-39 to 6.2 per cent at ages 70-79, and in women from 1.5 per cent at ages 30-39 to 8.6 per cent at ages 70-79. No consistent trend in incidence rates was evident for either sex from the 1950s through the 1970s. The proportion of hypertensive subjects receiving antihypertensive medication has increased since 1954-58 and exceeded 80 per cent for both men and women ages 60-89 years in 1979-81. Incidence data presented in this report may serve as a baseline for assessing the impact of future public health efforts in the primary prevention of hypertension.     

Body fat distribution and breast cancer in the Framingham Study

We examined the relation between central body fat distribution and breast cancer in a prospective cohort of women who participated in the Framingham Study. At the baseline examination in 1948, a total of 2,201 women aged 30-62 years were analyzed. An index of central to peripheral body fat (the central adiposity ratio) was calculated from the sum of the trunkal skinfolds (chest, subscapular, and abdominal) divided by the sum of the extremity skinfolds (triceps and thigh). These skinfolds were measured at the fourth examination in 1954. The cohort was followed for up to 28 years and yielded 106 cases of breast cancer. When divided into quartiles based on the central adiposity ratio, only women in the fourth quartile (those with the highest central to peripheral body fat distribution) demonstrated an increased risk for breast cancer. The age- and adiposity-adjusted relative risk estimate for having an increased central adiposity ratio (fourth quartile) compared to lower central adiposity ratios was 1.8 (95% confidence interval, 1.2-2.6). Adjustment for potential confounders of height, parity, and education did not appreciably alter this estimate (1.7, 1.1-2.5). There was no association between degree of adiposity, as measured by the sum of the five skinfolds or by body mass index (weight in kg divided by height in m2), and subsequent breast cancer. The results of this study suggest that increased central to peripheral body fat distribution predicts breast cancer risk independently of the degree of adiposity and may be a more specific marker of a premalignant hormonal pattern than degree of adiposity.